Midtjylland welcomes AGF as clear favourites: Big betting preview

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Competition: Denmark Superliga
Date: Sun 15.December
Match begins: 17:00 (UTC)
Venue: MCH Arena (11809 seats)

Both teams are enjoying a good season so far and games like this could be decisive. Here's the preview for Midtjylland - AGF!

It's no vacation for neither Midtjylland nor AGF as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Midtjylland form and stats

The home supporters can't complain about results here at MCH Arena as Midtjylland, who have the most clean sheets (9) in Superliga, have scored 15 goals to get 22 points from 10 games. The overall stats in the Superliga are 7-1-2 (wins-draws-losses).

The Midtjylland crowd went home unhappy last time out, seeing their beloved players lose 1-3 to AGF here at MCH Arena in a Superliga match. A strong away win before that one, visiting Brøndby and winning 2-1.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Midtjylland matches with similar probabilities have ended with 1 win, 0 draws and 2 defeats (from three games).

A decent goal production from Midtjylland in their home games so far, with 15 goals from 10 league matches. From these home matches, Midtjylland have conceded only 9 goals.

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AGF form and stats

5-2-3 is the win-draw-loss statistic for AGF in their Superliga matches away. It’s been three wins in a row for AGF on their travels, an amazing performance which inspire hopes of making this one the fourth consecutive victory.

AGF play their second away game in a row, but can be confident going into this one after the 3-1 victory visiting Midtjylland (placed 1st). A 1-1 draw was the result before that, hosting Lyngby.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and AGF playing away, we found two games. Results were 1 away win, 0 draws and 1 home win.

AGF find the net in their away games, although not all the time. 14 goals from 10 away fixtures in the league. 10 goals have been conceded by AGF in these games.

Head 2 Head

These teams' last encounter with each other was the Midtjylland - AGF 1-3 earlier this season. Midtjylland-AGF H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Midtjylland 5 wins, AGF 2 wins, 3 draws. 5 of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

AGFP. Mortensen
P. Mortensen
8 goals
AGFM. Bundu
M. Bundu
7 goals
MidtjyllandEvander
Evander
6 goals

Midtjylland missing players

AGF missing players

Midtjylland AGF
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
20 10 2 Played P 2 10 20
16 7 2 Won W 1 5 11
2 1 0 Drew D 0 2 3
2 2 0 Lost L 1 3 6
32 15 5 Scored S 4 14 34
13 9 1 Conceded C 2 10 22
95% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 90% 95%
65% 60% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 80% 80%
50% 50% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 60% 60%
10% 20% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 10% 20%
5% 10% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 10%
50% 60% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 60% 60%
45% 30% 50% Clean Sheets C S 50% 30% 30%
10% 10% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 20% 15%
 
6.2 5.9 5.5 Corners For (avg) C F 3.5 4 5
4.4 4.7 2.5 Corners Against (avg) C A 6.5 5.4 4.7
2.3 1.8 2 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 2.5 2.4 2
3 2 0 Red Cards R C 0 1 1
 
318 167 33 Total Shots T S 25 121 275
103 50 9 Shots on Target S O 5 35 92
31% 30% 56% Goal Efficiency G E 80% 40% 37%
Key stats in Superliga this season:
  • AGF have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • AGF is in the best form (5-1-0)
  • Midtjylland has the fewest conceded goals (13)
  • Midtjylland has the fewest conceded goals in the first half (1)
  • Midtjylland has the most clean sheets (9)
  • Midtjylland has the most matches under the total-line (13)
  • Midtjylland has the the best goal difference (+19)
  • Midtjylland have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Midtjylland haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Midtjylland 20 16 2 2 32 13 10 7 1 2 15 9 10 9 1 0 17 4 19 50
2 København 19 14 1 4 35 21 9 8 1 0 21 7 10 6 0 4 14 14 14 43
3 AGF 20 11 3 6 34 22 10 6 1 3 20 12 10 5 2 3 14 10 12 36
4 Brøndby 20 10 2 8 37 29 11 7 1 3 25 17 9 3 1 5 12 12 8 32
5 Randers 20 9 3 8 35 28 10 7 2 1 22 9 10 2 1 7 13 19 7 30
6 AaB 20 8 4 8 31 24 10 5 2 3 16 10 10 3 2 5 15 14 7 28
7 Nordsjælland 20 8 4 8 34 30 9 5 2 2 14 7 11 3 2 6 20 23 4 28
8 Lyngby 20 8 4 8 26 33 11 7 1 3 16 16 9 1 3 5 10 17 -7 28
9 OB 19 8 3 8 28 22 10 5 2 3 17 10 9 3 1 5 11 12 6 27
10 Horsens 20 7 4 9 18 32 10 5 1 4 10 17 10 2 3 5 8 15 -14 25
11 SønderjyskE 20 5 7 8 24 34 10 3 3 4 11 16 10 2 4 4 13 18 -10 22
12 Hobro 20 2 11 7 20 27 10 1 7 2 9 12 10 1 4 5 11 15 -7 17
13 Esbjerg 20 3 4 13 17 35 10 2 3 5 11 15 10 1 1 8 6 20 -18 13
14 Silkeborg 20 2 4 14 25 46 9 1 1 7 11 21 11 1 3 7 14 25 -21 10

Denmark:

Read more about Superliga

Superligaen (The Danish Superliga) is the top level football league in Denmark. It has 14 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 182 matches to create a league table. This is followed by top and bottom half playoffs. The full season runs from July to May with a two month winter break.