Home advantage could prove decisive in Brentford - Nottingham Forest battle

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Sat 20.March
Match begins: 12:30 (UTC)
Venue: Brentford Community Stadium

Only a win will satisfy the Brentford supporters in this Brentford Community Stadium clash with Nottingham Forest, having a healthy lead on the opposition in the Championship table.

Insights:
  • Brentford have the most scored goals (64) in Championship
  • Brentford have scored more than double the goals of Nottingham Forest.

It's no vacation for neither Brentford nor Nottingham Forest as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Brentford form and stats

35 points is a decent return from 17 Championship games here at Brentford Community Stadium for Brentford. The data says 10 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses. Two home wins in a row for Brentford bring valid hopes of a third.

Brentford shared the glory with Derby County in their last match, an away game that ended all square 2-2. In the game before, an away victory match versus Blackburn Rovers with a 1-0 scoreline.

A disappointing finish for Brentford in their match versus Derby County as their 2-0 lead was destroyed and replaced with a 2-2 full time score.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Brentford matches with similar probabilities have ended with three wins, two draws and three defeats (from eight games).

Brentford can score goals in their home matches. After 17 league matches they have found the net 34 times. 18 goals have been conceded.

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Nottingham Forest form and stats

The visitors are W5-D4-L9 on the road this term. That's in the Championship.

Nottingham's previous game was their home loss versus Norwich City (0-2). Preceding that match was the 1-1 draw at home vs Reading.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Nottingham playing away, we found three games. Results were one away win, one draw and one home win.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Nottingham as they have only managed to score 13 times from 18 away games in the league. Nottingham Forest have conceded 19 goals in these away matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

Brentford and Nottingham Forest have met before this season: Nottingham Forest - Brentford 1-3. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: six wins for Brentford, zero draws and four wins for Nottingham Forest. Over 2,5 goals: six times; under 2,5 goals: four games.

Top Goalscorers

BrentfordI. Toney
I. Toney
26 goals
BrentfordS. Canós Tenes
S. Canós Tenes
7 goals
BrentfordP. Dasilva
P. Dasilva
5 goals

Brentford missing players

Nottingham Forest missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Brentford Nottingham Forest
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
36 17 5 Played P 7 18 37
19 10 4 Won W 0 5 10
10 5 1 Drew D 0 4 11
7 2 0 Lost L 7 9 16
64 34 15 Scored S 1 13 29
38 18 2 Conceded C 11 19 37
92% 88% 80% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 89%
78% 82% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 57% 61% 62%
53% 59% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 14% 17% 22%
31% 29% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 5%
17% 18% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
58% 59% 20% BTTS BTTS 14% 33% 38%
31% 35% 80% Clean Sheets C S 0% 22% 30%
19% 18% 20% Failed to Score F T 86% 44% 43%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.1 1.4 1.4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.9 1.4 1.4
2 1 0 Red cards R C 1 2 4
 
12.9 13.9 15.8 Shots (avg) S ( 9.3 10.1 11.4
4 4.4 5.6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.9 2.4 3
44% 46% 54% Goal Efficiency G E 8% 30% 26%
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Brentford have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Brentford have scored more than double the goals of Nottingham Forest.
  • Brentford have the most points from losing position (21) in Championship
  • Brentford have the most scored goals (64) in Championship
  • Brentford have the most scored goals in the second half (37) in Championship
  • Nottingham Forest haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Norwich City 37 25 7 5 55 26 18 12 5 1 26 9 19 13 2 4 29 17 29 82
2 Watford 37 21 9 7 52 26 18 14 2 2 35 12 19 7 7 5 17 14 26 72
3 Swansea City 36 20 9 7 45 28 18 11 5 2 23 10 18 9 4 5 22 18 17 69
4 Brentford 36 19 10 7 64 38 17 10 5 2 34 18 19 9 5 5 30 20 26 67
5 Barnsley 37 19 7 11 48 40 18 10 4 4 23 17 19 9 3 7 25 23 8 64
6 Reading 37 18 7 12 51 40 18 11 0 7 28 20 19 7 7 5 23 20 11 61
7 AFC Bournemouth 37 16 11 10 55 37 19 11 3 5 33 19 18 5 8 5 22 18 18 59
8 Middlesbrough 37 16 8 13 46 38 19 10 3 6 25 18 18 6 5 7 21 20 8 56
9 Cardiff City 37 15 10 12 54 37 19 7 4 8 32 21 18 8 6 4 22 16 17 55
10 Millwall 37 11 16 10 37 36 18 4 10 4 17 16 19 7 6 6 20 20 1 49
11 Stoke City 37 12 13 12 41 42 18 8 4 6 25 21 19 4 9 6 16 21 -1 49
12 Queens Park Rangers 36 13 10 13 38 42 19 8 4 7 21 22 17 5 6 6 17 20 -4 49
13 Bristol City 37 15 4 18 39 48 18 7 2 9 15 20 19 8 2 9 24 28 -9 49
14 Luton Town 36 13 8 15 30 41 18 7 6 5 22 20 18 6 2 10 8 21 -11 47
15 Blackburn Rovers 37 12 9 16 49 41 19 6 7 6 25 21 18 6 2 10 24 20 8 45
16 Preston North End 37 13 5 19 39 48 18 5 4 9 15 17 19 8 1 10 24 31 -9 44
17 Huddersfield Town 37 11 9 17 41 52 18 8 4 6 25 18 19 3 5 11 16 34 -11 42
18 Nottingham Forest 37 10 11 16 29 37 19 5 7 7 16 18 18 5 4 9 13 19 -8 41
19 Derby County 37 10 10 17 27 41 19 5 6 8 14 20 18 5 4 9 13 21 -14 40
20 Coventry City 36 9 11 16 32 48 18 7 6 5 19 19 18 2 5 11 13 29 -16 38
21 Birmingham City 37 9 11 17 28 47 19 4 3 12 14 32 18 5 8 5 14 15 -19 38
22 Rotherham United 33 9 5 19 36 47 17 4 3 10 21 26 16 5 2 9 15 21 -11 32
23 Sheffield Wednesday 36 9 8 19 26 46 18 6 6 6 15 14 18 3 2 13 11 32 -20 29
24 Wycombe Wanderers 37 6 8 23 25 61 19 4 5 10 12 24 18 2 3 13 13 37 -36 26

