Premier League forecast and preview: Al Mokawloon small favourite to outplay El Gounah

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Competition: Egypt Premier League
Competition: Wed 10.August
Match begins: 16:30 (UTC)
Venue: Arab Contractors Stadium (35000 seats)

It hasn't been easy for Al Mokawloon so far, and the same description fits El Gounah. These brave battlers eye some important points here.

Insights:
  • El Gounah have the most dropped points from leading position (17) in Premier League

Little time to rest for the home team, as they featured in a Premier League match only four days ago. That game was an away game at Pyramids FC, so at least Al Mokawloon are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

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Al Mokawloon form and stats

Al Mokawloon's struggle is real here at Arab Contractors Stadium with only 14 points collected from 14 Premier League games. The win-draw-lost numbers are ugly: 2-8-4. When Al Mokawloon hosts teams that live in the bottom of the table (like Al Ittihad, Al Mokawloon, Misr Lel Makasa, El Sharqia Dokhan and Ghazl El Mehalla), they have won 2 of 4 matches!

Stress levels are on the rise for Mokawloon's attacking players as they have now played 327 minutes without scoring in a league game. Kabore was their last goal scorer.

Al Mokawloon faced defeat in their previous match, away at Pyramids FC (0-1).

Before that game, the home loss against Future FC with the scoreline 0-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Al Mokawloon have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 7 games) they have won 3 times, drawn 3 and lost 1.

Sports bettors, take note: A review of the 10 most recent league matches reveals that 8 of them had at least one goal from each side.

Mokawloon have scored 10 league goals here from 14 matches, not a lot. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Al Mokawloon have only conceded 13 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches. Al Mokawloon has at home met teams with this table position (low), four times. It has ended with less than 2.5 goals 4 of 4 times.

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El Gounah form and stats

There's been little loot from El Gounah's travels as they have only collected 12 points from 14 away games in the Premier League. El Gounah only have 3 wins to counter their 8 defeats and 3 draws.

Home advantage was not enough for Gounah in their previous game as they lost hosting Zamalek, 1-4.

Preceding that game, the 1-1 draw paying a visit to National Bank of Egypt.

We have checked recent matches where El Gounah have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 11 games were 2 victories, 3 draws and 6 defeats.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Gounah as they have only managed to score 13 times from 14 away games in the league. As opposed to that, El Gounah have seen the ball go into their own net 19 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

The former head-to-head match ended El Gounah - Mokawloon 1-2, earlier this season. Al Mokawloon-El Gounah H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Al Mokawloon seven wins, El Gounah two wins, one draw. five of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Al Mokawloon missing players

El Gounah missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Al Mokawloon El Gounah
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
29 14 4 Played P 4 14 29
4 2 2 Won W 1 3 7
13 8 2 Drew D 0 3 6
12 4 0 Lost L 3 8 16
22 10 4 Scored S 3 13 26
30 13 2 Conceded C 5 19 42
90% 86% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 93% 93%
55% 57% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 64% 66%
21% 14% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 36% 45%
10% 7% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 21% 17%
3% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 14% 14%
48% 50% 50% BTTS BTTS 25% 43% 48%
21% 29% 50% Clean Sheets C S 25% 29% 28%
41% 36% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 36% 31%
 
4.4 5.1 4 Corners for (avg) C F 5 3.4 4.7
4.9 4.7 4.5 Corners against (avg) C A 6.2 5.6 5.2
2.4 2.7 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 2 2.2
4 2 0 Red cards R C 1 1 2
 
7.3 8.2 7.8 Shots (avg) S ( 9.2 6.2 8.9
2.6 2.9 2.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.5 2.8 3.6
30% 25% 44% Goal Efficiency G E 21% 33% 25%
 
