Championship preview: Can Luton Town edge out victory against Cardiff City?

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: England Championship
Competition: Tue 31.January
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Kenilworth Road Stadium (10226 seats)

Luton Town are considered as expected winners of this home game vs Cardiff City, if the league positions are anything to judge by. Or are we in for a surprise?

Insights:
  • Luton Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Cardiff City have the fewest scored goals (21) in Championship

Only a few days to rest for the home team, as they played a FA Cup match only three days ago. Thankfully the previous game, versus Grimsby Town, was also a home game here at Kenilworth Road Stadium. The away team is better rested.

D W W L D

Luton Town form and stats

3-7-3 (win-draw-lost) are the Championship numbers at home for Luton Town so far this season.

The home regulars witnessed a 2-2 draw vs Grimsby Town in the FA Cup last time out and are looking for a win here. Midfielder Doughty was the best player on the team with a rating of 7.43 (out of ten) in that game. Doughty served one assist and hit three key passes.

Before that match, a Championship win away at Wigan Athletic.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Luton Town handle that role? We have found 14 games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are 4 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats.

Another home game is coming up fairly shortly for the hosts, as Stoke City are coming to town in four days.

Luton Town are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 18 goals in 13 games. 16 goals have been conceded.

L L D D L

Cardiff City form and stats

Cardiff City have only collected 12 points from their away games in the Championship, after 3-3-7 (13 played).

Home advantage was not enough for Cardiff in their previous game as they lost hosting Millwall, 0-1. Defender McGuinness was the best team player with a rating of 7.8. McGuinness won 16 of 19 duels.

A defeat, in the FA Cup away at Leeds United, before that. Cardiff City are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 2 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats. From a total of 7 matches.

Low on goals? 8 of this club's latest 10 league matches have seen two goals or less.

The schedule is very tough for Cardiff now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Championship game at Hull City is waiting in only four days.

The visitors have scored 10 goals from 13 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Cardiff City have conceded 18 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

This duo faced each other before this campaign: Cardiff City - Luton Town 1-2. Previous ten meetings involving these sides: Luton won three, Cardiff City triumphed in six and we saw one draw. six games with more than 2,5 goals, four matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Luton TownC. Morris
C. Morris
11 goals
Luton TownE. Adebayo
E. Adebayo
5 goals
Cardiff CityC. Robinson
C. Robinson
4 goals

Luton Town missing players

Cardiff City missing players

Luton Town Cardiff City
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
27 13 4 Played P 3 13 28
11 3 0 Won W 1 3 7
9 7 3 Drew D 0 3 8
7 3 1 Lost L 2 7 13
35 18 5 Scored S 3 10 21
29 16 6 Conceded C 5 18 31
89% 85% 75% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 85% 86%
78% 77% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 62% 50%
41% 46% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 38% 29%
19% 31% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 23% 14%
7% 15% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 8% 7%
48% 69% 75% BTTS BTTS 33% 31% 36%
37% 23% 25% Clean Sheets C S 0% 23% 32%
26% 23% 25% Failed to Score F T 67% 62% 46%
 
5.6 7.2 9.8 Corners for (avg) C F 6 3.8 4.9
5.5 5.3 4.8 Corners against (avg) C A 5.3 5.3 4.6
2 1.4 0.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.7 2.3 2
3 1 0 Red cards R C 0 2 3
 
11.9 14.5 17.5 Shots (avg) S ( 9.3 7.7 11.3
4 4.8 7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.7 2.3 2.6
32% 29% 18% Goal Efficiency G E 38% 33% 28%
 
12 11.9 8.8 Shots against (avg) S A 13 12.7 10.9
3.1 3.6 2.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.3 4.4 3.2
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Cardiff City have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Cardiff City have the fewest matches over the total-line (8) in Championship
  • Cardiff City have the fewest scored goals (21) in Championship
  • Cardiff City have the fewest scored goals in the first half (9) in Championship
  • Cardiff City have the most matches under the total-line (20) in Championship
  • Cardiff City have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Luton Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Luton Town have won significantly more corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Burnley 28 18 8 2 55 26 15 11 4 0 32 12 13 7 4 2 23 14 29 62
2 Sheffield United 28 17 6 5 48 24 14 9 3 2 30 13 14 8 3 3 18 11 24 57
3 Middlesbrough 29 13 6 10 44 35 14 7 5 2 20 12 15 6 1 8 24 23 9 45
4 Watford 29 12 8 9 34 31 14 7 3 4 20 13 15 5 5 5 14 18 3 44
5 Blackburn Rovers 28 14 1 13 31 35 13 9 0 4 20 13 15 5 1 9 11 22 -4 43
6 Norwich City 28 12 6 10 40 31 14 5 4 5 19 16 14 7 2 5 21 15 9 42
7 Luton Town 27 11 9 7 35 29 13 3 7 3 18 16 14 8 2 4 17 13 6 42
8 Millwall 27 12 6 9 33 27 13 8 3 2 20 8 14 4 3 7 13 19 6 42
9 Sunderland 28 11 8 9 41 32 14 5 4 5 19 16 14 6 4 4 22 16 9 41
10 West Bromwich Albion 28 11 8 9 38 30 14 6 4 4 20 14 14 5 4 5 18 16 8 41
11 Preston North End 28 11 7 10 26 31 14 3 4 7 8 18 14 8 3 3 18 13 -5 40
12 Swansea City 28 10 9 9 40 38 13 6 2 5 20 16 15 4 7 4 20 22 2 39
13 Coventry City 28 10 8 10 31 31 15 7 4 4 19 14 13 3 4 6 12 17 0 38
14 Queens Park Rangers 29 10 8 11 31 37 14 5 4 5 17 18 15 5 4 6 14 19 -6 38
15 Hull City 29 10 7 12 36 44 15 5 3 7 17 23 14 5 4 5 19 21 -8 37
16 Reading 28 11 4 13 31 42 13 8 2 3 20 14 15 3 2 10 11 28 -11 37
17 Bristol City 28 8 9 11 37 38 15 5 4 6 19 17 13 3 5 5 18 21 -1 33
18 Stoke City 28 9 6 13 33 37 14 4 3 7 17 18 14 5 3 6 16 19 -4 33
19 Birmingham City 28 8 8 12 30 35 15 4 5 6 18 18 13 4 3 6 12 17 -5 32
20 Rotherham United 28 7 10 11 33 40 13 5 4 4 24 17 15 2 6 7 9 23 -7 31
21 Cardiff City 28 7 8 13 21 31 15 4 5 6 11 13 13 3 3 7 10 18 -10 29
22 Huddersfield Town 27 7 5 15 25 35 14 5 2 7 13 14 13 2 3 8 12 21 -10 26
23 Blackpool 27 6 8 13 28 40 13 3 3 7 14 19 14 3 5 6 14 21 -12 26
24 Wigan Athletic 28 6 7 15 27 49 15 2 3 10 11 30 13 4 4 5 16 19 -22 25

Luton Town:
Cardiff City:
Championship:
England:

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.