Brentford:
Nottingham Forest:
Championship:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Norwich City 37 25 7 5 55 26 18 12 5 1 26 9 19 13 2 4 29 17 29 82
2 Watford 37 21 9 7 52 26 18 14 2 2 35 12 19 7 7 5 17 14 26 72
3 Swansea City 36 20 9 7 45 28 18 11 5 2 23 10 18 9 4 5 22 18 17 69
4 Brentford 36 19 10 7 64 38 17 10 5 2 34 18 19 9 5 5 30 20 26 67
5 Barnsley 37 19 7 11 48 40 18 10 4 4 23 17 19 9 3 7 25 23 8 64
6 Reading 37 18 7 12 51 40 18 11 0 7 28 20 19 7 7 5 23 20 11 61
7 AFC Bournemouth 37 16 11 10 55 37 19 11 3 5 33 19 18 5 8 5 22 18 18 59
8 Middlesbrough 37 16 8 13 46 38 19 10 3 6 25 18 18 6 5 7 21 20 8 56
9 Cardiff City 37 15 10 12 54 37 19 7 4 8 32 21 18 8 6 4 22 16 17 55
10 Millwall 37 11 16 10 37 36 18 4 10 4 17 16 19 7 6 6 20 20 1 49
11 Stoke City 37 12 13 12 41 42 18 8 4 6 25 21 19 4 9 6 16 21 -1 49
12 Queens Park Rangers 36 13 10 13 38 42 19 8 4 7 21 22 17 5 6 6 17 20 -4 49
13 Bristol City 37 15 4 18 39 48 18 7 2 9 15 20 19 8 2 9 24 28 -9 49
14 Luton Town 36 13 8 15 30 41 18 7 6 5 22 20 18 6 2 10 8 21 -11 47
15 Blackburn Rovers 37 12 9 16 49 41 19 6 7 6 25 21 18 6 2 10 24 20 8 45
16 Preston North End 37 13 5 19 39 48 18 5 4 9 15 17 19 8 1 10 24 31 -9 44
17 Huddersfield Town 37 11 9 17 41 52 18 8 4 6 25 18 19 3 5 11 16 34 -11 42
18 Nottingham Forest 37 10 11 16 29 37 19 5 7 7 16 18 18 5 4 9 13 19 -8 41
19 Derby County 37 10 10 17 27 41 19 5 6 8 14 20 18 5 4 9 13 21 -14 40
20 Coventry City 36 9 11 16 32 48 18 7 6 5 19 19 18 2 5 11 13 29 -16 38
21 Birmingham City 37 9 11 17 28 47 19 4 3 12 14 32 18 5 8 5 14 15 -19 38
22 Rotherham United 33 9 5 19 36 47 17 4 3 10 21 26 16 5 2 9 15 21 -11 32
23 Sheffield Wednesday 36 9 8 19 26 46 18 6 6 6 15 14 18 3 2 13 11 32 -20 29
24 Wycombe Wanderers 37 6 8 23 25 61 19 4 5 10 12 24 18 2 3 13 13 37 -36 26

More from England - Championship

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.