Full preview: AFC Bournemouth odds-on to beat Swansea City at Vitality Stadium

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Sat 06.November
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Vitality Stadium (11700 seats)

1st place in the Championship table for AFC Bournemouth so far, a good achievement. The home team fans pray for more fun as 11th-placed Swansea City visit Vitality Stadium.

Insights:
  • AFC Bournemouth have the fewest conceded goals (10) in Championship
  • Swansea City have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Bournemouth and Swansea City.

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AFC Bournemouth form and stats

The home supporters can't complain about results here at Vitality Stadium as AFC Bournemouth have scored 17 goals to get 17 points from 8 games. The overall stats in the Championship are 5-2-1 (wins-draws-losses).

The Bournemouth crowd went home unhappy last time out, seeing their beloved players lose 1-2 to Preston North End here at Vitality Stadium in a Championship match. Philip Billing (midfield was the top team player in that game with a rating of 7.82/10. Billing scored one goal and dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times.

A strong away win before that one, visiting Reading and winning 2-0.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from AFC Bournemouth's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played eight games, won five matches, drawn two and lost one.

With an average of more than two goals per home game in the league (17 in 8 games), AFC Bournemouth's attacking play is working. 9 goals have been conceded.

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Swansea City form and stats

Swansea City have only collected 8 points from their away games in the Championship, after 2-2-4 (8 played).

Swansea City play their second away game in a row, but can be confident going into this one after the 2-1 victory visiting Coventry City (placed 4th). Attacker Jamie Paterson got a player rating of 7.8 in the game. "Man of the match" Paterson scored one goal, dribled past the opponent 2 of 4 times and had 55 successful passes (of 67 total).

Before that, Swansea secured a home win against Peterborough United with the score 3-0.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Swansea playing away, we found one game. Results were zero away wins, zero draws and one home win.

Swansea have scored 10 goals on their travels this season, from 8 away games in the league. In the opposite end, Swansea have conceded 14 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

Bournemouth-Swansea City H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: AFC Bournemouth six wins, Swansea City one win, three draws. six of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

AFC BournemouthD. Solanke
D. Solanke
11 goals
Swansea CityJ. Piroe
J. Piroe
9 goals
BournemouthP. Billing
P. Billing
6 goals

AFC Bournemouth missing players

Swansea City missing players

AFC Bournemouth Swansea City
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
16 8 3 Played P 3 8 16
11 5 1 Won W 1 2 6
4 2 1 Drew D 1 2 5
1 1 1 Lost L 1 4 5
27 17 5 Scored S 6 10 20
10 9 5 Conceded C 7 14 18
88% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 88% 75%
75% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 75% 62%
56% 100% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 75% 62%
12% 25% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 67% 38% 25%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 12% 6%
44% 75% 100% BTTS BTTS 100% 75% 50%
56% 25% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 25% 50%
12% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 12% 25%
 
5.6 5.2 6 Corners for (avg) C F 4.7 4.8 5.1
4.8 4.6 4.7 Corners against (avg) C A 5 4 3.8
2.1 2.4 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 1.8 1.6
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
11.4 11 11.7 Shots (avg) S ( 11 9.1 9.8
4.2 4.8 4.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.7 2.5 2.8
40% 45% 36% Goal Efficiency G E 75% 50% 45%
 
9 9.6 10.3 Shots against (avg) S A 12.3 12.9 10.2
2.6 3.1 3.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.3 5.6 4.2
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • AFC Bournemouth have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • AFC Bournemouth have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • AFC Bournemouth have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • AFC Bournemouth have the fewest conceded goals (10) in Championship
  • AFC Bournemouth have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (1) in Championship
  • AFC Bournemouth have the most clean sheets (9) in Championship
  • AFC Bournemouth haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • All of AFC Bournemouth's home-matches have had more than 2,5 goals.
  • Swansea City have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 AFC Bournemouth 16 11 4 1 27 10 8 5 2 1 17 9 8 6 2 0 10 1 17 37
2 Fulham 16 11 2 3 43 14 8 6 1 1 19 5 8 5 1 2 24 9 29 35
3 West Bromwich Albion 16 9 4 3 26 14 8 6 2 0 15 4 8 3 2 3 11 10 12 31
4 Coventry City 16 8 3 5 22 19 8 6 1 1 16 6 8 2 2 4 6 13 3 27
5 Queens Park Rangers 16 7 4 5 27 23 8 4 3 1 13 8 8 3 1 4 14 15 4 25
6 Stoke City 16 7 4 5 21 19 8 5 2 1 13 8 8 2 2 4 8 11 2 25
7 Huddersfield Town 16 7 4 5 20 18 8 5 1 2 12 9 8 2 3 3 8 9 2 25
8 Luton Town 16 6 6 4 26 21 8 4 3 1 15 9 8 2 3 3 11 12 5 24
9 Millwall 16 6 6 4 16 16 8 4 2 2 9 8 8 2 4 2 7 8 0 24
10 Blackpool 16 7 3 6 18 19 8 4 0 4 6 8 8 3 3 2 12 11 -1 24
11 Swansea City 16 6 5 5 20 18 8 4 3 1 10 4 8 2 2 4 10 14 2 23
12 Blackburn Rovers 16 6 5 5 25 25 8 4 2 2 16 15 8 2 3 3 9 10 0 23
13 Birmingham City 16 6 4 6 17 17 8 3 2 3 8 10 8 3 2 3 9 7 0 22
14 Middlesbrough 16 6 3 7 18 18 8 4 1 3 12 9 8 2 2 4 6 9 0 21
15 Preston North End 16 5 6 5 18 19 8 4 3 1 11 8 8 1 3 4 7 11 -1 21
16 Sheffield United 16 5 4 7 21 23 8 3 1 4 13 11 8 2 3 3 8 12 -2 19
17 Nottingham Forest 16 5 4 7 20 22 8 1 2 5 7 15 8 4 2 2 13 7 -2 19
18 Reading 16 6 1 9 20 27 8 4 1 3 14 13 8 2 0 6 6 14 -7 19
19 Bristol City 16 5 4 7 17 24 8 1 4 3 6 9 8 4 0 4 11 15 -7 19
20 Peterborough United 16 4 3 9 17 31 8 3 3 2 12 9 8 1 0 7 5 22 -14 15
21 Cardiff City 16 3 3 10 15 30 8 1 1 6 5 13 8 2 2 4 10 17 -15 12
22 Barnsley 16 2 5 9 12 23 8 2 2 4 7 10 8 0 3 5 5 13 -11 11
23 Hull City 16 2 3 11 9 22 8 1 2 5 5 11 8 1 1 6 4 11 -13 9
24 Derby County 16 3 8 5 12 15 8 2 5 1 8 7 8 1 3 4 4 8 -3 5

AFC Bournemouth:
Swansea City:
Championship:
England:

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.