Championship prediction and preview: Brentford modest favorites to beat Birmingham City

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Competition: England Championship
Date: Sat 03.August
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Griffin Park (12763 seats)

It's game two of the Championship season and everything to play for. Read our full preview!

It's no vacation for neither Brentford nor Birmingham City as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Brentford form and stats

Brentford's first home game here at Griffin Park ended with defeat. Last season their home statistics were 14 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from 23 matches.

Brentford's previous game was also a home match, the defeat 0-1 versus Birmingham City. Before that game, the 3-0 home victory against Preston North End.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Brentford have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found twelve games) they have won 7 times, drawn 1 and lost 4.

It's still early days, but we have some goal stats for the Brentford at home. 0 on target and 1 scored by the opposition; from 1 match.

Last season, Brentford's league statistics were 17 wins, 13 draws and 16 losses, resulting in a 11th position in the Championship. Over these 46 matches they scored 73 goals and conceded 59. Playing at home last season Brentford managed 14-4-5 (win-draw-lost) with 50 goals and 23 conceded.

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Birmingham City form and stats

A perfect away game record so far for the visitors, but they have only played once. Last season their away game stats were 7 wins, 8 draws and 8 defeats from 23 matches.

It's the second away game in a row for Birmingham City, but there's smiles all around after the 1-0 victory versus Brentford in the Championship last time out. Preceding that game, the 0-0 draw paying a visit to Reading.

Birmingham City are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 2 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats. From a total of 16 matches.

1 goal so far away for Birmingham City, while their defence has allowed the opposition to score 0. All from 1 match.

Let's have a look at how Birmingham City performed last season in the Championship: They landed a 17th position in the league table after playing out 14 victories, 19 draws and 13 defeats. In total they scored 64 and conceded 58 goals in these matches. The numbers for away games only are: Won 7 - drew 8 and lost 8 with 33/34 goals scored/conceded.

Head 2 Head

These teams' last encounter with each other was the Brentford - Birmingham City 0-1 earlier this season. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: 3 wins for Brentford, 2 draws and 5 wins for Birmingham City. Over 2,5 goals: 4 times; under 2,5 goals: 6 games.

Top Goalscorers

K. Pedersen
1 goals

Brentford missing players

Birmingham City missing players

Brentford Birmingham City
Total Home Home vs top Statistic Away vs low Away Total
1 1 0 Played 0 1 1
0 0 0 Won 0 1 1
0 0 0 Drew 0 0 0
1 1 0 Lost 0 0 0
0 0 0 Scored 0 1 1
1 1 0 Conceded 0 0 0
100% 100% 0% Over 0.5 0% 100% 100%
0% 0% 0% Over 1.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 2.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% BTTS 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Clean Sheets 0% 100% 100%
100% 100% 0% Failed To Score 0% 0% 0%
 
6 6 0 Corners For (avg) 0 2 2
2 2 0 Corners Against (avg) 0 6 6
1 1 0 Yellow Cards (avg) 0 3 3
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Brentford Last season Birmingham City
Total Home   Statistic   Away Total
46 23   Played   23 46
17 14   Won   7 14
13 4   Drew   8 19
16 5   Lost   8 13
73 50   Scored   33 64
59 23   Conceded   34 58
96% 100%   Over 0.5   91% 89%
80% 83%   Over 1.5   74% 72%
46% 52%   Over 2.5   52% 48%
28% 35%   Over 3.5   39% 35%
20% 26%   Over 4.5   17% 11%
57% 52%   BTTS   61% 57%
26% 39%   Clean Sheets   22% 26%
22% 9%   Failed To Score   26% 28%
 
6.3 7.1   Corners For (avg)   5.2 5.6
4.6 4.9   Corners Against (avg)   5.4 4.7
1.7 2   Yellow Cards (avg)   2.3 1.8
3 2   Red Cards   3 3
Key stats last season:
  • Birmingham City have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Brentford have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Brentford have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Brentford haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

Brentford
All Championship Club Friendlies Carabao Cup FA Cup
All Home Away
13-07-19 CF Dynamo Kyiv 0 - 0 Brentford
20-07-19 CF Wycombe Wanderers 2 - 2 Brentford
24-07-19 CF Norwich City 1 - 3 Brentford
27-07-19 CF Brentford 1 - 3 AFC Bournemouth
03-08-19 CH Brentford 0 - 1 Birmingham City
10-08-19 CH Middlesbrough 14:00 Brentford
13-08-19 CC Brentford 18:45 Cambridge United
17-08-19 CH Brentford 14:00 Hull City
21-08-19 CH Leeds United 18:45 Brentford
24-08-19 CH Charlton Athletic 14:00 Brentford
Birmingham City
All Championship Club Friendlies Carabao Cup FA Cup
All Home Away
05-05-19 CH Reading 0 - 0 Birmingham City
19-07-19 CF Swindon Town 6 - 1 Birmingham City
20-07-19 CF Bristol Rovers 1 - 2 Birmingham City
27-07-19 CF Birmingham City 0 - 4 Brighton & Hove Albion
03-08-19 CH Brentford 0 - 1 Birmingham City
06-08-19 CC Portsmouth 18:45 Birmingham City
10-08-19 CH Birmingham City 14:00 Bristol City
17-08-19 CH Nottingham Forest 14:00 Birmingham City
20-08-19 CH Birmingham City 18:45 Barnsley
25-08-19 CH Swansea City 11:00 Birmingham City

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Sheffield Wednesday 1 1 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 3 1 2 3
2 Barnsley 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3
3 Birmingham City 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 3
4 Charlton Athletic 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 3
5 Millwall 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3
6 Queens Park Rangers 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 3
7 Swansea City 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3
8 West Bromwich Albion 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 3
9 Wigan Athletic 1 1 0 0 3 2 1 1 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3
10 Luton Town 1 0 1 0 3 3 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
11 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 1
16 Blackburn Rovers 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 0
17 Brentford 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 0
18 Cardiff City 1 0 0 1 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
19 Fulham 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
20 Hull City 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
21 Nottingham Forest 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 0
22 Preston North End 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
23 Stoke City 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 0
24 Reading 1 0 0 1 1 3 1 0 0 1 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 0

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