Home advantage could prove decisive in Brøndby - AGF battle

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Competition: Denmark Superliga
Competition: Sun 13.March
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Brøndby Stadion (29000 seats)

The standings reveals that 15 points divide the pair of two sets of gladiators in this Superliga match. Brøndby own both the points- and home ground advantage.

Insights:
  • Brøndby have the most points from losing position (16) in Superliga

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

W W W L L

Brøndby form and stats

Brøndby are steadily winning Superliga games and points here at Brøndby Stadion. 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat is the summary from 10 games. Brøndby haven’t lost a league-game in eleven attempts regardless of arena, a great achievement. Their last loss was the fixture versus SønderjyskE, 175 days ago.

Defensively the home team are doing well, with their goalkeeper Mads Hermansen not having conceded a league goal in 437 minutes.

Happy days for Brøndby in their previous game, a fixture away at Silkeborg (placed 5th) that ended with a 1-0 victory. Goalkeeper Hermansen got the top rating on the team in that game; 8.92 out of ten. Hermansen topped it up with a clean sheet.

Before that game, the 1-0 home victory against SønderjyskE.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Brøndby have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found nine games) they have won four times, drawn four and lost one.

The Brøndby fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 15 goals in 10 league matches. Brøndby are not conceding a lot of goals here at Brøndby Stadion in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 8 from 10 matches.

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AGF form and stats

There's been little loot from AGF's travels as they have only collected 9 points from 10 away games in the Superliga. AGF only have 2 wins to counter their 5 defeats and 3 draws.

The manager Nielsen was unhappy after their last game, played at their home ground Ceres Park. AGF suffered a 2-3 loss to Nordsjælland (placed 10th). Midfielder Anderson was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 7.82. Anderson scored one goal and hit one key pass.

It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Vejle wasn't a success with a 2-3 loss.

AGF are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is three wins, three draws and one defeat. From a total of seven matches.

The attacking power of AGF when travelling is not overwhelming with 8 goals scored from 10 league matches away. It's worth mentioning that 6 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. AGF's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 15 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

The newest recorded scoreline featuring both these teams is the AGF - Brøndby 1-1 played not long ago this season. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: three - four - three (Brøndby wins - draws - AGF wins). As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five had two or less. The games between these sides have sometimes been a bit rough, having seen 5 sending-offs from the last ten duels.

Top Goalscorers

AGFP. Mortensen
P. Mortensen
5 goals
AGFM. Anderson
M. Anderson
4 goals
BrøndbyC. Cappis
C. Cappis
3 goals

Brøndby missing players

AGF missing players

Brøndby AGF
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
20 10 3 Played P 3 10 20
11 7 1 Won W 0 2 6
6 2 2 Drew D 1 3 6
3 1 0 Lost L 2 5 8
29 15 3 Scored S 1 8 22
20 8 2 Conceded C 7 15 27
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 80% 90%
70% 70% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 70% 70%
40% 40% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 30% 40%
20% 10% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 30% 30%
10% 10% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 20% 15%
60% 60% 67% BTTS BTTS 33% 30% 45%
30% 30% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 30% 35%
10% 10% 0% Failed to Score F T 67% 60% 30%
 
5.2 5.2 4.7 Corners for (avg) C F 6 5 5
4.1 4.5 6.7 Corners against (avg) C A 3.7 4.7 4.7
1.8 1.4 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.7 2.4 2.2
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
12.9 13.3 15 Shots (avg) S ( 11.3 11.8 11.7
4.4 4.4 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3.2 3.8
33% 34% 20% Goal Efficiency G E 11% 25% 29%
 
12.8 11.9 13 Shots against (avg) S A 11.3 14.1 13.6
4 3.8 4.7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.3 4.3 4.2
Key stats in Superliga this season:
  • Brøndby have the most matches under the total-line (12) in Superliga
  • Brøndby have the most points (23) at home in Superliga
  • Brøndby have the most points from losing position (16) in Superliga
  • Brøndby haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Brøndby is in the best form (6-0-0) in Superliga

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 København 20 12 6 2 41 13 10 5 4 1 18 7 10 7 2 1 23 6 28 42
2 Midtjylland 20 12 3 5 36 21 10 7 0 3 22 10 10 5 3 2 14 11 15 39
3 Brøndby 20 11 6 3 29 20 10 7 2 1 15 8 10 4 4 2 14 12 9 39
4 AaB 20 9 5 6 30 24 10 4 2 4 15 15 10 5 3 2 15 9 6 32
5 Silkeborg 20 7 10 3 33 18 10 4 4 2 14 7 10 3 6 1 19 11 15 31
6 Randers 20 8 5 7 23 23 10 4 3 3 13 12 10 4 2 4 10 11 0 29
7 AGF 20 6 6 8 22 27 10 4 3 3 14 12 10 2 3 5 8 15 -5 24
8 Viborg 20 5 8 7 28 32 10 1 4 5 10 15 10 4 4 2 18 17 -4 23
9 OB 20 4 9 7 29 30 10 3 4 3 18 13 10 1 5 4 11 17 -1 21
10 Nordsjælland 20 5 5 10 23 35 10 2 4 4 11 16 10 3 1 6 12 19 -12 20
11 Vejle 20 3 4 13 19 46 10 3 3 4 14 18 10 0 1 9 5 28 -27 13
12 SønderjyskE 20 2 5 13 15 39 10 2 3 5 10 21 10 0 2 8 5 18 -24 11

Denmark:

Read more about Superliga

Superligaen (The Danish Superliga) is the top level football league in Denmark. It has 14 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 182 matches to create a league table. This is followed by top and bottom half playoffs. The full season runs from July to May with a two month winter break.