Championship prediction and data: Luton Town small front runner to outplay Bristol City

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Tue 25.January
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Kenilworth Road Stadium (10226 seats)

Numbers, recent trends, results, player info, head-2-head, lineups and much more: Get all you should know about Luton Town - Bristol City!

Insights:
  • Luton Town have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in Championship
  • Bristol City have the most conceded goals in the first half (23) in Championship

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

L W W W D

Luton Town form and stats

5 victories, 4 draws and 3 defeats. That’s what Luton Town have to build on here at Kenilworth Road Stadium in the Championship. Two home wins in a row for Luton Town bring valid hopes of a third.

It's back home for Luton Town, who return with a good feeling about themselves after beating Sheffield United away with the result 0-2. The home team returns to Kenilworth Road Stadium after drawing with Sheffield United (placed 11th) on their last time out; the game ended 0-2. Luton lost their last game at Sheffield United (placed 11th) after a 0-2 scoreline. Bradley was "man of the match" with a rating of 7.4 out of 10. The defender Bradley won 7 of 9 duels.

Before that match, a win away at Reading. Before that, Luton Town played out a draw 2-0 when visiting Reading. Prior to that, an away loss at Reading.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Luton Town handle that role? We have found seven games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are four wins, two draws and one defeat.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the Championship game versus Blackburn Rovers in only four days. This game is also played here at Kenilworth Road Stadium.

A decent goal production from Luton Town in their home games so far, with 20 goals from 12 league matches. 15 goals have been conceded.

W L L W L

Bristol City form and stats

4 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses. That’s the product of Bristol City playing as the away team in the Championship this season.

Bristol City's last game was the home draw against Cardiff City (3-2). Bristol City might have something to prove in this game as they lost at home in their previous match. Cardiff City proved too strong as Bristol City slumped to a 3-2 defeat in front of their own fans at Ashton Gate Stadium. Bristol City had fun at their own home (Kenilworth Road Stadium) last time out, beating Cardiff City 3-2. Weimann and Martin (2) scored. Martin, attacking player, was the top performer on the team in that game, scoring a match rating of 8.63. Martin scored two goals and hit one key pass.

Ahead of that match was the victory versus Fulham at their stadium, the result 2-6. Before that, Bristol City travelled to Fulham and returned home with a draw after the game finished 2-6. Preceding that game, the 2-6 loss visiting Fulham's place.

We have checked recent matches where Bristol City have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 17 games were five victories, three draws and nine defeats.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Bristol manager Pearson as the team has another away game coming up in only four days, this time against Preston North End.

Bristol City find the net regularly in their away games. 17 goals from 12 away fixtures in the league. Bristol City have conceded 28 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The duelists have battled before this season: Bristol City - Luton Town 1-1. H2H stats regardless of arena (last six matches): Luton Town four wins, one draw and Bristol City one victory. As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), one game had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Bristol CityA. Weimann
A. Weimann
13 goals
Luton TownE. Adebayo
E. Adebayo
10 goals
LutonH. Cornick
H. Cornick
7 goals

Luton Town missing players

Bristol City missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Luton Town Bristol City
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
25 12 3 Played P 3 12 27
9 5 1 Won W 0 4 9
8 4 1 Drew D 0 1 6
8 3 1 Lost L 3 7 12
36 20 5 Scored S 2 17 35
31 15 1 Conceded C 6 28 47
88% 83% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 96%
76% 67% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 92% 81%
48% 58% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 83% 59%
32% 42% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 42% 30%
20% 33% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 33% 26%
40% 42% 0% BTTS BTTS 33% 67% 67%
40% 42% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 11%
32% 33% 67% Failed to Score F T 67% 33% 26%
 
4.7 4.8 4 Corners for (avg) C F 4.7 4.2 4.1
5.1 4.6 6.3 Corners against (avg) C A 6.3 5.6 5.8
1.6 1.2 0.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 1.9 1.7
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
11.6 12.3 11.7 Shots (avg) S ( 8 8.9 10.2
3.8 3.8 4.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.7 3.2 3.3
38% 44% 38% Goal Efficiency G E 40% 44% 39%
 
11 10 7 Shots against (avg) S A 16.3 15.8 14.6
3.2 3 1.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5 5.8 4.7
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Bristol City have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Bristol City have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Bristol City have the most conceded goals in the first half (23) in Championship
  • Bristol City have the most dropped points from leading position (21) in Championship
  • Bristol City haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Luton Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Luton Town have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in Championship

