Superliga preview: Can Midtjylland edge out victory against Brøndby?

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Competition: Denmark Superliga
Competition: Mon 27.February
Match begins: 18:00 (UTC)
Venue: MCH Arena (11809 seats)

Superliga: Top-drawer versus not good enough, at least based on the matches so far. Midtjylland - Brøndby. Home victory or a surprise?

Insights:
  • Midtjylland have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Brøndby have won significantly less corners away then at home.

Midtjylland have less rest than Brøndby in this fixture, as the hosts were involved in a Europa League game only four days ago. Thankfully the previous game, versus Sporting CP, was also a home game here at MCH Arena. The away team is better rested.

L W D D W

Midtjylland form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories in the Superliga this season. Midtjylland have only managed 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from their games here at MCH Arena.

The Midtjylland goalkeeper Jonas Lössl is looking to record 90 more "clean sheet" minutes as his team have now played 270 minutes without conceding a goal in the Superliga.

The Midtjylland fans got no joy from their last game, a Europa League duel also played here at MCH Arena: A 0-4 defeat against Sporting CP. Dalsgaard was "man of the match" with a rating of 7.11 out of 10. The defender Dalsgaard won 3 of 5 duels.

Before that match, a Superliga win away at Viborg.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Midtjylland have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 9 games) they have won 4 times, drawn 2 and lost 3.

Midtjylland aren't scoring a lot here at MCH Arena in the league, with only {8 goals} from 9 games. 13 goals have been conceded.

W W W W W

Brøndby form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Superliga travels is 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. Brøndby has drawn their two previous away games.

Brøndby won their last game, 5-2 versus Horsens played at home. As you can tell from the result, the match against Horsens was as crazy as a clown in a village circus. Great fun for the neutral supporter with 7 goals, will the fun continue today? It's hard not to mention Vallys's lethal finishing against Horsens. three goals were a big reason for the important victory. Midfield player Vallys was the top player of the team with a match rating of 8.85/10. Vallys scored three goals, hit two key passes and had 36 successful passes (of 41 total).

Before that match, the victory at home hosting Viking in the Atlantic Cup (3-2). We have checked recent matches where Brøndby have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 9 games were 3 victories, 1 draw and 5 defeats.

Betting fact: Both teams have scored at least one goal in 8 of this club's latest 10 league games.

Brøndby are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 10 away goals from 8 games (in the league). It's worth mentioning that 6 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. In the opposite end, Brøndby have conceded 13 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

Brøndby - Midtjylland 0-2 was the output when this pair of sides formerly met, some time ago this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Midtjylland five wins, one draw and Brøndby four victories. As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

MidtjyllandG. Isaksen
G. Isaksen
7 goals
BrøndbyO. Omoijuanfo
O. Omoijuanfo
6 goals
BrøndbyN. Vallys
N. Vallys
5 goals

Midtjylland missing players

Brøndby missing players

Midtjylland Brøndby
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
18 9 2 Played P 2 8 18
6 2 1 Won W 0 2 6
8 3 0 Drew D 1 3 6
4 4 1 Lost L 1 3 6
28 8 2 Scored S 1 10 28
22 13 3 Conceded C 4 13 30
89% 89% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 50% 88% 94%
83% 89% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 88% 89%
44% 44% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 50% 50%
28% 11% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 38% 44%
17% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 25% 28%
61% 67% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 62% 61%
28% 11% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 25% 22%
22% 33% 50% Failed to Score F T 50% 25% 22%
 
6 7.3 5.5 Corners for (avg) C F 1 4.2 5.6
4.6 4.6 4 Corners against (avg) C A 8 5.5 5.6
2 1.7 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1.8 2.1
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
13.7 16.4 21.5 Shots (avg) S ( 9.5 13.6 14.8
5.2 5.6 8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.5 4.2 5.2
30% 16% 12% Goal Efficiency G E 11% 29% 30%
 
10.5 9.8 9 Shots against (avg) S A 18 13.6 13.3
3.4 3 3.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 7 4.9 4.8
Key stats in Superliga this season:
  • Brøndby have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Midtjylland have won significantly more corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Nordsjælland 18 10 6 2 30 14 9 6 2 1 18 8 9 4 4 1 12 6 16 36
2 Viborg 18 9 5 4 25 20 9 5 3 1 13 10 9 4 2 3 12 10 5 32
3 København 18 9 3 6 31 20 8 4 2 2 12 7 10 5 1 4 19 13 11 30
4 Midtjylland 18 6 8 4 28 22 9 2 3 4 8 13 9 4 5 0 20 9 6 26
5 AGF 18 7 4 7 20 18 8 3 2 3 11 10 10 4 2 4 9 8 2 25
6 OB 18 6 7 5 23 25 10 3 3 4 11 15 8 3 4 1 12 10 -2 25
7 Randers 18 6 7 5 23 26 9 4 2 3 10 11 9 2 5 2 13 15 -3 25
8 Silkeborg 18 7 3 8 27 28 9 4 1 4 13 14 9 3 2 4 14 14 -1 24
9 Brøndby 18 6 6 6 28 30 10 4 3 3 18 17 8 2 3 3 10 13 -2 24
10 Horsens 18 6 4 8 24 27 9 5 3 1 18 12 9 1 1 7 6 15 -3 22
11 AaB 18 3 5 10 17 29 9 1 4 4 7 12 9 2 1 6 10 17 -12 14
12 Lyngby 18 1 6 11 16 33 9 0 4 5 7 17 9 1 2 6 9 16 -17 9

Midtjylland:
Denmark:

Read more about Superliga

Superligaen (The Danish Superliga) is the top level football league in Denmark. It has 14 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 182 matches to create a league table. This is followed by top and bottom half playoffs. The full season runs from July to May with a two month winter break.