Fortuna Liga match prediction: Little separates Karviná and Teplice in quality

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Competition: Czech Republic Fortuna Liga
Competition: Sun 23.May
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Městský Stadión (4833 seats)

Karviná have managed 3 home wins so far, Teplice have won 3 away. Who improves their record in this one?

Insights:
  • Teplice have the fewest clean sheets (5) in Fortuna Liga

Karviná and Teplice should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

Karviná can neither be promoted or relegated from Fortuna Liga. Teplice are fighting to avoid relegation and will work hard for points.

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Karviná form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories in the Fortuna Liga this season. Karviná have only managed 3 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses from their games here at Městský Stadión. Two defeats in a row at home hurts for Karviná, their manager J. Weber and the supporters. There are certain expectations for improvement.

The home team returns to Městský Stadión after being equal after 90 minutes with Slavia Praha (placed 1st) on their last time out; the Fortuna Liga game ended 1-1.

Before that game, the home loss against Slovácko with the scoreline 0-2.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Karviná have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found nine matches with the results: Won two, drawn four and lost three.

Karviná has scored 16 league goals at home this season, in 16 matches. 23 goals have been conceded.

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Teplice form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Teplice, who have the fewest clean sheets (5) in Fortuna Liga, so far with only 12 points returning home. The records show 3-3-10 (win-draw-lose).

Impressive finishing from Pavel Moulis and Lukáš Mareček secured the home win 2-0 against České Budějovice in their previous game.

Prior to that match, the Teplice manager R. Kučera faced defeat when travelling to Jablonec and losing 1-4.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Teplice playing away and similar expectations, we found three relevant matches. Results were one Teplice win, two draws and zero defeats.

Teplice find the net regularly in their away games. 17 goals from 16 away fixtures in the league. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 2 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. The opposition has been scoring high and low on Teplice's goalkeeper in away games this season, as they have let in 40 goals in 16 travels.

Head 2 Head

These teams' last encounter with each other was the Teplice - Karviná 2-2 earlier this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Karviná one win, four draws and Teplice five victories. As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

KarvináM. Papadopulos
M. Papadopulos
8 goals
TepliceJ. Mareš
J. Mareš
8 goals
KarvináK. Qose
K. Qose
7 goals

Karviná missing players

Teplice missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Karviná Teplice
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
32 16 5 Played P 5 16 32
8 3 1 Won W 0 3 7
11 6 2 Drew D 2 3 8
13 7 2 Lost L 3 10 17
34 16 4 Scored S 3 17 32
48 23 5 Conceded C 8 40 62
94% 88% 80% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 94% 94%
81% 75% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 94% 81%
41% 38% 20% Over 2.5 O 2.5 20% 56% 47%
22% 25% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 38% 31%
6% 6% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 31% 19%
50% 50% 40% BTTS BTTS 60% 62% 56%
19% 19% 20% Clean Sheets C S 0% 12% 16%
38% 44% 60% Failed to Score F T 40% 31% 34%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.2 1.9 1.6 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.2 2.6 2.3
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 4 5
 
10.2 11.1 12.6 Shots (avg) S ( 8.4 6.4 7.6
4.2 4.3 5.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.8 2.9 3.2
25% 23% 15% Goal Efficiency G E 21% 37% 32%
Key stats in Fortuna Liga this season:
  • Teplice have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Teplice have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Teplice have the fewest clean sheets (5) in Fortuna Liga
  • Teplice have the most conceded goals (40) away in Fortuna Liga
  • Teplice have the most conceded goals in the first half (28) in Fortuna Liga

