Home advantage could prove decisive in AGF - OB battle

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Competition: Denmark Superliga
Competition: Sun 19.March
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Ceres Park (20032 seats)

AGF make preparations for another match following their 2-1 result vs Randers, a game that produced some answers. How will they do against OB?

Insights:
  • AGF have the fewest matches over the total-line (7) in Superliga
  • OB have the most conceded goals (37) in Superliga

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

W W D W L

AGF form and stats

AGF have collected 15 points from their Superliga home games so far after 4-3-3.

AGF enjoyed a nice away win last time out, playing at Randers's place. The match ended 2-1 with Mortensen and Duelund scoring. The gifted forward Mortensen outdid all the other players in that fixture and managed a match rating of 8.05 out of 10. Mortensen scored one goal and hit one key pass.

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Horsens in a game that was won 2-0.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does AGF handle that role? We have found 8 games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat.

Trench warfare? In this club's last 11 league matches, 9 have contained zero, one or two goals.

AGF has scored 14 league goals at home this season, in 10 matches. AGF's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 11 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

W L L D W

OB form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Superliga travels is 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats. With two straight losses from their last two away games, OB are hoping that it's time for some travel points again.

Kadrii and Tongya scored in OB's previous match, the home game against AaB that ended 2-1. That victory felt nice as this side had gone five league rounds without victory. The attacker Kadrii got a match rating of 7.42 in that game. Kadrii scored one goal.

Prior to that match, the OB manager Alm faced defeat when travelling to København and losing 0-7.

We have checked recent matches where OB have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 11 games were 1 victory, 5 draws and 5 defeats.

OB find the net regularly in their away games. 14 goals from 10 away fixtures in the league. For OB, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net. It's worth mentioning that 14 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

OB - AGF 1-2 was the result in these participants' latest H2H game, played this season. AGF-OB H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: AGF five wins, OB two wins, three draws. five of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

AGFP. Mortensen
P. Mortensen
11 goals
OBB. Kadrii
B. Kadrii
6 goals
OBM. Frøkjær-Jensen
M. Frøkjær-Jensen
4 goals

AGF missing players

OB missing players

AGF OB
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
21 10 3 Played P 3 10 21
9 4 0 Won W 0 3 7
5 3 3 Drew D 1 4 7
7 3 0 Lost L 2 3 7
25 14 3 Scored S 2 14 27
20 11 3 Conceded C 11 21 37
95% 90% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 90% 90%
62% 70% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 90% 86%
33% 40% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 60% 57%
19% 40% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 67% 40% 29%
5% 10% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 67% 30% 19%
48% 50% 67% BTTS BTTS 33% 60% 67%
29% 30% 33% Clean Sheets C S 33% 20% 19%
29% 30% 33% Failed to Score F T 67% 30% 24%
 
4.9 5.4 4 Corners for (avg) C F 3 4.4 4.1
4.9 4 5 Corners against (avg) C A 7.3 7 6.2
1.9 1.6 2.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.3 2.1 2
1 1 0 Red cards R C 2 2 4
 
11.4 11.3 9 Shots (avg) S ( 12.7 13.8 12.4
4 3.7 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4 3.7 3.8
30% 38% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 17% 38% 34%
 
11.2 10.1 12.7 Shots against (avg) S A 21.7 16.4 16.4
4.2 3.7 4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 9.3 6 5.5
Key stats in Superliga this season:
  • AGF have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • AGF have the fewest matches over the total-line (7) in Superliga
  • AGF have the most matches under the total-line (14) in Superliga
  • OB have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • OB have the most conceded goals (21) away in Superliga
  • OB have the most conceded goals (37) in Superliga
  • OB have the most conceded goals in the second half (23) in Superliga

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Nordsjælland 21 11 7 3 36 19 10 7 2 1 22 10 11 4 5 2 14 9 17 40
2 København 21 12 3 6 43 21 10 6 2 2 20 7 11 6 1 4 23 14 22 39
3 Viborg 21 10 7 4 31 23 11 5 5 1 16 13 10 5 2 3 15 10 8 37
4 AGF 21 9 5 7 25 20 10 4 3 3 14 11 11 5 2 4 11 9 5 32
5 Brøndby 21 8 6 7 31 32 11 5 3 3 20 18 10 3 3 4 11 14 -1 30
6 Randers 21 7 8 6 27 30 11 5 2 4 12 13 10 2 6 2 15 17 -3 29
7 Silkeborg 21 8 4 9 31 32 10 5 1 4 15 15 11 3 3 5 16 17 -1 28
8 OB 21 7 7 7 27 37 11 4 3 4 13 16 10 3 4 3 14 21 -10 28
9 Midtjylland 21 6 9 6 29 26 11 2 3 6 9 17 10 4 6 0 20 9 3 27
10 Horsens 21 6 4 11 25 36 11 5 3 3 19 19 10 1 1 8 6 17 -11 22
11 AaB 21 3 6 12 18 32 10 1 5 4 7 12 11 2 1 8 11 20 -14 15
12 Lyngby 21 3 6 12 20 35 10 1 4 5 8 17 11 2 2 7 12 18 -15 15

Denmark:

Read more about Superliga

Superligaen (The Danish Superliga) is the top level football league in Denmark. It has 14 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 182 matches to create a league table. This is followed by top and bottom half playoffs. The full season runs from July to May with a two month winter break.