Home advantage could prove decisive in Universidad Católica - Macará battle

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Competition: Ecuador Liga Pro
Date: Tue 20.August
Match begins: 00:15 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (40958 seats)

Universidad Católica and Macará are both riding high in the Liga Pro with their 2nd and 1st positions respectively. Expect a great game!

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Universidad Católica and Macará.

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Universidad Católica form and stats

Universidad Católica, who have the most points (29) at home in Liga Pro, are steadily winning games and points here at Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa. 9 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat is the summary from 12 games.

The Universidad Católica crowd went home unhappy last time out, seeing their beloved players lose 1-3 to Macará here at Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa in a Liga Pro match. A defeat was the result before that one, 1-2 away at Delfin.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Universidad Católica have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found four games) they have won 1 time, drawn 0 and lost 3.

Universidad Católica can score goals in their home matches. After 12 matches they have found the net 26 times. From these home matches, Universidad Católica have conceded only 9 goals.

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Macará form and stats

Macará's travelling support has been rewarded for their time and money so far this season, having witnessed Macará, who have the most points (24) away in Liga Pro, collect 24 points from their 11 away matches. 7 victories and 3 draws have created these points (and only 1 defeat).

Macará play their second away game in a row, but can be confident going into this one after the 3-1 victory visiting Universidad Católica. Before that, Macará secured a home win against América de Quito with the score 1-0.

We have checked recent matches where Macará have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those three games were W1-D1-L1.

The travelling fans enjoy Macará's attacking play in away games, having scored 17 goals in 11 away matches. It's not easy to score on Macará as they have only conceded 8 goals from these away games.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Universidad Católica - Macará 1-3. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: 1 - 4 - 5 (Universidad Católica wins - draws - Macará wins). As for goals, 4 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 6 had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

L. Amarilla
15 goals / 5 assists
M. Estrada
14 goals / 3 assists
B. Vides
12 goals

Universidad Católica missing players

Macará missing players

Universidad Católica Macará
Total Home Home vs top Statistic Away vs top Away Total
22 12 2 Played 2 11 22
14 9 2 Won 1 7 14
2 2 0 Drew 1 3 7
6 1 0 Lost 0 1 1
42 26 4 Scored 3 17 37
23 9 2 Conceded 2 8 12
95% 92% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 95%
73% 67% 100% Over 1.5 100% 82% 77%
64% 50% 100% Over 2.5 50% 36% 32%
27% 33% 0% Over 3.5 0% 9% 9%
14% 17% 0% Over 4.5 0% 0% 5%
64% 50% 100% BTTS 100% 64% 50%
27% 50% 0% Clean Sheets 0% 27% 45%
14% 8% 0% Failed To Score 0% 9% 9%
 
5.1 6.1 6 Corners For (avg) 2 3 3.6
3.6 2.6 2 Corners Against (avg) 6 4.5 4.1
2.4 2.2 2.5 Yellow Cards (avg) 2.5 3.5 2.6
4 2 0 Red Cards 0 3 5
Key stats this season:
  • Macará have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Macará have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Macará haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Universidad Católica have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Universidad Católica have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.

Universidad Católica
All Liga Pro Copa Sudamericana
All Home Away
28-07-19 LP Fuerza Amarilla 1 - 2 Universidad Católica
02-08-19 CS Universidad Católica 3 - 2 Independiente
04-08-19 LP Universidad Católica 2 - 1 Barcelona
10-08-19 LP Delfin 2 - 1 Universidad Católica
20-08-19 LP Universidad Católica 1 - 3 Macará
25-08-19 LP El Nacional 17:15 Universidad Católica
31-08-19 LP Universidad Católica 22:30 Independiente del Valle
15-09-19 LP Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica
22-09-19 LP Universidad Católica - Deportivo Cuenca
29-09-19 LP Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica
Macará
All Copa Libertadores Liga Pro Primera B Copa Sudamericana
All Home Away
23-07-19 LP Macará 2 - 0 Técnico Universitario
28-07-19 LP Macará 1 - 1 Olmedo
04-08-19 LP LDU Quito 1 - 1 Macará
10-08-19 LP Macará 1 - 0 América de Quito
20-08-19 LP Universidad Católica 1 - 3 Macará
25-08-19 LP Macará 22:00 Emelec
03-09-19 LP Mushuc Runa 00:15 Macará
15-09-19 LP Independiente del Valle - Macará
22-09-19 LP Macará - Delfin
29-09-19 LP Aucas - Macará

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Macará 22 14 7 1 37 12 11 7 4 0 20 4 11 7 3 1 17 8 25 49
2 Universidad Católica 22 14 2 6 42 23 12 9 2 1 26 9 10 5 0 5 16 14 19 44
3 Independiente del Valle 22 12 6 4 32 21 10 7 2 1 16 7 12 5 4 3 16 14 11 42
4 Delfin 22 12 4 6 33 24 11 6 3 2 16 8 11 6 1 4 17 16 9 40
5 Barcelona 22 12 3 7 43 30 11 8 1 2 28 12 11 4 2 5 15 18 13 39
6 Aucas 22 11 5 6 34 30 11 7 2 2 19 13 11 4 3 4 15 17 4 38
7 El Nacional 22 9 6 7 30 26 11 5 3 3 15 11 11 4 3 4 15 15 4 33
8 LDU Quito 22 8 8 6 30 25 11 5 4 2 17 13 11 3 4 4 13 12 5 32
9 Deportivo Cuenca 22 8 5 9 34 38 11 6 1 4 22 17 11 2 4 5 12 21 -4 29
10 Emelec 22 8 3 11 21 22 11 5 1 5 9 10 11 3 2 6 12 12 -1 27
11 Olmedo 22 7 5 10 24 33 11 5 2 4 11 13 11 2 3 6 13 20 -9 26
12 Mushuc Runa 22 7 4 11 27 35 11 4 1 6 17 20 11 3 3 5 10 15 -8 25
13 Guayaquil City 22 6 6 10 21 30 10 4 4 2 13 9 12 2 2 8 8 21 -9 24
14 Técnico Universitario 22 4 4 14 25 45 11 2 2 7 11 22 11 2 2 7 14 23 -20 16
15 América de Quito 22 2 8 12 17 27 11 2 5 4 13 12 11 0 3 8 4 15 -10 14
16 Fuerza Amarilla 22 2 4 16 19 48 12 1 3 8 12 24 10 1 1 8 7 24 -29 10

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