First Division match prediction: Little separates Fremad Amager and Hobro in quality

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Competition: Denmark First Division
Competition: Thu 21.April
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Valby Idrætspark (7200 seats)

Develop their own match tactics or look more at the opposition? Both Fremad Amager and Hobro need to try something separate than in earlier matches. Read more!

Insights:
  • Fremad Amager have the fewest scored goals in the first half (12) in First Division

For Fremad Amager relegation is already certain this season. Only divine intervention and/or time travel can save them and neither look likely. Hobro are nearing the end of this stay in this division as relegation is now unavoidable.

It's no vacation for neither Fremad Amager nor Hobro as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Fremad Amager form and stats

The story so far in the First Division for Fremad Amager at their home stadium (Valby Idrætspark) is 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats. When Fremad Amager hosts teams that live in the bottom of the table (like Fremad Amager, Jammerbugt and Esbjerg), they have won 2 of 3 matches!

The spoils were shared in Fremad Amager's previous game, also at home. Visiting Hobro travelled back with a draw after a 0-0 scoreline.

Preceding that game was the away draw at HB Køge that finished 1-1.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Fremad have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found eleven matches with the results: Won four, drawn three and lost four.

Fremad Amager are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 15 goals in 11 games.

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Hobro form and stats

Hobro have only collected 9 points from their away games in the First Division, after 1-6-4 (11 played). It's three draws from Hobro's last three away games, a decent catch but one that could be so much better.

It's another away game for the visitors, as they travelled to Fremad Amager in their previous outing. The match ended in a draw 0-0.

Prior to that match, a home win 1-0 against Jammerbugt.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found eleven similar matches played by Hobro in our archives, and the results are: two wins for Hobro, seven draws and two defeats.

Hobro have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 11 league away games 14 goals have been scored. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Hobro have conceded 17 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above. When Hobro is visiting a side on the bottom half, 2 of 3 matches have ended with three or more goals. These are matches against Jammerbugt, Hobro and Esbjerg.

Head 2 Head

This duo met each other before this season: Fremad Amager - Hobro 1-1. H2H stats regardless of arena (last nine matches): Fremad three wins, three draws and Hobro three victories. As for goals, six matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), three games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

HobroO. Klitten
O. Klitten
6 goals
Fremad AmagerJ. Johansson
J. Johansson
5 goals
Fremad AmagerL. Janus Ravn-Haren
L. Janus Ravn-Haren
4 goals

Fremad Amager missing players

Hobro missing players

Fremad Amager Hobro
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
26 13 3 Played P 3 13 26
6 5 2 Won W 0 1 6
5 2 0 Drew D 2 8 10
15 6 1 Lost L 1 4 10
29 19 9 Scored S 4 16 35
52 23 5 Conceded C 5 19 41
92% 92% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 92% 96%
81% 77% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 92% 85%
58% 62% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 54% 58%
35% 46% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 31% 31%
31% 38% 67% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 12%
54% 62% 100% BTTS BTTS 100% 77% 69%
19% 23% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 15% 19%
35% 23% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 15% 15%
 
3.6 3.2 3.3 Corners for (avg) C F 5.7 4.1 4.7
6.3 6.4 6 Corners against (avg) C A 3.7 4.9 4.9
1.7 1.7 2.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 1.4 1.2
1 1 1 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
6.9 6.5 9 Shots (avg) S ( 13.7 10.1 8.5
3 3.2 5.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5.3 4.2 3.7
37% 45% 56% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 29% 36%
 
10.8 10.8 8.7 Shots against (avg) S A 9 11 9.2
5.1 5.2 3.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2.7 3.9 3.7
Key stats in First Division this season:
  • Fremad Amager have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Fremad Amager have the fewest scored goals in the first half (12) in First Division
  • Fremad Amager have the most conceded goals in the first half (27) in First Division

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 FC Helsingør 22 15 6 1 52 20 11 7 4 0 25 10 11 8 2 1 27 10 32 51
2 Lyngby 22 12 7 3 45 21 11 5 4 2 21 10 11 7 3 1 24 11 24 43
3 Hvidovre 22 13 4 5 37 22 11 7 3 1 19 10 11 6 1 4 18 12 15 43
4 Horsens 22 12 4 6 37 21 11 5 2 4 16 13 11 7 2 2 21 8 16 40
5 Fredericia 22 11 4 7 38 36 11 7 1 3 20 13 11 4 3 4 18 23 2 37
6 Nykøbing 22 7 4 11 35 37 11 4 3 4 21 19 11 3 1 7 14 18 -2 25
7 HB Køge 22 6 7 9 28 32 11 5 4 2 17 11 11 1 3 7 11 21 -4 25
8 Vendsyssel 22 5 9 8 25 31 11 4 4 3 15 13 11 1 5 5 10 18 -6 24
9 Hobro 22 5 7 10 31 38 11 4 1 6 17 21 11 1 6 4 14 17 -7 22
10 Esbjerg 22 5 5 12 24 38 11 4 3 4 15 15 11 1 2 8 9 23 -14 20
11 Fremad Amager 22 5 3 14 24 48 11 4 1 6 15 22 11 1 2 8 9 26 -24 18
12 Jammerbugt 22 4 4 14 19 51 11 2 2 7 9 28 11 2 2 7 10 23 -32 16

Fremad Amager:
Denmark:

Read more about First Division

The 1. Division in Denmark is the second highest football league in Danish football. It has twelve teams playing each other three times. After these 33 fixtures the top team is promoted while number two and three play a promotion playoff. The two weakest teams are relegated.