Carabao Cup betting previews: Predictions and stats for the Grimsby Town - Morecambe game

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Competition: England Carabao Cup
Competition: Sat 05.September
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Blundell Park (8933 seats)

National cups are something special for many teams and supporters. Today's match will decide whether it's Grimsby Town or Morecambe that keep their silverware dream alive.

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Grimsby Town form and stats

Grimsby participated in Carabao Cup the last season, where they reached the 3rd round.

The story so far in the League Two for Grimsby Town at their home stadium (Blundell Park) is 6 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats.

It's back home for Grimsby Town, who return with a good feeling about themselves after beating Scunthorpe United away with the result 2-0. Charles Vernam and Luke Waterfall found the net in that victory. A League Two defeat was the result before that one, 0-3 away at Plymouth Argyle.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Grimsby have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found three games) they have won two times, drawn one and lost zero.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Grimsby Town, as the EFL Trophy home game vs Harrogate Town is only three days away.

Grimsby are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 22 goals in 18 games. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Grimsby defense is not exactly impregnable. 27 goals conceded from 18 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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Morecambe form and stats

Last season their Carabao Cup adventure ended in the 2nd round.

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Morecambe so far with only 12 points returning home. The records show 3-3-13 (win-draw-lose).

Two away games in a row for Morecambe, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 0-1 versus Newport County in the League Two. Ahead of that game was the 1-1 draw at home against Crewe Alexandra in the League Two.

We have checked recent matches where Morecambe have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 14 games were two victories, five draws and seven defeats.

A quick return to home after this game, as Morecambe are hosting Rochdale in the EFL Trophy only three days away.

The visitors have scored 15 goals from 19 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Morecambe's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 37 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Grimsby Town won three games, four matches ended with a draw and Morecambe has three wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: two / eight

Grimsby Town missing players

Morecambe missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Grimsby Town Morecambe
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
25 13   Played P   13 25
7 4   Won W   1 6
8 4   Drew D   2 7
10 5   Lost L   10 12
27 15   Scored S   9 25
36 18   Conceded C   27 39
92% 92%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   100% 100%
76% 69%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   69% 80%
44% 54%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   54% 44%
24% 23%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   31% 20%
12% 8%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   23% 12%
52% 54%   BTTS BTTS   46% 60%
20% 15%   Clean Sheets C S   8% 12%
36% 38%   Failed to Score F T   46% 28%
 
4.4 4.9   Corners for (avg) C F   3.4 3.9
5.3 3.8   Corners against (avg) C A   8.2 7.4
1.9 1.6   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   1.5 1.4
2 0   Red cards R C   2 4
 
308 169   Total Shots T S   133 265
98 60   Shots on Target S O   39 78
28% 25%   Goal Efficiency G E   23% 32%

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Crewe Alexandra 37 20 9 8 67 43 19 13 3 3 38 17 18 7 6 5 29 26 24 69
2 Swindon Town 36 21 6 9 62 39 19 13 2 4 34 17 17 8 4 5 28 22 23 69
3 Plymouth Argyle 37 20 8 9 61 39 19 12 5 2 38 16 18 8 3 7 23 23 22 68
4 Exeter City 37 18 11 8 53 43 18 10 7 1 31 15 19 8 4 7 22 28 10 65
5 Cheltenham Town 36 17 13 6 52 27 18 11 5 2 35 17 18 6 8 4 17 10 25 64
6 Colchester United 37 15 13 9 52 37 18 9 5 4 28 17 19 6 8 5 24 20 15 58
7 Northampton Town 37 17 7 13 54 40 19 11 2 6 31 14 18 6 5 7 23 26 14 58
8 Port Vale 37 14 15 8 50 44 18 9 8 1 28 15 19 5 7 7 22 29 6 57
9 Bradford City 37 14 12 11 44 40 18 11 5 2 29 14 19 3 7 9 15 26 4 54
10 Salford City 37 13 11 13 49 46 19 5 6 8 20 24 18 8 5 5 29 22 3 50
11 Forest Green Rovers 36 13 10 13 43 40 17 5 4 8 16 22 19 8 6 5 27 18 3 49
12 Crawley Town 37 11 15 11 51 47 19 10 5 4 30 19 18 1 10 7 21 28 4 48
13 Grimsby Town 37 12 11 14 45 51 18 6 5 7 22 27 19 6 6 7 23 24 -6 47
14 Walsall 36 13 8 15 40 49 19 6 5 8 21 26 17 7 3 7 19 23 -9 47
15 Newport County 36 12 10 14 32 39 19 9 7 3 20 13 17 3 3 11 12 26 -7 46
16 Cambridge United 37 12 9 16 40 48 18 7 3 8 23 27 19 5 6 8 17 21 -8 45
17 Leyton Orient 36 10 12 14 47 55 19 5 8 6 26 30 17 5 4 8 21 25 -8 42
18 Carlisle United 37 10 12 15 39 56 19 5 7 7 17 26 18 5 5 8 22 30 -17 42
19 Oldham Athletic 37 9 14 14 44 57 18 6 7 5 28 21 19 3 7 9 16 36 -13 41
20 Scunthorpe United 37 10 10 17 44 56 19 6 6 7 24 25 18 4 4 10 20 31 -12 40
21 Mansfield Town 36 9 11 16 48 55 17 4 5 8 27 29 19 5 6 8 21 26 -7 38
22 Morecambe 37 7 11 19 35 60 18 4 8 6 20 23 19 3 3 13 15 37 -25 32
23 Macclesfield Town 37 7 15 15 32 47 18 5 9 4 19 17 19 2 6 11 13 30 -15 25
24 Stevenage 36 3 13 20 24 50 17 2 6 9 10 22 19 1 7 11 14 28 -26 22

