AFC Bournemouth vs Birmingham City preview for betting prediction

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Sat 06.February
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Vitality Stadium (11700 seats)

There should be a significant difference in quality between these teams based on table positions so far, with AFC Bournemouth leading Birmingham City by 14 points.

Insights:
  • Birmingham City has the most dropped points from leading position (18) in Championship

It's no vacation for neither AFC Bournemouth nor Birmingham City as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

L L W L L

AFC Bournemouth form and stats

The story so far in the Championship for AFC Bournemouth at their home stadium (Vitality Stadium) is 7 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. Regardless of arena the trend is looking very unhealthy for Bournemouth with their four defeats in a row. Not since the Millwall game, 24 days ago, have they avoided a loss. We have seen two home losses in a row now for Bournemouth, who are hoping that the phrase “third time lucky” applies to them.

The Bournemouth fans got no joy from their last match, a Championship game also here at Vitality Stadium: A 1-2 defeat against Sheffield Wednesday (placed 22nd). Prior to that, an away loss at Reading.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from AFC Bournemouth's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played five games, won two matches, drawn two and lost one.

AFC Bournemouth are traveling soon after this match as the FA Cup match at Burnley awaits in three days.

The AFC Bournemouth fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 22 goals in 13 league matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 2 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. From these home matches, Bournemouth have conceded only 12 goals.

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Birmingham City form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team, who have the fewest conceded goals (8) away in Championship, on their Championship travels is 4 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats.

It's another away game for the visitors, as they travelled to Wycombe Wanderers (placed 24th) in their previous outing. The Championship match ended in a draw 0-0. Ahead of that game was the 1-1 draw at home against Coventry City.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Birmingham playing away, we found two games. Results were zero away wins, zero draws and two home wins.

The visitors have scored 10 goals from 13 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Birmingham are defending well in their away games, having conceded only 8 times in 13 matches. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

Birmingham City - AFC Bournemouth 1-3 was the story when these teams last met, earlier this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last seven matches): Bournemouth six wins, zero draws and Birmingham City one victory. As for goals, six matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), one game had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

AFC BournemouthD. Solanke
D. Solanke
10 goals
BournemouthJ. Stanislas
J. Stanislas
9 goals
AFC BournemouthA. Groeneveld
A. Groeneveld
5 goals

AFC Bournemouth missing players

Birmingham City missing players

AFC Bournemouth Birmingham City
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
27 13 5 Played P 4 13 27
11 7 2 Won W 2 4 6
9 3 2 Drew D 1 7 10
7 3 1 Lost L 1 2 11
40 22 5 Scored S 3 10 19
26 12 3 Conceded C 2 8 31
89% 92% 80% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 62% 78%
63% 62% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 25% 38% 52%
41% 38% 20% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 23% 33%
33% 31% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 8% 15%
15% 31% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 8% 7%
52% 46% 40% BTTS BTTS 25% 38% 44%
37% 46% 60% Clean Sheets C S 50% 54% 33%
22% 15% 20% Failed to Score F T 50% 46% 44%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.4 1.4 1.4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.2 1.8 1.7
2 1 0 Red cards R C 2 3 4
 
12.7 11.9 12.6 Shots (avg) S ( 6.8 9.6 9.6
4.2 4.4 4.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 2.9 2.5
35% 39% 24% Goal Efficiency G E 30% 26% 28%
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • AFC Bournemouth have scored more than double the goals of Birmingham City.
  • Birmingham City has the fewest conceded goals (8) away in Championship
  • Birmingham City has the most dropped points from leading position (18) in Championship

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Norwich City 27 16 7 4 35 21 14 8 5 1 17 8 13 8 2 3 18 13 14 55
2 Swansea City 26 14 8 4 33 15 13 7 5 1 16 6 13 7 3 3 17 9 18 50
3 Brentford 25 13 9 3 45 24 13 7 5 1 26 13 12 6 4 2 19 11 21 48
4 Reading 26 14 5 7 40 29 13 9 0 4 22 13 13 5 5 3 18 16 11 47
5 Watford 27 13 8 6 31 20 14 10 2 2 24 11 13 3 6 4 7 9 11 47
6 AFC Bournemouth 27 11 9 7 40 26 13 7 3 3 22 12 14 4 6 4 18 14 14 42
7 Middlesbrough 27 11 7 9 30 24 13 7 2 4 15 9 14 4 5 5 15 15 6 40
8 Blackburn Rovers 26 11 6 9 41 28 13 6 4 3 20 13 13 5 2 6 21 15 13 39
9 Bristol City 26 12 3 11 27 28 13 7 2 4 14 11 13 5 1 7 13 17 -1 39
10 Stoke City 27 9 11 7 32 29 13 5 3 5 18 19 14 4 8 2 14 10 3 38
11 Preston North End 27 11 3 13 31 34 13 4 2 7 10 13 14 7 1 6 21 21 -3 36
12 Barnsley 27 10 6 11 29 34 13 6 3 4 16 15 14 4 3 7 13 19 -5 36
13 Luton Town 26 9 6 11 21 28 12 5 4 3 15 13 14 4 2 8 6 15 -7 33
14 Millwall 27 6 14 7 22 25 13 1 9 3 9 12 14 5 5 4 13 13 -3 32
15 Huddersfield Town 27 9 5 13 30 38 14 7 2 5 18 13 13 2 3 8 12 25 -8 32
16 Cardiff City 26 8 7 11 33 31 14 4 3 7 20 18 12 4 4 4 13 13 2 31
17 Queens Park Rangers 26 7 9 10 25 32 12 3 4 5 11 14 14 4 5 5 14 18 -7 30
18 Coventry City 27 7 9 11 26 37 13 5 5 3 15 15 14 2 4 8 11 22 -11 30
19 Nottingham Forest 27 7 8 12 22 30 14 4 5 5 14 14 13 3 3 7 8 16 -8 29
20 Derby County 26 7 7 12 17 25 14 3 4 7 7 15 12 4 3 5 10 10 -8 28
21 Birmingham City 27 6 10 11 19 31 14 2 3 9 9 23 13 4 7 2 10 8 -12 28
22 Sheffield Wednesday 26 8 7 11 18 26 13 5 5 3 10 8 13 3 2 8 8 18 -8 25
23 Rotherham United 24 6 5 13 27 35 12 3 3 6 16 18 12 3 2 7 11 17 -8 23
24 Wycombe Wanderers 25 3 7 15 18 42 13 2 5 6 8 14 12 1 2 9 10 28 -24 16

AFC Bournemouth:
Birmingham City:
Championship:
England:

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.
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