AaB meet Horsens as odds-on favourites: Big betting guide

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Competition: Denmark Superliga
Competition: Sun 07.May
Match begins: 10:00 (UTC)
Venue: Aalborg Portland Park (13800 seats)

AaB are opening their away dressing room to Horsens for yet another crucial match following their 4-1 result against Silkeborg.

Insights:
  • AaB have the fewest scored goals (18) in Superliga
  • Horsens have the most conceded goals in the first half (25) in Superliga

The hosts AaB saw competitive action as recent as three days ago, playing in the Landspokal Cup. This match was also played here at Aalborg Portland Park. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Horsens have had more rest.

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AaB form and stats

AaB's struggle is real here at Aalborg Portland Park with only 8 points collected from 11 Superliga games. The win-draw-lost numbers are ugly: 1-5-5.

AaB's previous match was a Landspokal Cup game also played at their home, finishing 4-1 against Silkeborg. The home team hope to to build on that result.

Before that, AaB had a Superliga home game versus Lyngby which ended with a victory 1-0.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from AaB's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played 5 games, won 3 matches, drawn 1 and lost 1.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for AaB here at Aalborg Portland Park in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (7 from 11 games). 13 goals have been conceded. AaB has at home met teams with this table position (low), four times. It has ended with less than 2.5 goals 3 of 4 times.

D L L W L

Horsens form and stats

There's been little loot from Horsens's travels as they have only collected 5 points from 11 away games in the Superliga. Horsens only have 1 win to counter their 8 defeats and 2 draws.

Horsens's last game was the home draw against OB (2-2). The draw against OB came from a losing position. The Horsens manager Askou brought on Sigurðarson as a substitute and the player scored to make the scores level. Jacobsen, attacking player, was the top performer on the team in that game, scoring a match rating of 8.1. Jacobsen scored one goal, hit two key passes and dribled past the opponent 4 of 5 times.

Preceding that, the 0-2 home loss versus Midtjylland.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Horsens when being an outsider away as they are today, we find 7 matches with the visitors losing 6 times, drawing 0 and winning 1 game.

Goal-happy betting people should observe that 9 of this team's 12 most recent league matches have ended with three goals or more.

The attacking power of Horsens when travelling is not overwhelming with 7 goals scored from 11 league matches away. It's worth mentioning that 4 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Horsens have conceded 18 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

AaB have won at least one point in the last 4 matches (1-3-0) facing Horsens.

As it happens, the last time Horsens kept a "clean sheet" was also versus this opponent, 16 league matches ago (Horsens - AaB 0-0). Kiilerich (Horsens) was shown a red card when these teams met earlier this season.

Top Goalscorers

AaBA. Goncalves Sousa
A. Goncalves Sousa
8 goals
HorsensA. Jacobsen
A. Jacobsen
7 goals
HorsensA. Sigurdarson
A. Sigurdarson
7 goals

AaB missing players

Horsens missing players

AaB Horsens
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
27 13 4 Played P 3 13 27
5 2 1 Won W 0 2 7
8 5 2 Drew D 1 2 6
14 6 1 Lost L 2 9 14
28 10 5 Scored S 2 10 31
39 16 5 Conceded C 4 21 48
85% 77% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 92% 93%
67% 54% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 69% 74%
48% 38% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 46% 56%
33% 23% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 8% 30%
11% 8% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 8% 22%
56% 54% 75% BTTS BTTS 67% 54% 52%
30% 31% 25% Clean Sheets C S 0% 15% 19%
30% 38% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 38% 37%
 
4.9 5.3 5 Corners for (avg) C F 5.7 3.7 3.9
4.8 4.8 6.2 Corners against (avg) C A 8.7 7.2 6.4
1.8 1.9 1.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 1.7 1.9
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 2 3
 
12.1 11.6 10.8 Shots (avg) S ( 14 9.3 10.4
4.3 3.6 3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5.3 3.3 3.5
24% 21% 42% Goal Efficiency G E 12% 23% 33%
 
14.1 12.2 15.2 Shots against (avg) S A 13 16.5 14.7
4.8 4 4.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.7 5.8 5.7
Key stats in Superliga this season:
  • AaB have the fewest scored goals (18) in Superliga
  • AaB have the fewest scored goals (7) at home in Superliga
  • Horsens have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Horsens have the fewest points (5) away in Superliga
  • Horsens have the fewest scored goals (7) away in Superliga
  • Horsens have the most conceded goals in the first half (25) in Superliga
  • Horsens have the the worst goal difference (-11) away in Superliga

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Nordsjælland 22 12 7 3 38 20 11 8 2 1 24 11 11 4 5 2 14 9 18 43
2 København 22 13 3 6 45 22 11 7 2 2 22 8 11 6 1 4 23 14 23 42
3 Viborg 22 10 7 5 32 25 11 5 5 1 16 13 11 5 2 4 16 12 7 37
4 AGF 22 10 5 7 26 20 11 5 3 3 15 11 11 5 2 4 11 9 6 35
5 Randers 22 8 8 6 28 30 11 5 2 4 12 13 11 3 6 2 16 17 -2 32
6 Brøndby 22 8 6 8 32 34 11 5 3 3 20 18 11 3 3 5 12 16 -2 30
7 Silkeborg 22 8 5 9 34 35 11 5 2 4 18 18 11 3 3 5 16 17 -1 29
8 Midtjylland 22 6 10 6 32 29 11 2 3 6 9 17 11 4 7 0 23 12 3 28
9 OB 22 7 7 8 27 38 11 4 3 4 13 16 11 3 4 4 14 22 -11 28
10 Horsens 22 6 5 11 26 37 11 5 3 3 19 19 11 1 2 8 7 18 -11 23
11 Lyngby 22 3 7 12 21 36 11 1 5 5 9 18 11 2 2 7 12 18 -15 16
12 AaB 22 3 6 13 18 33 11 1 5 5 7 13 11 2 1 8 11 20 -15 15

Denmark:

Read more about Superliga

Superligaen (The Danish Superliga) is the top level football league in Denmark. It has 14 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 182 matches to create a league table. This is followed by top and bottom half playoffs. The full season runs from July to May with a two month winter break.