10.1 9.6 8.5 Shots against (avg) S A 8.8 9 9.4
3.3 3.3 2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.2 3.7 3.9
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • El Gounah have the most conceded goals in the second half (29) in Premier League
  • El Gounah have the most dropped points from leading position (17) in Premier League
  • El Gounah have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Zamalek 30 23 3 4 59 26 15 10 2 3 31 16 15 13 1 1 28 10 33 72
2 Pyramids FC 30 20 5 5 48 20 15 11 2 2 23 6 15 9 3 3 25 14 28 65
3 Al Ahly 28 17 8 3 54 20 13 10 3 0 28 5 15 7 5 3 26 15 34 59
4 Future FC 29 14 6 9 44 30 14 7 3 4 22 15 15 7 3 5 22 15 14 48
5 El Geish 30 11 13 6 23 23 16 7 7 2 16 12 14 4 6 4 7 11 0 46
6 Smouha 29 10 11 8 38 37 14 8 4 2 23 14 15 2 7 6 15 23 1 41
7 National Bank of Egypt 30 10 11 9 34 33 15 6 4 5 16 15 15 4 7 4 18 18 1 41
8 Pharco 30 9 13 8 20 18 15 5 5 5 11 12 15 4 8 3 9 6 2 40
9 ENPPI 30 7 14 9 34 35 15 2 8 5 16 20 15 5 6 4 18 15 -1 35
10 Ceramica Cleopatra 30 7 14 9 32 33 15 5 6 4 21 18 15 2 8 5 11 15 -1 35
11 Al Masry 29 7 12 10 33 34 15 3 7 5 13 17 14 4 5 5 20 17 -1 33
12 Ismaily 28 8 9 11 24 31 14 4 5 5 9 17 14 4 4 6 15 14 -7 33
13 Al Ittihad 29 8 9 12 35 48 15 6 4 5 21 23 14 2 5 7 14 25 -13 33
14 Ghazl El Mehalla 30 6 12 12 23 35 15 4 7 4 13 13 15 2 5 8 10 22 -12 30
15 El Sharqia Dokhan 30 6 10 14 28 51 15 2 5 8 14 29 15 4 5 6 14 22 -23 28
16 El Gounah 29 7 6 16 26 42 15 4 3 8 13 23 14 3 3 8 13 19 -16 27
17 Al Mokawloon 29 4 13 12 22 30 14 2 8 4 10 13 15 2 5 8 12 17 -8 25
18 Misr Lel Makasa 30 2 9 19 12 43 15 1 6 8 5 16 15 1 3 11 7 27 -31 15

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Zamalek 30 23 3 4 59 26 15 10 2 3 31 16 15 13 1 1 28 10 33 72
2 Pyramids FC 30 20 5 5 48 20 15 11 2 2 23 6 15 9 3 3 25 14 28 65
3 Al Ahly 28 17 8 3 54 20 13 10 3 0 28 5 15 7 5 3 26 15 34 59
4 Future FC 29 14 6 9 44 30 14 7 3 4 22 15 15 7 3 5 22 15 14 48
5 El Geish 30 11 13 6 23 23 16 7 7 2 16 12 14 4 6 4 7 11 0 46
6 Smouha 29 10 11 8 38 37 14 8 4 2 23 14 15 2 7 6 15 23 1 41
7 National Bank of Egypt 30 10 11 9 34 33 15 6 4 5 16 15 15 4 7 4 18 18 1 41
8 Pharco 30 9 13 8 20 18 15 5 5 5 11 12 15 4 8 3 9 6 2 40
9 ENPPI 30 7 14 9 34 35 15 2 8 5 16 20 15 5 6 4 18 15 -1 35
10 Ceramica Cleopatra 30 7 14 9 32 33 15 5 6 4 21 18 15 2 8 5 11 15 -1 35
11 Al Masry 29 7 12 10 33 34 15 3 7 5 13 17 14 4 5 5 20 17 -1 33
12 Ismaily 28 8 9 11 24 31 14 4 5 5 9 17 14 4 4 6 15 14 -7 33
13 Al Ittihad 29 8 9 12 35 48 15 6 4 5 21 23 14 2 5 7 14 25 -13 33
14 Ghazl El Mehalla 30 6 12 12 23 35 15 4 7 4 13 13 15 2 5 8 10 22 -12 30
15 El Sharqia Dokhan 30 6 10 14 28 51 15 2 5 8 14 29 15 4 5 6 14 22 -23 28
16 El Gounah 29 7 6 16 26 42 15 4 3 8 13 23 14 3 3 8 13 19 -16 27
17 Al Mokawloon 29 4 13 12 22 30 14 2 8 4 10 13 15 2 5 8 12 17 -8 25
18 Misr Lel Makasa 30 2 9 19 12 43 15 1 6 8 5 16 15 1 3 11 7 27 -31 15

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