Championship match prediction: Little separates Fulham and Brentford in quality

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Fri 13.March
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Craven Cottage (25700 seats)

Fulham and Brentford are both riding high in the Championship with their 3rd and 4th positions respectively. Expect a great game!

This should be an interesting game with lots of spark and energy as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Game on!

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Fulham form and stats

Fulham, who have the most points (38) at home in Championship, have performed here at Craven Cottage this season with 12 wins from 19 Championship matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 2 games and lost 5. Fulham has recorded two wins in a row here at Craven Cottage, increasing their hopes of victory in this match.

An away draw last time out for Fulham, facing Bristol City in a game that ended 1-1. Before that, Fulham had a home game versus Preston North End which ended with a victory 2-0.

Fulham's goalie Marek Rodák played a big part in securing a draw after 90 minutes against Bristol City with a stunning seven saves.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Fulham have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found five matches with the results: Won three, drawn zero and lost two.

Fulham have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Craven Cottage with 32 goals in 19 league matches. On the other hand, Fulham have conceded 21 goals.

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Brentford form and stats

7-4-8 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Brentford, who have the the best goal difference (+31) in Championship, in their Championship matches away.

Impressive finishing from Joshua Da Silva (2), Bryan Mbeumo, Emiliano Marcondes and Tarique Fosu-Henry secured the home win 5-0 against Sheffield Wednesday in their previous game. Before that, Brentford travelled to Cardiff City and returned home with a draw after the game finished 2-2.

As you can tell from the results above, Brentford was very dominant against Sheffield Wednesday, winning the match with a scoreline that even the finest fortune teller couldn't predict. 5-0 (!) with Joshua Da Silva (2), Bryan Mbeumo, Emiliano Marcondes and Tarique Fosu-Henry providing the goals.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found ten similar matches played by Brentford in our archives, and the results are: two wins for Brentford, five draws and three defeats.

A quick return to home after this game, as Brentford are hosting West Bromwich Albion in the Championship only four days away.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Brentford have scored 28 goals in 19 league games away. They concede less than a goal on average per away game (18 so far).

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Brentford - Fulham 1-0. Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Fulham won two games, three matches ended with a draw and Brentford has five wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: five / five

Top Goalscorers

FulhamA. Mitrović
A. Mitrović
23 goals
Brentford
O. Watkins
22 goals
BrentfordM. Benrahma
M. Benrahma
10 goals

Fulham missing players

Brentford missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Fulham Brentford
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
37 19 6 Played P 6 19 37
18 12 3 Won W 1 7 17
10 2 1 Drew D 1 4 9
9 5 2 Lost L 4 8 11
52 32 11 Scored S 5 28 64
38 21 6 Conceded C 6 18 33
95% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 95% 95%
73% 84% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 63% 65%
46% 63% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 17% 47% 49%
16% 21% 17% Over 3.5 O 3.5 17% 26% 32%
11% 11% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 5% 14%
51% 47% 67% BTTS BTTS 17% 42% 46%
35% 42% 33% Clean Sheets C S 17% 26% 30%
19% 11% 0% Failed to Score F T 67% 37% 30%
 
