Primera B prediction and preview: Independiente Juniors modest favorites to beat Gualaceo

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Competition: Ecuador Primera B
Competition: Mon 14.September
Match begins: 23:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (39816 seats)

It's still early in the Primera B season, but we are learning more and more about the teams. Here is the Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo preview!

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Independiente Juniors form and stats

Independiente Juniors have played 3 Primera B games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 1-1-1 (wins-draws-losses).

A good away victory last time out for Independiente, who won 1-0 against Puerto Quito (placed 5th). The spoils were shared after 90 minutes before that, a home game that ended 2-2 versus Chacaritas.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Independiente have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found four games) they have won two times, drawn one and lost one.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Independiente as they are travelling to their away game against America de Quito in the Primera B. That match is four days after this one.

Independiente Juniors has scored 4 league goals at home this season, in 3 matches. Independiente Juniors have conceded 3 in these home matches.

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Gualaceo form and stats

It's not happening yet for Gualaceo on their Primera B travels, with zero points from their first 3 away games. Maybe today will be different? The pressure to perform on the road is increasing on the Gualaceo manager, as the last three away games were defeats.

Impressive finishing secured the home win 2-1 against Santa Rita in their previous game. Preceding that game, the 1-2 loss visiting Duros del Balon's place.

Gualaceo are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is one win, one draw and one defeat. From a total of three matches.

After this away game Gualaceo return home for a Primera B game against Manta. That game is only three sleeps after this.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Gualaceo as they have only managed to score 2 times from 3 away games in the league. In the opposite end, Gualaceo have conceded 5 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

Numbers for the last four meetings between these two teams are: two wins for Independiente, one draw and one win for Gualaceo. Over 2,5 goals: one time; under 2,5 goals: three games.

Independiente Juniors missing players

Gualaceo missing players

Independiente Juniors Gualaceo
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
5 3 0 Played P 0 3 5
2 1 0 Won W 0 0 2
1 1 0 Drew D 0 0 0
2 1 0 Lost L 0 3 3
6 4 0 Scored S 0 2 8
6 3 0 Conceded C 0 5 6
100% 100% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 100% 100%
60% 67% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 67% 80%
40% 33% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 67% 80%
40% 33% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 20%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
40% 33% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 67% 60%
40% 33% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 20%
20% 33% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 33% 20%
 
2.2 3.3 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 4 4
5.2 6.3 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 6.5 5.2
2 2 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 3.5 3.2
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 2 3
 
39 27 0 Total Shots T S 0 15 35
13 9 0 Shots on Target S O 0 4 17
46% 44% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 25% 41%
Key stats in Primera B this season:
  • Gualaceo has the fewest conceded goals in the first half (2) in Primera B
  • Gualaceo has the fewest points (0) away in Primera B
  • Gualaceo has the most dropped points from leading position (3) in Primera B
  • Gualaceo have lost all their away matches so far.
  • Gualaceo haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Independiente Juniors have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
  • Independiente Juniors have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Independiente Juniors haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
Independiente Juniors Last season Gualaceo
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
38 19   Played P   18 36
19 12   Won W   5 13
10 4   Drew D   6 12
9 3   Lost L   7 11
49 26   Scored S   15 35
31 15   Conceded C   18 27
82% 89%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   78% 75%
55% 58%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   61% 56%
42% 42%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   28% 33%
21% 21%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   11% 6%
5% 5%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   6% 3%
45% 47%   BTTS BTTS   39% 33%
42% 47%   Clean Sheets C S   39% 53%
32% 16%   Failed to Score F T   44% 39%
 
3.8 4.6   Corners for (avg) C F   3.6 4.1
3.8 3   Corners against (avg) C A   4.6 4.2
2.1 2.1   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   3.8 3.7
4 3   Red cards R C   6 11
 
275 154   Total Shots T S   98 265
118 61   Shots on Target S O   48 109
36% 36%   Goal Efficiency G E   31% 28%

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Duros del Balon 6 4 0 2 8 6 2 1 0 1 3 4 4 3 0 1 5 2 2 12
2 Manta 6 3 1 2 8 7 3 3 0 0 6 3 3 0 1 2 2 4 1 10
3 Fuerza Amarilla 6 3 0 3 11 10 3 2 0 1 6 4 3 1 0 2 5 6 1 9
4 9 de Octubre 6 2 3 1 6 5 3 1 2 0 3 2 3 1 1 1 3 3 1 9
5 Puerto Quito 6 2 2 2 6 7 4 2 1 1 5 2 2 0 1 1 1 5 -1 8
6 Chacaritas 6 2 2 2 8 10 3 2 0 1 4 3 3 0 2 1 4 7 -2 8
7 Independiente Juniors 5 2 1 2 6 6 3 1 1 1 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 0 7
8 America de Quito 6 2 1 3 3 4 3 1 1 1 2 2 3 1 0 2 1 2 -1 7
9 Gualaceo 5 2 0 3 8 6 2 2 0 0 6 1 3 0 0 3 2 5 2 6
10 Santa Rita 6 2 0 4 7 10 3 1 0 2 4 4 3 1 0 2 3 6 -3 6

Read more about Primera B

The Primera Categoria Serie B, often shortened to Serie B or Primera B, is the second-highest level of football in Ecuador. Like Serie A the competition format often changes every year. Currently it holds ten teams and the season runs from February to December in two stages.