Luton Town are located at 6th, while Swansea City are dragging their feet 11 points behind in the league standings. Can they cut the gap?
- Luton Town have the most dropped points from leading position (23) in Championship
These are busy days for the home side, as they had a match only four days ago in the Championship. This match was also played here at Kenilworth Road Stadium. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Swansea City have had more rest.
Luton Town form and stats
5 victories, 8 draws and 4 defeats. That’s what Luton Town have to build on here at Kenilworth Road Stadium in the Championship.
The spoils were shared in Luton's previous game, also at home. Visiting Millwall (placed 5th) travelled back with a draw after a 2-2 scoreline. There was plenty of action in the dying minutes of the game against Millwall as Berry's goal in the 87th minute completed a cancellation of 0-2 and secured a draw after 90 minutes. The hometeam coach Edwards made a successful contribution in the game against Millwall, bringing on Berry who scored the equalizer in the 2-2 draw. Midfield player Mpanzu got a match rating of 7.1 in that game, the max score being 10. Mpanzu hit two key passes, dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times and had 33 successful passes (of 39 total).
In the preceding match a 1-0 victory visiting Birmingham City.The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Luton Town have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 15 games) they have won 5 times, drawn 7 and lost 3.
Luton Town are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 22 goals in 17 games. Luton have conceded 19 in these home matches.
Swansea City form and stats
Playing away, Swansea City have won 4 games, drawn 7 and suffered 6 defeats in the Championship this season. Swansea City seem to be suffering from homesickness with two consecutive losses away. Third time lucky?
There were no winners in Swansea City's previous match, the home game that ended 1-1 vs Rotherham United (placed 20th). Piroe, attacking player, was the top performer on the team in that game, scoring a match rating of 7.44. Piroe scored one goal, hit one key pass and had 23 successful passes (of 26 total).
The game before that, was lost at home, a 1-3 defeat against Stoke City.We have checked recent matches where Swansea have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 10 games were 3 victories, 2 draws and 5 defeats.
Goal-happy betting people should observe that 9 of this club's 12 most recent league fixtures have ended with three or more goals.
Swansea City have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 17 league away games 20 goals have been scored. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Swansea City have conceded 26 goals in these games.
Head 2 Head
This was the final score when the squads met previously this campaign; Swansea City - Luton 0-2. Numbers for the previous nine meetings featuring these two participants are: three wins for Luton Town, one draw and five wins for Swansea City. Over 2,5 goals: two times; under 2,5 goals: seven games.
Top Goalscorers
  C. Morris 13 goals |   J. Piroe 12 goals | E. Adebayo 7 goals |
Luton Town missing players
Swansea City missing players
| Luton Town | Swansea City | ||||||
| Total | Home | vs | Statistics | Stat | vs | Away | Total |
| 34 | 17 | 5 | Played | P | 5 | 17 | 34 |
| 14 | 5 | 0 | Won | W | 1 | 4 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | Drew | D | 0 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | Lost | L | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 42 | 22 | 5 | Scored | S | 3 | 20 | 47 |
| 34 | 19 | 7 | Conceded | C | 11 | 26 | 51 |
| 91% | 88% | 80% | Over 0.5 | O 0.5 | 100% | 94% | 97% |
| 71% | 65% | 60% | Over 1.5 | O 1.5 | 80% | 76% | 79% |
| 35% | 41% | 40% | Over 2.5 | O 2.5 | 80% | 53% | 59% |
| 18% | 29% | 40% | Over 3.5 | O 3.5 | 20% | 29% | 32% |
| 6% | 12% | 20% | Over 4.5 | O 4.5 | 0% | 12% | 12% |
| 47% | 59% | 60% | BTTS | BTTS | 40% | 65% | 59% |
| 38% | 29% | 20% | Clean Sheets | C S | 0% | 12% | 18% |
| 24% | 24% | 40% | Failed to Score | F T | 60% | 29% | 26% |
| 6 | 7.4 | 6.2 | Corners for (avg) | C F | 4.8 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| 5 | 4.9 | 5 | Corners against (avg) | C A | 4.8 | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| 2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | Yellow cards (avg) | Y C | 3.4 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | Red cards | R C | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 12.1 | 14 | 12.8 | Shots (avg) | S ( | 10 | 12 | 12.5 |
| 4 | 4.5 | 3 | Shots on Target (avg) | S O | 3 | 4.1 | 4.3 |
| 31% | 29% | 33% | Goal Efficiency | G E | 20% | 29% | 32% |
| 11.5 | 11.4 | 13.8 | Shots against (avg) | S A | 10.4 | 11.3 | 10 |
| 3 | 3.5 | 4.8 | Shots on Target against (avg) | S O | 4.8 | 4.6 | 3.9 |
- Luton Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
- Luton Town have the most dropped points from leading position (23) in Championship
- Luton Town have won significantly more corners at home than away.
| Total | Home | Away | |||||||||||||||||||
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | +/- | P |
| 1 | Burnley | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 68 | 28 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 40 | 13 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 40 | 76 |
| 2 | Sheffield United | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 55 | 30 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 16 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 25 | 64 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 27 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Blackburn Rovers | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 25 | 0 | 55 |
| 5 | Millwall | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 35 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 8 | 54 |
| 6 | Luton Town | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 42 | 34 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Norwich City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 48 | 37 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Watford | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 3 | 50 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 38 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 21 | 11 | 49 |
| 10 | Coventry City | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 3 | 49 |
| 11 | West Bromwich Albion | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 44 | 36 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | 8 | 48 |
| 12 | Preston North End | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 38 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 16 | -8 | 46 |
| 13 | Bristol City | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 43 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 2 | 44 |
| 14 | Reading | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 48 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 30 | -10 | 44 |
| 15 | Swansea City | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 51 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -4 | 43 |
| 16 | Hull City | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38 | 48 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -10 | 42 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39 | 41 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 19 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 22 | -2 | 40 |
| 18 | Queens Park Rangers | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 49 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -14 | 39 |
| 19 | Birmingham City | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 46 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -8 | 38 |
| 20 | Rotherham United | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 37 | 46 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 26 | -9 | 37 |
| 21 | Cardiff City | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 38 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 22 | -13 | 35 |
| 22 | Huddersfield Town | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 47 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 31 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 51 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -18 | 31 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 52 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -22 | 31 |
- Luton Town
- Luton Today - (local newspaper)
- Swansea City
- Wales Online - (local newspaper)
