Home advantage could prove decisive in Nykøbing - Roskilde battle

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Competition: Denmark First Division
Competition: Sun 31.May
Match begins: 10:00 (UTC)
Venue: CM Arena (10000 seats)

With their 9 point advantage in the league table, Nykøbing fans are hoping to see their team collect maximum points from this game against Roskilde.

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Nykøbing form and stats

Nykøbing, who have the most conceded goals (38) in First Division, have played 10 First Division games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 3-3-4 (wins-draws-losses).

Nykøbing travelled for their previous game, a trip to Næstved that ended 0-0. A 0-0 draw away before that, with Næstved the opponent.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Nykøbing have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found four games) they have won zero times, drawn two and lost two.

The Nykøbing fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 15 goals in 10 league matches. Nykøbing are struggling defensively, conceding on average more than two goals per home game (20 from 10 played).

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Roskilde form and stats

There's been little loot from Roskilde's travels as they have only collected 3 points from 10 away games in the First Division. Roskilde, who have the most conceded goals (22) away in First Division, only have 1 win to counter their 9 defeats and 0 draws. Roskilde seem to be suffering from homesickness with two consecutive losses away. Third time lucky?

Y. Bakiz scored in Roskilde's previous match, the home game against Kolding IF that ended 1-0. It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Vendsyssel wasn't a success with a 0-2 loss.

We have checked recent matches where Roskilde have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those twelve games were one victory, one draw and ten defeats.

The visiting Roskilde have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 10 goals from 10 games. The Roskilde manager M. Jungsgaard has some worries about the defense as 22 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

The two sides played each other earlier this season: Roskilde - Nykøbing 3-1. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Nykøbing four wins, two draws and Roskilde four victories. As for goals, six matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

NykøbingM. Dahl
M. Dahl
7 goals
RoskildeY. Bakiz
Y. Bakiz
6 goals
NykøbingM. Krathmann Gehrt
M. Krathmann Gehrt
4 goals

Nykøbing missing players

Roskilde missing players

Nykøbing Roskilde
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
20 10 3 Played P 3 10 20
6 3 1 Won W 0 1 5
7 3 1 Drew D 0 0 1
7 4 1 Lost L 3 9 14
31 15 6 Scored S 2 10 24
38 20 5 Conceded C 6 22 37
85% 90% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
80% 80% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 90% 90%
75% 80% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 60% 55%
60% 60% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 30% 35%
30% 30% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 20% 15%
60% 60% 67% BTTS BTTS 67% 50% 45%
20% 10% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 15%
35% 40% 33% Failed to Score F T 33% 50% 40%
 
3.9 3.4 5 Corners for (avg) C F 4.3 3.3 4.2
5 3.7 5 Corners against (avg) C A 2.3 4.2 4.5
1.4 1.2 2.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.1 2
4 2 1 Red cards R C 0 0 3
 
147 83 35 Total Shots T S 27 86 142
75 49 21 Shots on Target S O 9 26 50
41% 31% 29% Goal Efficiency G E 22% 38% 40%
Key stats in First Division this season:
  • Nykøbing has the most conceded goals (20) at home
  • Nykøbing has the most conceded goals (38)
  • Nykøbing has the most conceded goals in the first half (20)
  • Nykøbing has the the worst goal difference (-5) at home
  • Nykøbing have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Roskilde has the fewest clean sheets (0) away
  • Roskilde has the fewest points (3) away
  • Roskilde has the most conceded goals (22) away
  • Roskilde has the the worst goal difference (-12) away
  • Roskilde has the the worst goal difference (-13)
  • Roskilde have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Roskilde have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Roskilde have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Roskilde have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Roskilde haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Vejle 20 13 5 2 40 15 10 8 0 2 22 7 10 5 5 0 18 8 25 44
2 Viborg 20 11 4 5 38 22 10 4 4 2 21 11 10 7 0 3 17 11 16 37
3 Fredericia 20 10 5 5 42 33 10 4 2 4 19 19 10 6 3 1 23 14 9 35
4 Kolding IF 20 9 3 8 32 31 10 4 3 3 17 15 10 5 0 5 15 16 1 30
5 Vendsyssel 20 8 4 8 18 22 10 5 2 3 9 7 10 3 2 5 9 15 -4 28
6 Fremad Amager 20 7 6 7 24 30 10 4 3 3 16 13 10 3 3 4 8 17 -6 27
7 HB Køge 20 6 7 7 25 27 10 4 2 4 12 13 10 2 5 3 13 14 -2 25
8 Nykøbing 20 6 7 7 31 38 10 3 3 4 15 20 10 3 4 3 16 18 -7 25
9 Skive 20 6 6 8 27 32 10 3 4 3 14 16 10 3 2 5 13 16 -5 24
10 Hvidovre 20 5 6 9 28 30 10 3 3 4 16 15 10 2 3 5 12 15 -2 21
11 Næstved 20 4 6 10 18 30 10 3 3 4 10 11 10 1 3 6 8 19 -12 18
12 Roskilde 20 5 1 14 24 37 10 4 1 5 14 15 10 1 0 9 10 22 -13 16

Nykøbing:
Denmark:

Read more about First Division

The 1. Division in Denmark is the second highest football league in Danish football. It has twelve teams playing each other three times. After these 33 fixtures the top team is promoted while number two and three play a promotion playoff. The two weakest teams are relegated.