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Slavia Praha 32 25 7 0 82 18 16 14 2 0 43 8 16 11 5 0 39 10 64 82
2 Sparta Praha 32 21 5 6 74 41 16 12 1 3 40 20 16 9 4 3 34 21 33 68
3 Jablonec 32 20 5 7 57 32 16 13 1 2 33 15 16 7 4 5 24 17 25 65
4 Slovácko 32 17 6 9 55 33 16 8 4 4 28 14 16 9 2 5 27 19 22 57
5 Viktoria Plzeň 32 15 7 10 53 44 16 11 2 3 35 15 16 4 5 7 18 29 9 52
6 Slovan Liberec 32 14 9 9 43 30 16 7 7 2 26 13 16 7 2 7 17 17 13 51
7 Pardubice 32 14 7 11 40 41 16 8 6 2 26 17 16 6 1 9 14 24 -1 49
8 Banik Ostrava 32 13 9 10 47 33 16 8 5 3 27 14 16 5 4 7 20 19 14 48
9 Bohemians 1905 32 10 13 9 38 32 16 7 7 2 22 12 16 3 6 7 16 20 6 43
10 Sigma Olomouc 32 10 12 10 38 36 16 5 5 6 20 17 16 5 7 4 18 19 2 42
11 České Budějovice 32 9 11 12 32 44 16 5 4 7 14 23 16 4 7 5 18 21 -12 38
12 Karviná 32 8 11 13 34 48 16 3 6 7 16 23 16 5 5 6 18 25 -14 35
13 Mladá Boleslav 32 8 9 15 43 53 16 4 5 7 24 27 16 4 4 8 19 26 -10 33
14 Zlín 32 8 7 17 30 48 16 4 3 9 17 28 16 4 4 8 13 20 -18 31
15 Teplice 32 7 8 17 32 62 16 4 5 7 15 22 16 3 3 10 17 40 -30 29
16 Příbram 32 5 9 18 24 62 16 3 4 9 13 30 16 2 5 9 11 32 -38 24
17 Zbrojovka Brno 32 4 11 17 28 50 16 1 5 10 11 27 16 3 6 7 17 23 -22 23
18 Opava 32 3 8 21 21 64 16 2 5 9 10 26 16 1 3 12 11 38 -43 17

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Slavia Praha 32 25 7 0 82 18 16 14 2 0 43 8 16 11 5 0 39 10 64 82
2 Sparta Praha 32 21 5 6 74 41 16 12 1 3 40 20 16 9 4 3 34 21 33 68
3 Jablonec 32 20 5 7 57 32 16 13 1 2 33 15 16 7 4 5 24 17 25 65
4 Slovácko 32 17 6 9 55 33 16 8 4 4 28 14 16 9 2 5 27 19 22 57
5 Viktoria Plzeň 32 15 7 10 53 44 16 11 2 3 35 15 16 4 5 7 18 29 9 52
6 Slovan Liberec 32 14 9 9 43 30 16 7 7 2 26 13 16 7 2 7 17 17 13 51
7 Pardubice 32 14 7 11 40 41 16 8 6 2 26 17 16 6 1 9 14 24 -1 49
8 Banik Ostrava 32 13 9 10 47 33 16 8 5 3 27 14 16 5 4 7 20 19 14 48
9 Bohemians 1905 32 10 13 9 38 32 16 7 7 2 22 12 16 3 6 7 16 20 6 43
10 Sigma Olomouc 32 10 12 10 38 36 16 5 5 6 20 17 16 5 7 4 18 19 2 42
11 České Budějovice 32 9 11 12 32 44 16 5 4 7 14 23 16 4 7 5 18 21 -12 38
12 Karviná 32 8 11 13 34 48 16 3 6 7 16 23 16 5 5 6 18 25 -14 35
13 Mladá Boleslav 32 8 9 15 43 53 16 4 5 7 24 27 16 4 4 8 19 26 -10 33
14 Zlín 32 8 7 17 30 48 16 4 3 9 17 28 16 4 4 8 13 20 -18 31
15 Teplice 32 7 8 17 32 62 16 4 5 7 15 22 16 3 3 10 17 40 -30 29
16 Příbram 32 5 9 18 24 62 16 3 4 9 13 30 16 2 5 9 11 32 -38 24
17 Zbrojovka Brno 32 4 11 17 28 50 16 1 5 10 11 27 16 3 6 7 17 23 -22 23
18 Opava 32 3 8 21 21 64 16 2 5 9 10 26 16 1 3 12 11 38 -43 17

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