5.9 7.2 9 Corners for (avg) C F 6.2 6.2 6.5
4.5 4 2.8 Corners against (avg) C A 5.7 4.5 4.4
1.8 1.9 2.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.2 1.3 1.1
3 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
495 286 92 Total Shots T S 59 241 508
168 95 30 Shots on Target S O 17 84 181
31% 34% 37% Goal Efficiency G E 29% 33% 35%
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Brentford has the most scored goals in the first half (34)
  • Brentford has the the best goal difference (+31)
  • Fulham has the most points (38) at home
  • Fulham have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Fulham have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Fulham haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Leeds United 37 21 8 8 56 30 18 11 4 3 26 13 19 10 4 5 30 17 26 71
2 West Bromwich Albion 37 19 13 5 64 37 18 8 7 3 36 23 19 11 6 2 28 14 27 70
3 Fulham 37 18 10 9 52 38 19 12 2 5 32 21 18 6 8 4 20 17 14 64
4 Brentford 37 17 9 11 64 33 18 10 5 3 36 15 19 7 4 8 28 18 31 60
5 Nottingham Forest 37 16 12 9 48 38 18 8 4 6 20 19 19 8 8 3 28 19 10 60
6 Preston North End 37 16 8 13 50 45 19 11 3 5 35 24 18 5 5 8 15 21 5 56
7 Bristol City 37 15 10 12 51 53 18 7 5 6 25 27 19 8 5 6 26 26 -2 55
8 Millwall 37 13 15 9 44 40 18 8 7 3 25 18 19 5 8 6 19 22 4 54
9 Cardiff City 37 13 15 9 52 50 18 8 8 2 26 17 19 5 7 7 26 33 2 54
10 Blackburn Rovers 37 14 11 12 52 45 19 8 8 3 24 16 18 6 3 9 28 29 7 53
11 Swansea City 37 13 14 10 46 45 19 8 5 6 24 20 18 5 9 4 22 25 1 53
12 Derby County 37 13 12 12 49 49 19 10 7 2 28 13 18 3 5 10 21 36 0 51
13 Queens Park Rangers 37 14 8 15 58 62 19 8 5 6 37 33 18 6 3 9 21 29 -4 50
14 Reading 37 13 9 15 46 42 18 7 2 9 23 24 19 6 7 6 23 18 4 48
15 Sheffield Wednesday 37 13 9 15 46 49 18 7 5 6 16 21 19 6 4 9 30 28 -3 48
16 Birmingham City 37 12 11 14 48 57 18 6 5 7 27 29 19 6 6 7 21 28 -9 47
17 Stoke City 37 12 6 19 49 55 19 8 3 8 29 24 18 4 3 11 20 31 -6 42
18 Huddersfield Town 37 11 9 17 45 58 19 7 5 7 24 25 18 4 4 10 21 33 -13 42
19 Middlesbrough 37 9 14 14 37 47 19 6 8 5 18 19 18 3 6 9 19 28 -10 41
20 Wigan Athletic 37 10 11 16 38 50 18 6 6 6 18 22 19 4 5 10 20 28 -12 41
21 Hull City 37 11 8 18 49 63 19 6 3 10 27 33 18 5 5 8 22 30 -14 41
22 Charlton Athletic 37 10 9 18 44 54 19 7 5 7 25 23 18 3 4 11 19 31 -10 39
23 Luton Town 37 10 5 22 43 71 18 7 4 7 27 27 19 3 1 15 16 44 -28 35
24 Barnsley 37 8 10 19 42 62 19 5 7 7 26 33 18 3 3 12 16 29 -20 34

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Leeds United 37 21 8 8 56 30 18 11 4 3 26 13 19 10 4 5 30 17 26 71
2 West Bromwich Albion 37 19 13 5 64 37 18 8 7 3 36 23 19 11 6 2 28 14 27 70
3 Fulham 37 18 10 9 52 38 19 12 2 5 32 21 18 6 8 4 20 17 14 64
4 Brentford 37 17 9 11 64 33 18 10 5 3 36 15 19 7 4 8 28 18 31 60
5 Nottingham Forest 37 16 12 9 48 38 18 8 4 6 20 19 19 8 8 3 28 19 10 60
6 Preston North End 37 16 8 13 50 45 19 11 3 5 35 24 18 5 5 8 15 21 5 56
7 Bristol City 37 15 10 12 51 53 18 7 5 6 25 27 19 8 5 6 26 26 -2 55
8 Millwall 37 13 15 9 44 40 18 8 7 3 25 18 19 5 8 6 19 22 4 54
9 Cardiff City 37 13 15 9 52 50 18 8 8 2 26 17 19 5 7 7 26 33 2 54
10 Blackburn Rovers 37 14 11 12 52 45 19 8 8 3 24 16 18 6 3 9 28 29 7 53
11 Swansea City 37 13 14 10 46 45 19 8 5 6 24 20 18 5 9 4 22 25 1 53
12 Derby County 37 13 12 12 49 49 19 10 7 2 28 13 18 3 5 10 21 36 0 51
13 Queens Park Rangers 37 14 8 15 58 62 19 8 5 6 37 33 18 6 3 9 21 29 -4 50
14 Reading 37 13 9 15 46 42 18 7 2 9 23 24 19 6 7 6 23 18 4 48
15 Sheffield Wednesday 37 13 9 15 46 49 18 7 5 6 16 21 19 6 4 9 30 28 -3 48
16 Birmingham City 37 12 11 14 48 57 18 6 5 7 27 29 19 6 6 7 21 28 -9 47
17 Stoke City 37 12 6 19 49 55 19 8 3 8 29 24 18 4 3 11 20 31 -6 42
18 Huddersfield Town 37 11 9 17 45 58 19 7 5 7 24 25 18 4 4 10 21 33 -13 42
19 Middlesbrough 37 9 14 14 37 47 19 6 8 5 18 19 18 3 6 9 19 28 -10 41
20 Wigan Athletic 37 10 11 16 38 50 18 6 6 6 18 22 19 4 5 10 20 28 -12 41
21 Hull City 37 11 8 18 49 63 19 6 3 10 27 33 18 5 5 8 22 30 -14 41
22 Charlton Athletic 37 10 9 18 44 54 19 7 5 7 25 23 18 3 4 11 19 31 -10 39
23 Luton Town 37 10 5 22 43 71 18 7 4 7 27 27 19 3 1 15 16 44 -28 35
24 Barnsley 37 8 10 19 42 62 19 5 7 7 26 33 18 3 3 12 16 29 -20 34

More from England - Championship

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.