Superliga match prediction: Little separates Horsens and Lyngby in quality

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Competition: Denmark Superliga
Competition: Sun 21.March
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: CASA Arena Horsens (10400 seats)

Horsens are welcoming Lyngby for another important game after their 0-2 result against 6th-placed SønderjyskE.

Insights:
  • Horsens have the fewest scored goals (14) in Superliga
  • Lyngby have the most conceded goals (42) in Superliga

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

L D W D D

Horsens form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories in the Superliga this season. Horsens, who have the fewest scored goals (14) in Superliga, have only managed 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from their games here at CASA Arena Horsens.

The fans are hoping that Horsens will strike back in this match, putting things right after the 0-2 away loss in the Superliga game against SønderjyskE (placed 6th). Before that, Horsens played out a draw 2-2 when visiting Nordsjælland.

This is expected to be a close game, with Horsens perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Horsens as a small favourite), we find four games. Horsens has won three of these, drawn zero and lost one.

The Horsens fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 10 in 10 matches. Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 17 goals have been conceded.

L W W W D

Lyngby form and stats

There's been little loot from Lyngby's travels as they have only collected 9 points from 10 away games in the Superliga. Lyngby, who have the most conceded goals (42) in Superliga, only have 3 wins to counter their 7 defeats and 0 draws. Lyngby has recorded two wins in a row in their away matches and hold legitimate hopes of a third one.

Lyngby might have something to prove in this game as they lost at home in their previous match. Nordsjælland proved too strong as Lyngby slumped to a 0-3 defeat in front of their own fans at Lyngby Stadion. Ahead of that match was the victory versus Randers at their stadium, the result 2-1.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Lyngby playing away and similar expectations, we found six relevant matches. Results were two Lyngby wins, two draws and two defeats.

Lyngby are not goal shy away from home in the league, finding the net 15 times in 10 away games so far. The Lyngby manager C. Falch has some worries about the defense as 22 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Lyngby - Horsens 1-1 played earlier this season. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: five wins for Horsens, three draws and two wins for Lyngby. Over 2,5 goals: six times; under 2,5 goals: four games.

Top Goalscorers

LyngbyJ. Gammelby
J. Gammelby
4 goals
HorsensJ. Pohl
J. Pohl
3 goals
LyngbyL. Nielsen
L. Nielsen
3 goals

Horsens missing players

Lyngby missing players

Horsens Lyngby
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
21 10 2 Played P 2 10 21
2 2 1 Won W 1 3 4
6 3 1 Drew D 0 0 5
13 5 0 Lost L 1 7 12
14 10 3 Scored S 3 15 23
35 17 1 Conceded C 3 22 42
90% 90% 50% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 90%
76% 90% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 70% 76%
52% 70% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 70% 67%
14% 20% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 60% 43%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 60% 29%
43% 60% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 70% 52%
10% 10% 50% Clean Sheets C S 50% 10% 19%
57% 40% 50% Failed to Score F T 0% 20% 38%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.8 2.3 2.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 2.6 2.2
3 1 0 Red cards R C 1 1 3
 
11.4 12.8 12 Shots (avg) S ( 8 9.6 9.8
3.3 3.7 4.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3.2 3.2
20% 27% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 47% 34%
Key stats in Superliga this season:
  • Horsens have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Horsens have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Horsens have the fewest clean sheets (2) in Superliga
  • Horsens have the fewest scored goals (14) in Superliga
  • Horsens have the fewest scored goals in the second half (6) in Superliga
  • Horsens have the most conceded goals in the first half (19) in Superliga
  • Horsens have the the worst goal difference (-21) in Superliga
  • Lyngby have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Lyngby have the most conceded goals (22) away in Superliga
  • Lyngby have the most conceded goals (42) in Superliga
  • Lyngby have the most conceded goals in the second half (26) in Superliga
  • Lyngby haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Brøndby 21 14 2 5 39 23 10 7 2 1 21 12 11 7 0 4 18 11 16 44
2 Midtjylland 21 12 4 5 30 20 10 7 1 2 15 5 11 5 3 3 15 15 10 40
3 AGF 20 10 6 4 33 20 10 7 0 3 21 9 10 3 6 1 12 11 13 36
4 København 21 10 5 6 38 33 11 5 3 3 21 17 10 5 2 3 17 16 5 35
5 Randers 20 8 4 8 28 19 10 3 2 5 15 14 10 5 2 3 13 5 9 28
6 SønderjyskE 21 8 4 9 29 30 11 5 2 4 15 13 10 3 2 5 14 17 -1 28
7 AaB 21 7 7 7 24 28 10 4 3 3 12 13 11 3 4 4 12 15 -4 28
8 Nordsjælland 21 6 8 7 33 29 10 4 3 3 17 12 11 2 5 4 16 17 4 26
9 OB 21 6 7 8 23 28 11 4 4 3 11 12 10 2 3 5 12 16 -5 25
10 Vejle 21 6 6 9 25 32 11 3 4 4 13 16 10 3 2 5 12 16 -7 24
11 Lyngby 21 4 5 12 23 42 11 1 5 5 8 20 10 3 0 7 15 22 -19 17
12 Horsens 21 2 6 13 14 35 10 2 3 5 10 17 11 0 3 8 4 18 -21 12

Denmark:

Read more about Superliga

Superligaen (The Danish Superliga) is the top level football league in Denmark. It has 14 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 182 matches to create a league table. This is followed by top and bottom half playoffs. The full season runs from July to May with a two month winter break.