Carabao Cup: Crewe Alexandra - Lincoln City prediction and detailed statistics

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Competition: England Carabao Cup
Competition: Sat 05.September
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Alexandra Stadium (10153 seats)

National cups are something special for many teams and supporters. Today's match will decide whether it's Crewe Alexandra or Lincoln City that keep their silverware dream alive.

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Crewe Alexandra form and stats

Last season, Alexandra's Carabao Cup journey ended in the 2nd round.

The home supporters can't complain about results here at Alexandra Stadium as Crewe Alexandra have scored 38 goals to get 42 points from 19 games. The overall stats in the League Two are 13-3-3 (wins-draws-losses). In general it's been a long time since Crewe Alexandra tasted defeat here at Alexandra Stadium, as they have taken at least one point from their last ten home games in the league.

A nice win for Alexandra last time playing, versus Stevenage. That was also a home game and the match ended 3-1 with Charlie Kirk, Chris Porter and Ryan Wintle scoring for the victors. Before that, Alexandra had a League Two home game versus Stevenage which ended with a victory 3-1.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Alexandra have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 13 matches with the results: Won seven, drawn two and lost four.

There will be little rest for Alexandra after this match as they are travelling to Bolton Wanderers for a EFL Trophy game in only three days.

With an average of more than two goals per home game in the league (38 in 19 games), Alexandra's attacking play is working. Alexandra have only conceded 17 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Lincoln City form and stats

Lincoln's mission in Carabao Cup last season failed in the 2nd round.

Lincoln City have only collected 9 points from their away games in the League One, after 2-3-13 (18 played). Three might be a magic number, but there's been little wizardry in Lincoln City's last three away games as they have all been lost.

Lincoln go into this game after a win, the home game against Burton Albion that ended 3-2. A 0-0 draw was the result before that, hosting Gillingham in the League One.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Lincoln City playing away and similar expectations, we found seven relevant matches. Results were one Lincoln win, three draws and three defeats.

After this away game Lincoln City return home for a EFL Trophy game against Scunthorpe United. That game is only three sleeps after this.

The visitors have scored 16 goals from 18 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Lincoln's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 28 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: two wins for Alexandra, four draws and four wins for Lincoln City. Over 2,5 goals: five times; under 2,5 goals: five games.

Top Goalscorers

Crewe AlexandraC. Porter
C. Porter
12 goals
Crewe AlexandraD. Powell
D. Powell
9 goals
Crewe AlexandraC. Kirk
C. Kirk
8 goals

Crewe Alexandra missing players

Lincoln City missing players

Crewe Alexandra Lincoln City
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
25 12   Played P   12 25
12 10   Won W   1 8
7 1   Drew D   3 6
6 1   Lost L   8 11
46 29   Scored S   10 31
33 10   Conceded C   17 29
96% 100%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   100% 92%
92% 92%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   58% 56%
64% 67%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   25% 32%
44% 50%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   17% 20%
16% 17%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   8% 16%
76% 67%   BTTS BTTS   50% 44%
20% 33%   Clean Sheets C S   8% 24%
8% 0%   Failed to Score F T   42% 40%
 
6.7 6.4   Corners for (avg) C F   5.7 4.5
5 4.4   Corners against (avg) C A   5.1 5
0.6 0.7   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   1.4 1.7
0 0   Red cards R C   0 2
 
355 192   Total Shots T S   102 252
121 75   Shots on Target S O   37 86
38% 39%   Goal Efficiency G E   27% 36%

