Championship preview: Can Middlesbrough edge out victory against Stoke City?

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Sat 30.April
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Riverside Stadium (34988 seats)

The league standings shows that 6 points divide the two competitors in this Championship fixture. Middlesbrough hold both the points- and home advantage.

Insights:
  • Middlesbrough have the fewest matches over the total-line (7) in Championship
  • Stoke City have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Stoke City is no longer fighting for a cause; they can neither go up or down this season.

There have been little to rest for the host team, as they played a Championship fixture only three days earlier. Thankfully the previous game, versus Cardiff City, was also a home game here at Riverside Stadium. The away team is better rested.

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Middlesbrough form and stats

The story so far in the Championship for Middlesbrough at their home stadium (Riverside Stadium) is 13 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats.

The Middlesbrough club members enjoyed the previous game, watching their team host Cardiff City and win 2-0. Midfielder Howson was the best player on the team with a rating of 7.64 (out of ten) in that game. Howson served one assist, hit two key passes, dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times and had 46 successful passes (of 52 total).

Preceding that game was the away draw at Swansea City that finished 1-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Middlesbrough have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 18 games) they have won twelve times, drawn zero and lost six.

The Middlesbrough fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 31 in 22 matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 2 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. From these home matches, Middlesbrough have conceded only 20 goals.

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Stoke City form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Championship travels is 7 wins, 6 draws and 9 defeats. It could be a hat trick of victories away for Stoke City, as they have won on their previous two travels.

Did you know that the longest clean sheet streak is 1816 minutes? This record is held by Mazaropi when he played in Vasco da Gama. Stoke goalkeeper Josef Bursik is eager to challenge this, with his 186 minutes of keeping balls out from the net.

The fans enjoyed Stoke City's previous fixture versus Queens Park Rangers (placed 11th), a 1-0 win played at home. Brown, attacking player, was the top performer on the team in that game, scoring a match rating of 7.72. Brown scored one goal and dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times.

Prior to that result Stoke City won their away game at Blackburn Rovers. The scoreline was 1-0.

We have checked recent matches where Stoke City have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those seven games were three victories, two draws and two defeats.

Stoke are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 26 away goals from 22 games (in the league). Stoke City have conceded 26 goals in these away matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 3 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

The latest head-to-head game ended Stoke City - Middlesbrough 0-0, played this season. Previous ten meetings involving these squads: Middlesbrough won four, Stoke City triumphed in three and we saw three draws. two games with over 2,5 goals, eight matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Stoke CityJ. Brown
J. Brown
13 goals
MiddlesbroughM. Crooks
M. Crooks
8 goals
MiddlesbroughA. Šporar
A. Šporar
8 goals

Middlesbrough missing players

Stoke City missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Middlesbrough Stoke City
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
44 22 7 Played P 7 22 44
19 13 3 Won W 2 7 17
10 2 1 Drew D 2 6 10
15 7 3 Lost L 3 9 17
55 31 9 Scored S 7 26 55
45 20 9 Conceded C 10 26 48
91% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 95% 95%
75% 77% 71% Over 1.5 O 1.5 71% 73% 66%
36% 36% 57% Over 2.5 O 2.5 57% 50% 45%
16% 9% 14% Over 3.5 O 3.5 14% 18% 18%
9% 9% 14% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 7%
45% 45% 71% BTTS BTTS 57% 59% 50%
36% 36% 29% Clean Sheets C S 29% 27% 34%
27% 18% 0% Failed to Score F T 14% 18% 20%
 
6 6.7 6.7 Corners for (avg) C F 4.7 5.2 5.2
4.4 4.1 4.4 Corners against (avg) C A 5.1 5.4 5
2.2 1.9 1.4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.7 2.1 2
2 1 0 Red cards R C 1 2 4
 
11.9 12.5 11 Shots (avg) S ( 11.3 12.6 11.8
4.3 4.6 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.6 3.8 3.7
29% 31% 32% Goal Efficiency G E 28% 31% 34%
 