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Fulham 27 17 6 4 73 25 14 9 3 2 36 12 13 8 3 2 37 13 48 57
2 AFC Bournemouth 27 14 7 6 43 24 13 7 3 3 26 14 14 7 4 3 17 10 19 49
3 Blackburn Rovers 27 14 7 6 44 30 14 9 3 2 30 17 13 5 4 4 14 13 14 49
4 Queens Park Rangers 26 14 5 7 40 31 13 7 3 3 17 11 13 7 2 4 23 20 9 47
5 West Bromwich Albion 27 12 9 6 34 20 13 8 5 0 21 6 14 4 4 6 13 14 14 45
6 Huddersfield Town 28 12 8 8 37 33 13 7 3 3 19 15 15 5 5 5 18 18 4 44
7 Middlesbrough 26 12 6 8 31 25 14 8 2 4 20 13 12 4 4 4 11 12 6 42
8 Nottingham Forest 27 11 7 9 35 29 14 5 3 6 16 18 13 6 4 3 19 11 6 40
9 Stoke City 26 11 5 10 32 28 14 6 3 5 19 16 12 5 2 5 13 12 4 38
10 Coventry City 25 10 7 8 34 30 13 7 2 4 21 13 12 3 5 4 13 17 4 37
11 Sheffield United 25 10 6 9 33 32 11 5 2 4 17 11 14 5 4 5 16 21 1 36
12 Blackpool 27 10 6 11 28 32 15 7 2 6 13 15 12 3 4 5 15 17 -4 36
13 Luton Town 25 9 8 8 36 31 12 5 4 3 20 15 13 4 4 5 16 16 5 35
14 Millwall 26 8 9 9 27 29 12 5 4 3 14 12 14 3 5 6 13 17 -2 33
15 Preston North End 26 8 9 9 29 33 13 5 6 2 18 15 13 3 3 7 11 18 -4 33
16 Bristol City 27 9 6 12 35 47 15 5 5 5 18 19 12 4 1 7 17 28 -12 33
17 Swansea City 24 8 7 9 28 32 12 5 4 3 15 12 12 3 3 6 13 20 -4 31
18 Birmingham City 27 8 7 12 28 40 13 5 3 5 15 17 14 3 4 7 13 23 -12 31
19 Hull City 27 8 5 14 23 31 13 4 3 6 13 16 14 4 2 8 10 15 -8 29
20 Cardiff City 26 6 5 15 28 47 12 2 1 9 9 19 14 4 4 6 19 28 -19 23
21 Reading 27 8 4 15 33 51 15 4 4 7 21 31 12 4 0 8 12 20 -18 22
22 Peterborough United 25 5 4 16 21 51 12 4 4 4 15 15 13 1 0 12 6 36 -30 19
23 Derby County 27 8 11 8 26 26 13 6 5 2 16 11 14 2 6 6 10 15 0 14
24 Barnsley 25 2 8 15 17 38 12 2 4 6 8 15 13 0 4 9 9 23 -21 14

Luton Town:
Bristol City:
Championship:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Fulham 27 17 6 4 73 25 14 9 3 2 36 12 13 8 3 2 37 13 48 57
2 AFC Bournemouth 27 14 7 6 43 24 13 7 3 3 26 14 14 7 4 3 17 10 19 49
3 Blackburn Rovers 27 14 7 6 44 30 14 9 3 2 30 17 13 5 4 4 14 13 14 49
4 Queens Park Rangers 26 14 5 7 40 31 13 7 3 3 17 11 13 7 2 4 23 20 9 47
5 West Bromwich Albion 27 12 9 6 34 20 13 8 5 0 21 6 14 4 4 6 13 14 14 45
6 Huddersfield Town 28 12 8 8 37 33 13 7 3 3 19 15 15 5 5 5 18 18 4 44
7 Middlesbrough 26 12 6 8 31 25 14 8 2 4 20 13 12 4 4 4 11 12 6 42
8 Nottingham Forest 27 11 7 9 35 29 14 5 3 6 16 18 13 6 4 3 19 11 6 40
9 Stoke City 26 11 5 10 32 28 14 6 3 5 19 16 12 5 2 5 13 12 4 38
10 Coventry City 25 10 7 8 34 30 13 7 2 4 21 13 12 3 5 4 13 17 4 37
11 Sheffield United 25 10 6 9 33 32 11 5 2 4 17 11 14 5 4 5 16 21 1 36
12 Blackpool 27 10 6 11 28 32 15 7 2 6 13 15 12 3 4 5 15 17 -4 36
13 Luton Town 25 9 8 8 36 31 12 5 4 3 20 15 13 4 4 5 16 16 5 35
14 Millwall 26 8 9 9 27 29 12 5 4 3 14 12 14 3 5 6 13 17 -2 33
15 Preston North End 26 8 9 9 29 33 13 5 6 2 18 15 13 3 3 7 11 18 -4 33
16 Bristol City 27 9 6 12 35 47 15 5 5 5 18 19 12 4 1 7 17 28 -12 33
17 Swansea City 24 8 7 9 28 32 12 5 4 3 15 12 12 3 3 6 13 20 -4 31
18 Birmingham City 27 8 7 12 28 40 13 5 3 5 15 17 14 3 4 7 13 23 -12 31
19 Hull City 27 8 5 14 23 31 13 4 3 6 13 16 14 4 2 8 10 15 -8 29
20 Cardiff City 26 6 5 15 28 47 12 2 1 9 9 19 14 4 4 6 19 28 -19 23
21 Reading 27 8 4 15 33 51 15 4 4 7 21 31 12 4 0 8 12 20 -18 22
22 Peterborough United 25 5 4 16 21 51 12 4 4 4 15 15 13 1 0 12 6 36 -30 19
23 Derby County 27 8 11 8 26 26 13 6 5 2 16 11 14 2 6 6 10 15 0 14
24 Barnsley 25 2 8 15 17 38 12 2 4 6 8 15 13 0 4 9 9 23 -21 14

More from England - Championship

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.