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Crewe Alexandra 37 20 9 8 67 43 19 13 3 3 38 17 18 7 6 5 29 26 24 69
2 Swindon Town 36 21 6 9 62 39 19 13 2 4 34 17 17 8 4 5 28 22 23 69
3 Plymouth Argyle 37 20 8 9 61 39 19 12 5 2 38 16 18 8 3 7 23 23 22 68
4 Exeter City 37 18 11 8 53 43 18 10 7 1 31 15 19 8 4 7 22 28 10 65
5 Cheltenham Town 36 17 13 6 52 27 18 11 5 2 35 17 18 6 8 4 17 10 25 64
6 Colchester United 37 15 13 9 52 37 18 9 5 4 28 17 19 6 8 5 24 20 15 58
7 Northampton Town 37 17 7 13 54 40 19 11 2 6 31 14 18 6 5 7 23 26 14 58
8 Port Vale 37 14 15 8 50 44 18 9 8 1 28 15 19 5 7 7 22 29 6 57
9 Bradford City 37 14 12 11 44 40 18 11 5 2 29 14 19 3 7 9 15 26 4 54
10 Salford City 37 13 11 13 49 46 19 5 6 8 20 24 18 8 5 5 29 22 3 50
11 Forest Green Rovers 36 13 10 13 43 40 17 5 4 8 16 22 19 8 6 5 27 18 3 49
12 Crawley Town 37 11 15 11 51 47 19 10 5 4 30 19 18 1 10 7 21 28 4 48
13 Grimsby Town 37 12 11 14 45 51 18 6 5 7 22 27 19 6 6 7 23 24 -6 47
14 Walsall 36 13 8 15 40 49 19 6 5 8 21 26 17 7 3 7 19 23 -9 47
15 Newport County 36 12 10 14 32 39 19 9 7 3 20 13 17 3 3 11 12 26 -7 46
16 Cambridge United 37 12 9 16 40 48 18 7 3 8 23 27 19 5 6 8 17 21 -8 45
17 Leyton Orient 36 10 12 14 47 55 19 5 8 6 26 30 17 5 4 8 21 25 -8 42
18 Carlisle United 37 10 12 15 39 56 19 5 7 7 17 26 18 5 5 8 22 30 -17 42
19 Oldham Athletic 37 9 14 14 44 57 18 6 7 5 28 21 19 3 7 9 16 36 -13 41
20 Scunthorpe United 37 10 10 17 44 56 19 6 6 7 24 25 18 4 4 10 20 31 -12 40
21 Mansfield Town 36 9 11 16 48 55 17 4 5 8 27 29 19 5 6 8 21 26 -7 38
22 Morecambe 37 7 11 19 35 60 18 4 8 6 20 23 19 3 3 13 15 37 -25 32
23 Macclesfield Town 37 7 15 15 32 47 18 5 9 4 19 17 19 2 6 11 13 30 -15 25
24 Stevenage 36 3 13 20 24 50 17 2 6 9 10 22 19 1 7 11 14 28 -26 22
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Coventry City 34 18 13 3 48 30 17 11 5 1 22 11 17 7 8 2 26 19 18 67
2 Rotherham United 35 18 8 9 61 38 17 8 5 4 31 16 18 10 3 5 30 22 23 62
3 Oxford United 35 17 9 9 61 37 17 11 3 3 33 13 18 6 6 6 28 24 24 60
4 Portsmouth 35 17 9 9 53 36 18 12 6 0 36 15 17 5 3 9 17 21 17 60
5 Fleetwood Town 35 16 12 7 51 38 18 10 7 1 25 13 17 6 5 6 26 25 13 60
6 Peterborough United 35 17 8 10 68 40 17 12 3 2 41 13 18 5 5 8 27 27 28 59
7 Sunderland 36 16 11 9 48 32 19 10 8 1 35 13 17 6 3 8 13 19 16 59
8 Wycombe Wanderers 34 17 8 9 45 40 18 13 3 2 34 20 16 4 5 7 11 20 5 59
9 Doncaster Rovers 34 15 9 10 51 33 19 10 5 4 30 19 15 5 4 6 21 14 18 54
10 Ipswich Town 36 14 10 12 46 36 17 6 5 6 23 18 19 8 5 6 23 18 10 52
11 Gillingham 35 12 15 8 42 34 17 9 3 5 27 17 18 3 12 3 15 17 8 51
12 Burton Albion 35 12 12 11 50 50 17 6 8 3 19 14 18 6 4 8 31 36 0 48
13 Blackpool 35 11 12 12 44 43 17 9 2 6 27 23 18 2 10 6 17 20 1 45
14 Bristol Rovers 35 12 9 14 38 49 18 7 6 5 23 19 17 5 3 9 15 30 -11 45
15 Lincoln City 35 12 6 17 44 46 17 10 3 4 28 18 18 2 3 13 16 28 -2 42
16 Shrewsbury Town 34 10 11 13 31 42 17 6 5 6 21 24 17 4 6 7 10 18 -11 41
17 Accrington Stanley 35 10 10 15 47 53 17 7 2 8 33 27 18 3 8 7 14 26 -6 40
18 Milton Keynes Dons 35 10 7 18 36 47 18 9 1 8 20 21 17 1 6 10 16 26 -11 37
19 Rochdale 34 10 6 18 39 57 16 5 4 7 19 22 18 5 2 11 20 35 -18 36
20 AFC Wimbledon 35 8 11 16 39 52 18 5 9 4 18 18 17 3 2 12 21 34 -13 35
21 Tranmere Rovers 34 8 8 18 36 60 17 3 6 8 19 26 17 5 2 10 17 34 -24 32
22 Southend United 35 4 7 24 39 85 17 2 4 11 18 42 18 2 3 13 21 43 -46 19
23 Bolton Wanderers 34 5 11 18 27 66 17 4 8 5 17 23 17 1 3 13 10 43 -39 14

Lincoln City:
England: