Early betting lines indicate AFC Bournemouth advantage hosting Millwall at Vitality Stadium

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Tue 12.January
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Vitality Stadium (11700 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The AFC Bournemouth fans are optimistic that the difference between 3rd and Millwall's 17th place in the table will show on the pitch.

Insights:
  • AFC Bournemouth has the the best goal difference (+19) in Championship
  • AFC Bournemouth have scored more than double the goals of Millwall.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Bournemouth and Millwall.

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AFC Bournemouth form and stats

AFC Bournemouth, who have the the best goal difference (+19) in Championship, are steadily winning Championship games and points here at Vitality Stadium. 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat is the summary from 10 games. Hopes of three in a row are alive for AFC Bournemouth after consecutive victories at their own ground.

The Bournemouth supporters enjoyed the previous match, watching their team host Oldham Athletic in FA Cup and win 4-1. Before that match, a Championship win away at Stoke City.

An impressive turnaround for AFC Bournemouth in the match against Oldham Athletic as a 1-4 deficit was completely turned around to a 4-1 win. D. Bahamboula scored the final goal.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Bournemouth's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played five games, won three matches, drawn one and lost one.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Bournemouth, as the Championship home game vs Luton Town is only four days away.

Bournemouth can score goals in their home matches. After 10 league matches they have found the net 20 times. Bournemouth are not conceding a lot of goals here at Vitality Stadium in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 8 from 10 matches.

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Millwall form and stats

Playing away, Millwall have won 4 games, drawn 3 and suffered 3 defeats in the Championship this season.

Millwall play their second away game in a row, but can be confident going into this one after the 2-0 victory visiting Boreham Wood. A 1-2 loss hosting Coventry City before that.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Millwall playing away, we found two games. Results were zero away wins, zero draws and two home wins.

Millwall has another fixture away, a Championship game, against Nottingham Forest in just four days. A tough schedule for the visitors!

The visitors have scored 9 goals from 10 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Millwall are defending well in their away games, having conceded only 8 times in 10 matches. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above. It's worth mentioning that 5 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's four AFC Bournemouth victories, one draw and five Millwall wins. Over/under statistics; six of these games ended with three goals or more, four matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

AFC BournemouthD. Solanke
D. Solanke
9 goals
BournemouthJ. Stanislas
J. Stanislas
7 goals
MillwallJ. Wallace
J. Wallace
6 goals

AFC Bournemouth missing players

Millwall missing players

AFC Bournemouth Millwall
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
22 10 4 Played P 3 10 21
11 7 2 Won W 0 4 5
8 2 2 Drew D 1 3 10
3 1 0 Lost L 2 3 6
37 20 4 Scored S 1 9 18
18 8 1 Conceded C 5 8 20
86% 90% 75% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 70% 81%
64% 60% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 60% 71%
41% 40% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 40% 29%
36% 40% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 0%
18% 40% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
50% 40% 25% BTTS BTTS 33% 30% 48%
45% 60% 75% Clean Sheets C S 33% 60% 38%
18% 10% 25% Failed to Score F T 67% 40% 33%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.5 1.5 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 0.8 1.3
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
13 12.4 12.8 Shots (avg) S ( 6.3 10.2 11
4.4 4.6 3.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.3 2.7 3.3
38% 43% 27% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 33% 26%
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • AFC Bournemouth has the the best goal difference (+12) at home in Championship
  • AFC Bournemouth has the the best goal difference (+19) in Championship
  • AFC Bournemouth have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • AFC Bournemouth have scored more than double the goals of Millwall.
  • Millwall have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Norwich City 23 14 5 4 31 20 12 7 4 1 15 8 11 7 1 3 16 12 11 47
2 Swansea City 23 12 7 4 27 13 12 7 4 1 15 5 11 5 3 3 12 8 14 43
3 AFC Bournemouth 22 11 8 3 37 18 10 7 2 1 20 8 12 4 6 2 17 10 19 41
4 Brentford 22 11 8 3 36 21 11 5 5 1 18 11 11 6 3 2 18 10 15 41
5 Reading 23 12 4 7 34 28 11 7 0 4 16 12 12 5 4 3 18 16 6 40
6 Watford 22 10 7 5 25 17 11 8 2 1 20 9 11 2 5 4 5 8 8 37
7 Middlesbrough 22 10 6 6 28 18 10 7 2 1 15 4 12 3 4 5 13 14 10 36
8 Stoke City 23 9 8 6 26 22 12 5 3 4 17 17 11 4 5 2 9 5 4 35
9 Barnsley 23 10 4 9 27 29 11 6 2 3 14 11 12 4 2 6 13 18 -2 34
10 Bristol City 22 10 3 9 23 24 11 5 2 4 10 10 11 5 1 5 13 14 -1 33
11 Blackburn Rovers 23 9 5 9 38 27 11 5 3 3 18 12 12 4 2 6 20 15 11 32
12 Preston North End 23 10 2 11 30 31 12 4 1 7 10 13 11 6 1 4 20 18 -1 32
13 Huddersfield Town 23 9 4 10 28 32 12 7 1 4 17 11 11 2 3 6 11 21 -4 31
14 Luton Town 22 8 6 8 20 24 11 5 4 2 15 11 11 3 2 6 5 13 -4 30
15 Cardiff City 22 8 5 9 29 25 11 4 2 5 18 14 11 4 3 4 11 11 4 29
16 Coventry City 23 6 8 9 22 31 11 4 5 2 12 13 12 2 3 7 10 18 -9 26
17 Millwall 21 5 10 6 18 20 11 1 7 3 9 12 10 4 3 3 9 8 -2 25
18 Birmingham City 23 5 8 10 17 29 12 2 2 8 8 21 11 3 6 2 9 8 -12 23
19 Nottingham Forest 23 5 7 11 16 26 11 3 4 4 10 11 12 2 3 7 6 15 -10 22
20 Queens Park Rangers 22 4 9 9 20 30 11 3 4 4 11 13 11 1 5 5 9 17 -10 21
21 Sheffield Wednesday 23 6 7 10 15 23 12 4 5 3 9 8 11 2 2 7 6 15 -8 19
22 Derby County 22 4 7 11 14 24 11 1 4 6 5 14 11 3 3 5 9 10 -10 19
23 Rotherham United 20 4 4 12 19 29 10 3 2 5 12 12 10 1 2 7 7 17 -10 16
24 Wycombe Wanderers 23 3 6 14 16 35 12 2 4 6 8 14 11 1 2 8 8 21 -19 15

AFC Bournemouth:
Millwall:
Championship:
England:

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.