Superliga prediction and preview: AGF modest favorites to beat AaB

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Competition: Denmark Superliga
Competition: Fri 28.May
Match begins: 17:00 (UTC)
Venue: Ceres Park & Arena

AGF greet AaB with expectations of taking all three points. Will they? Read our preview!

Insights:
  • AGF have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • AaB have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

It's no vacation for neither AGF nor AaB as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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AGF form and stats

AGF have performed here at Ceres Park & Arena this season with 7 wins from 11 Superliga matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 1 game and lost 3.

AGF lost their last game at Midtjylland after a 0-4 scoreline. Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson (midfield was the top team player in that game with a rating of 7.04/10. Þórsteinsson hit one key pass and dribled passed the opponent 1 of 1 times. As you see from the result above, AGF suffered greatly in their last game. Thankfully the team has a new chance to prove themselves in this one.

Ahead of that match, AGF lost 1-2 at home to Brøndby.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does AGF handle that role? We have found twelve games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are ten wins, two draws and zero defeats.

The AGF manager D. Nielsen has got the team scoring with 22 from 11 home games in the league. AGF have only conceded 10 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. It's worth mentioning that 5 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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AaB form and stats

3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses. That’s the product of AaB playing as the away team in the Superliga this season.

It's the second away game in a row for AaB, but there's smiles all around after the 4-0 victory versus SønderjyskE in the Superliga last time out. Midfield player Iver Fossum was the top player of the team with a match rating of 8.83/10. Fossum scored one goal, signed up for two assists, hit six key passes and had 28 successful passes (of 35 total). As mentioned above, AaB was the only team on the pitch versus SønderjyskE in their previous game, winning 4-0. This could be a tougher task.

A home win before that, celebrating 2-1 vs Vejle.

AaB are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is zero wins, three draws and five defeats. From a total of eight matches.

AaB have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 11 league away games 12 goals have been scored. 15 goals have been conceded by AaB in these games.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was AGF - AaB 3-0, played this season. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: five - one - four (AGF wins - draws - AaB wins). As for goals, six matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

AGFP. Mortensen
P. Mortensen
15 goals
AaBI. Fossum
I. Fossum
9 goals
AaBT. van Weert
T. van Weert
8 goals

AGF missing players

AaB missing players

AGF AaB
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
32 16 3 Played P 3 16 32
13 9 3 Won W 1 4 12
9 1 0 Drew D 2 6 10
10 6 0 Lost L 0 6 10
48 30 8 Scored S 3 19 44
42 19 2 Conceded C 2 20 41
94% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 88% 91%
78% 81% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 75% 78%
53% 62% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 56% 53%
31% 31% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 25% 31%
16% 19% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 12%
59% 56% 33% BTTS BTTS 67% 56% 59%
28% 31% 67% Clean Sheets C S 33% 25% 25%
19% 12% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 31% 25%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.3 2.5 1.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1.8 1.9
3 2 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
13.7 14.9 17.7 Shots (avg) S ( 5.7 8.7 9.7
3.6 4.1 6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3.5 3.8
42% 45% 44% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 34% 36%
Key stats in Superliga this season:
  • AGF have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • AGF haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • AaB have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Brøndby 22 14 3 5 40 24 11 7 3 1 22 13 11 7 0 4 18 11 16 45
2 Midtjylland 22 13 4 5 35 20 11 8 1 2 20 5 11 5 3 3 15 15 15 43
3 AGF 22 10 8 4 35 22 11 7 1 3 22 10 11 3 7 1 13 12 13 38
4 København 22 10 5 7 39 35 11 5 3 3 21 17 11 5 2 4 18 18 4 35
5 Randers 22 9 5 8 31 21 11 4 2 5 17 15 11 5 3 3 14 6 10 32
6 Nordsjælland 22 7 8 7 35 30 11 5 3 3 19 13 11 2 5 4 16 17 5 29
7 SønderjyskE 22 8 4 10 30 32 11 5 2 4 15 13 11 3 2 6 15 19 -2 28
8 OB 22 7 7 8 25 28 11 4 4 3 11 12 11 3 3 5 14 16 -3 28
9 AaB 22 7 7 8 24 30 11 4 3 4 12 15 11 3 4 4 12 15 -6 28
10 Vejle 22 6 6 10 25 37 11 3 4 4 13 16 11 3 2 6 12 21 -12 24
11 Lyngby 22 5 5 12 25 43 11 1 5 5 8 20 11 4 0 7 17 23 -18 20
12 Horsens 22 2 6 14 15 37 11 2 3 6 11 19 11 0 3 8 4 18 -22 12

Denmark:

Read more about Superliga

Superligaen (The Danish Superliga) is the top level football league in Denmark. It has 14 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 182 matches to create a league table. This is followed by top and bottom half playoffs. The full season runs from July to May with a two month winter break.