9.5 8.7 10 Shots against (avg) S A 12.9 11 10
3 2.9 3.1 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.3 3.5 3.2
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Middlesbrough have the fewest matches over the total-line (7) in Championship
  • Middlesbrough haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Stoke City have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Fulham 44 26 9 9 99 39 22 13 4 5 49 20 22 13 5 4 50 19 60 87
2 AFC Bournemouth 43 22 13 8 69 39 21 11 7 3 39 21 22 11 6 5 30 18 30 79
3 Nottingham Forest 43 22 10 11 67 37 22 12 4 6 38 21 21 10 6 5 29 16 30 76
4 Huddersfield Town 44 21 13 10 60 46 22 12 6 4 33 23 22 9 7 6 27 23 14 76
5 Luton Town 44 20 12 12 62 48 22 11 7 4 36 22 22 9 5 8 26 26 14 72
6 Sheffield United 44 19 12 13 56 44 22 12 5 5 34 15 22 7 7 8 22 29 12 69
7 Middlesbrough 44 19 10 15 55 45 22 13 2 7 31 20 22 6 8 8 24 25 10 67
8 Blackburn Rovers 44 18 12 14 57 46 22 12 5 5 36 23 22 6 7 9 21 23 11 66
9 Millwall 44 17 15 12 50 44 22 12 6 4 29 16 22 5 9 8 21 28 6 66
10 Coventry City 44 17 12 15 58 56 22 10 5 7 31 24 22 7 7 8 27 32 2 63
11 Queens Park Rangers 44 18 9 17 58 56 22 10 6 6 29 22 22 8 3 11 29 34 2 63
12 Stoke City 44 17 10 17 55 48 22 10 4 8 29 22 22 7 6 9 26 26 7 61
13 West Bromwich Albion 44 16 13 15 47 45 22 11 8 3 29 16 22 5 5 12 18 29 2 61
14 Swansea City 44 16 13 15 57 62 22 9 8 5 30 26 22 7 5 10 27 36 -5 61
15 Blackpool 44 16 12 16 54 51 22 11 3 8 29 24 22 5 9 8 25 27 3 60
16 Preston North End 44 14 16 14 45 54 22 8 10 4 29 27 22 6 6 10 16 27 -9 58
17 Bristol City 44 14 10 20 57 75 22 7 8 7 28 29 22 7 2 13 29 46 -18 52
18 Hull City 44 14 8 22 40 48 22 7 3 12 21 27 22 7 5 10 19 21 -8 50
19 Cardiff City 44 14 7 23 48 67 22 7 3 12 21 28 22 7 4 11 27 39 -19 49
20 Birmingham City 44 11 13 20 48 72 22 7 6 9 26 31 22 4 7 11 22 41 -24 46
21 Reading 44 13 8 23 54 85 22 7 5 10 33 43 22 6 3 13 21 42 -31 41
22 Peterborough United 44 8 10 26 38 84 22 5 7 10 22 33 22 3 3 16 16 51 -46 34
23 Derby County 44 13 13 18 43 52 22 11 7 4 30 21 22 2 6 14 13 31 -9 31
24 Barnsley 44 6 12 26 32 66 22 5 7 10 17 26 22 1 5 16 15 40 -34 30

Middlesbrough:
Stoke City:
Championship:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Fulham 44 26 9 9 99 39 22 13 4 5 49 20 22 13 5 4 50 19 60 87
2 AFC Bournemouth 43 22 13 8 69 39 21 11 7 3 39 21 22 11 6 5 30 18 30 79
3 Nottingham Forest 43 22 10 11 67 37 22 12 4 6 38 21 21 10 6 5 29 16 30 76
4 Huddersfield Town 44 21 13 10 60 46 22 12 6 4 33 23 22 9 7 6 27 23 14 76
5 Luton Town 44 20 12 12 62 48 22 11 7 4 36 22 22 9 5 8 26 26 14 72
6 Sheffield United 44 19 12 13 56 44 22 12 5 5 34 15 22 7 7 8 22 29 12 69
7 Middlesbrough 44 19 10 15 55 45 22 13 2 7 31 20 22 6 8 8 24 25 10 67
8 Blackburn Rovers 44 18 12 14 57 46 22 12 5 5 36 23 22 6 7 9 21 23 11 66
9 Millwall 44 17 15 12 50 44 22 12 6 4 29 16 22 5 9 8 21 28 6 66
10 Coventry City 44 17 12 15 58 56 22 10 5 7 31 24 22 7 7 8 27 32 2 63
11 Queens Park Rangers 44 18 9 17 58 56 22 10 6 6 29 22 22 8 3 11 29 34 2 63
12 Stoke City 44 17 10 17 55 48 22 10 4 8 29 22 22 7 6 9 26 26 7 61
13 West Bromwich Albion 44 16 13 15 47 45 22 11 8 3 29 16 22 5 5 12 18 29 2 61
14 Swansea City 44 16 13 15 57 62 22 9 8 5 30 26 22 7 5 10 27 36 -5 61
15 Blackpool 44 16 12 16 54 51 22 11 3 8 29 24 22 5 9 8 25 27 3 60
16 Preston North End 44 14 16 14 45 54 22 8 10 4 29 27 22 6 6 10 16 27 -9 58
17 Bristol City 44 14 10 20 57 75 22 7 8 7 28 29 22 7 2 13 29 46 -18 52
18 Hull City 44 14 8 22 40 48 22 7 3 12 21 27 22 7 5 10 19 21 -8 50
19 Cardiff City 44 14 7 23 48 67 22 7 3 12 21 28 22 7 4 11 27 39 -19 49
20 Birmingham City 44 11 13 20 48 72 22 7 6 9 26 31 22 4 7 11 22 41 -24 46
21 Reading 44 13 8 23 54 85 22 7 5 10 33 43 22 6 3 13 21 42 -31 41
22 Peterborough United 44 8 10 26 38 84 22 5 7 10 22 33 22 3 3 16 16 51 -46 34
23 Derby County 44 13 13 18 43 52 22 11 7 4 30 21 22 2 6 14 13 31 -9 31
24 Barnsley 44 6 12 26 32 66 22 5 7 10 17 26 22 1 5 16 15 40 -34 30

More from England - Championship

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.