Grimsby Town:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Crewe Alexandra 37 20 9 8 67 43 19 13 3 3 38 17 18 7 6 5 29 26 24 69
2 Swindon Town 36 21 6 9 62 39 19 13 2 4 34 17 17 8 4 5 28 22 23 69
3 Plymouth Argyle 37 20 8 9 61 39 19 12 5 2 38 16 18 8 3 7 23 23 22 68
4 Exeter City 37 18 11 8 53 43 18 10 7 1 31 15 19 8 4 7 22 28 10 65
5 Cheltenham Town 36 17 13 6 52 27 18 11 5 2 35 17 18 6 8 4 17 10 25 64
6 Colchester United 37 15 13 9 52 37 18 9 5 4 28 17 19 6 8 5 24 20 15 58
7 Northampton Town 37 17 7 13 54 40 19 11 2 6 31 14 18 6 5 7 23 26 14 58
8 Port Vale 37 14 15 8 50 44 18 9 8 1 28 15 19 5 7 7 22 29 6 57
9 Bradford City 37 14 12 11 44 40 18 11 5 2 29 14 19 3 7 9 15 26 4 54
10 Salford City 37 13 11 13 49 46 19 5 6 8 20 24 18 8 5 5 29 22 3 50
11 Forest Green Rovers 36 13 10 13 43 40 17 5 4 8 16 22 19 8 6 5 27 18 3 49
12 Crawley Town 37 11 15 11 51 47 19 10 5 4 30 19 18 1 10 7 21 28 4 48
13 Grimsby Town 37 12 11 14 45 51 18 6 5 7 22 27 19 6 6 7 23 24 -6 47
14 Walsall 36 13 8 15 40 49 19 6 5 8 21 26 17 7 3 7 19 23 -9 47
15 Newport County 36 12 10 14 32 39 19 9 7 3 20 13 17 3 3 11 12 26 -7 46
16 Cambridge United 37 12 9 16 40 48 18 7 3 8 23 27 19 5 6 8 17 21 -8 45
17 Leyton Orient 36 10 12 14 47 55 19 5 8 6 26 30 17 5 4 8 21 25 -8 42
18 Carlisle United 37 10 12 15 39 56 19 5 7 7 17 26 18 5 5 8 22 30 -17 42
19 Oldham Athletic 37 9 14 14 44 57 18 6 7 5 28 21 19 3 7 9 16 36 -13 41
20 Scunthorpe United 37 10 10 17 44 56 19 6 6 7 24 25 18 4 4 10 20 31 -12 40
21 Mansfield Town 36 9 11 16 48 55 17 4 5 8 27 29 19 5 6 8 21 26 -7 38
22 Morecambe 37 7 11 19 35 60 18 4 8 6 20 23 19 3 3 13 15 37 -25 32
23 Macclesfield Town 37 7 15 15 32 47 18 5 9 4 19 17 19 2 6 11 13 30 -15 25
24 Stevenage 36 3 13 20 24 50 17 2 6 9 10 22 19 1 7 11 14 28 -26 22

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