National cups are something special for many teams and supporters. Today's match will decide whether it's Arsenal or Brighton & Hove Albion that keep their silverware dream alive.
It's no vacation for neither Arsenal nor Brighton & Hove Albion as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.
Arsenal form and stats
Last season, Arsenal's Carabao Cup journey ended in the semi-finals against Liverpool.Arsenal have been outstanding at home so far in the Premier League with 6 wins, 0 draws and only 0 losses.
The Arsenal goalkeeper Aaron Ramsdale is looking to record 90 more "clean sheet" minutes as his team have now played 205 minutes without conceding a goal in the Premier League.
Arsenal are returning here after visiting Chelsea and winning with a 1-0 scoreline. Magalhães scored the goal(s). Magalhães, defender, was given a rating of 7.73/10 in that game, top of the team. Magalhães scored one goal and won 4 of 7 duels.
A win at home ahead of that game, as predicted. The team were big favourites against Zurich and won 1-0. The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Arsenal's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played 4 games, won 4 matches, drawn 0 and lost 0.
There will be little rest for Arsenal after this match as they are travelling to Wolverhampton Wanderers for a Premier League game in only three days.
It's goals goals goals for Arsenal who have scored 19 goals from 6 league home games. 7 goals have been conceded.
Brighton & Hove Albion form and stats
The traveling awayteam has defeated Forest Green Rovers in order to reach 3rd round of Carabao Cup. They also participated in Carabao Cup last season. This ended in the round of 16.The story so far for the visiting team on their Premier League travels is 3 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats.
It's the second away game in a row for Brighton, but there's smiles all around after the 3-2 victory versus Wolverhampton Wanderers last time out. Midfielder Mitoma was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 8.05. Mitoma scored one goal, hit two key passes, dribled past the opponent 2 of 3 times and had 38 successful passes (of 41 total).
That result followed a home victory 4-1 versus Chelsea in the Premier League.As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Brighton & Hove Albion playing away, we found 4 games. Results were 0 away wins, 1 draw and 3 home wins.
A quick return to home after this game, as Brighton & Hove Albion are hosting Aston Villa in the Premier League only four days away.
Brighton has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches in the league this season, 12 goals from 7 games. Brighton & Hove Albion have conceded 13 goals in these games.
Head 2 Head
As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's three Arsenal victories, three draws and four Brighton & Hove Albion wins. Over/under statistics; four of these games ended with three goals or more, six matches with two goals or less.
Top Goalscorers
  L. Trossard 7 goals |   G. Martinelli Silva 5 goals |  G. de Jesus 5 goals |
Arsenal missing players
Brighton & Hove Albion missing players
| Arsenal | Brighton & Hove Albion | ||||||
| Total | Home | Statistics | Stat | Away | Total | ||
| 25 | 13 | Played | P | 13 | 25 | ||
| 22 | 13 | Won | W | 7 | 13 | ||
| 1 | 0 | Drew | D | 2 | 6 | ||
| 2 | 0 | Lost | L | 4 | 6 | ||
| 64 | 41 | Scored | S | 25 | 49 | ||
| 19 | 8 | Conceded | C | 19 | 28 | ||
| 100% | 100% | Over 0.5 | O 0.5 | 100% | 88% | ||
| 80% | 85% | Over 1.5 | O 1.5 | 100% | 76% | ||
| 64% | 77% | Over 2.5 | O 2.5 | 77% | 64% | ||
| 40% | 54% | Over 3.5 | O 3.5 | 31% | 40% | ||
| 24% | 38% | Over 4.5 | O 4.5 | 23% | 24% | ||
| 44% | 46% | BTTS | BTTS | 62% | 52% | ||
| 52% | 54% | Clean Sheets | C S | 23% | 32% | ||
| 4% | 0% | Failed to Score | F T | 15% | 28% | ||
| 6 | 7.1 | Corners for (avg) | C F | 4.6 | 5.3 | ||
| 3 | 2.5 | Corners against (avg) | C A | 5 | 4.1 | ||
| 1.6 | 1.3 | Yellow cards (avg) | Y C | 1.1 | 1.2 | ||
| 0 | 0 | Red cards | R C | 0 | 0 | ||
| 16.2 | 19 | Shots (avg) | S ( | 12.2 | 13.2 | ||
| 6 | 7.2 | Shots on Target (avg) | S O | 4.9 | 5.2 | ||
| 43% | 44% | Goal Efficiency | G E | 39% | 38% | ||
| 7.5 | 6.6 | Shots against (avg) | S A | 11.7 | 10.3 | ||
| 2.7 | 2.1 | Shots on Target against (avg) | S O | 3.8 | 3.4 | ||
| Total | Home | Away | |||||||||||||||||||
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | +/- | P |
| 1 | Arsenal | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 20 | 34 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 27 | 32 |
| 3 | Newcastle United | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 27 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 26 |
| 5 | Manchester United | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 21 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
| 9 | Fulham | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -2 | 19 |
| 11 | Brentford | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Leeds United | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -7 | 15 |
| 14 | Leicester City | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
| 15 | West Ham United | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Everton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 | AFC Bournemouth | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 24 | -17 | 13 |
| 18 | Southampton | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | -14 | 10 |
| 20 | Nottingham Forest | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 19 | -20 | 10 |
