Premier League prediction and preview: Aswan modest favorites to beat Tanta

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: Egypt Premier League
Competition: Mon 14.September
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Aswan Stadium (20000 seats)

With their 14 point advantage in the league table, Aswan fans are hoping to see their team collect maximum points from this game against Tanta.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Aswan and Tanta.

Tanta have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 1000 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

W W D D L

Aswan form and stats

4 victories, 4 draws and 5 defeats. That’s what Aswan, who have the most conceded goals (21) at home in Premier League, have to build on here at Aswan Stadium in the Premier League.

Aswan are confident in defense, having played 180 minutes without conceding a goal in the league.

Aswan's previous game was a Premier League match also played at home, ending 4-0 versus Tanta (placed 18th). The home side are looking to build on that result. In the preceding match a 2-0 victory visiting El Entag El Harby.

As mentioned above, Aswan "killed" Tanta in their previous game. They need to reset completely for this one and beware of complacency.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Aswan have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found two games) they have won one time, drawn one and lost zero.

Aswan are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 19 goals in 13 games. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Aswan defense is not exactly impregnable. 21 goals conceded from 13 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

L L L D L

Tanta form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Tanta, who have the fewest scored goals (16) in Premier League, so far with only 8 points returning home. The records show 1-5-8 (win-draw-lose). The loyal fans travelling with their beloved Tanta have enjoyed the stadium food more than the matches as the visitors have gone 13 consecutive matches without winning on the road. The last time three points were secured away was the Wadi Degla game. Tanta are desperate to end a 13-game winless run, as they haven't won a game since the El Gounah fixture.

Ahmed Salem Safi was the last player to score for the away team. Tanta haven't scored a league goal in the last 297 minutes.

Two away games in a row for Tanta, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 0-4 versus Aswan in the Premier League. The game before that, was lost at home, a 0-2 defeat against Misr Lel Makasa.

As you can see from the result above, the defeat against Aswan was particularly ugly (0-4). The humiliation is still top of mind.

Tanta are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is one win, four draws and four defeats. From a total of nine matches.

Tanta are seemingly not capable of scoring regularly on their travels in the league. They have only managed 6 goals from 14 away games. Tanta struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 27 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Aswan - Tanta 4-0 played earlier this season. Head-2-head stats last five meetings: one - three - one (Aswan wins - draws - Tanta wins). As for goals, two matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), three had two or less.

Aswan missing players

Tanta missing players

Aswan Tanta
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
27 13 3 Played P 5 14 27
7 4 0 Won W 0 1 2
10 4 2 Drew D 2 5 11
10 5 1 Lost L 3 8 14
33 19 3 Scored S 1 6 16
39 21 5 Conceded C 8 27 44
93% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 86% 81%
74% 77% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 71% 63%
52% 54% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 50% 44%
30% 38% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 21% 26%
11% 23% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 7% 7%
59% 69% 100% BTTS BTTS 20% 29% 37%
26% 23% 0% Clean Sheets C S 20% 21% 26%
22% 8% 0% Failed to Score F T 80% 64% 56%
 
3.5 3.5 3.3 Corners for (avg) C F 5.4 3.9 4.2
4.9 3.9 4.7 Corners against (avg) C A 6 5 4.9
1.6 1.7 2.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.2 1.6
3 3 1 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
181 88 28 Total Shots T S 32 98 187
73 35 11 Shots on Target S O 7 30 61
44% 54% 27% Goal Efficiency G E 14% 20% 23%
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Aswan has the most conceded goals (21) at home in Premier League
  • Aswan has the most dropped points from leading position (18) in Premier League
  • Aswan has the most matches over the total-line (16) in Premier League
  • Aswan has the most scored goals in the first half (20) in Premier League
  • Aswan have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Aswan have scored more than double the goals of Tanta.
  • Aswan haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Tanta has the fewest scored goals (16) in Premier League
  • Tanta has the fewest scored goals (6) away in Premier League
  • Tanta has the most conceded goals (27) away in Premier League
  • Tanta has the most conceded goals (44) in Premier League
  • Tanta has the the worst goal difference (-21) away in Premier League
  • Tanta has the the worst goal difference (-28) in Premier League
  • Tanta have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Tanta have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Tanta is in the worst form (0-1-5)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Al Ahly 26 23 2 1 63 8 14 13 1 0 37 2 12 10 1 1 26 6 55 71
2 Zamalek 27 16 7 4 37 20 13 11 2 0 18 3 14 5 5 4 19 17 17 55
3 Al Mokawloon 26 14 5 7 33 24 14 8 3 3 21 14 12 6 2 4 12 10 9 47
4 Pyramids FC 26 13 6 7 41 28 13 6 3 4 22 13 13 7 3 3 19 15 13 45
5 Al Ittihad 25 8 12 5 27 23 12 3 6 3 12 11 13 5 6 2 15 12 4 36
6 ENPPI 26 8 11 7 24 24 13 5 6 2 11 8 13 3 5 5 13 16 0 35
7 Smouha 26 6 15 5 33 30 13 5 4 4 20 17 13 1 11 1 13 13 3 33
8 Misr Lel Makasa 26 8 9 9 34 34 13 4 4 5 16 17 13 4 5 4 18 17 0 33
9 Aswan 27 7 10 10 33 39 13 4 4 5 19 21 14 3 6 5 14 18 -6 31
10 El Entag El Harby 26 7 9 10 22 28 13 3 5 5 12 12 13 4 4 5 10 16 -6 30
11 Ismaily 25 8 6 11 28 35 13 4 4 5 17 16 12 4 2 6 11 19 -7 30
12 El Geish 26 6 11 9 27 31 13 4 5 4 15 14 13 2 6 5 12 17 -4 29
13 Al Masry 24 7 7 10 23 27 12 2 5 5 12 16 12 5 2 5 11 11 -4 28
14 El Gounah 26 7 7 12 21 33 12 5 2 5 10 14 14 2 5 7 11 19 -12 28
15 Wadi Degla 26 6 9 11 26 35 13 2 5 6 11 20 13 4 4 5 15 15 -9 27
16 Haras El Hodood 26 5 11 10 23 28 13 1 7 5 11 16 13 4 4 5 12 12 -5 26
17 Masr 25 3 10 12 17 37 13 2 7 4 10 13 12 1 3 8 7 24 -20 19
18 Tanta 27 2 11 14 16 44 13 1 6 6 10 17 14 1 5 8 6 27 -28 17