Fortuna Liga preview: Can Baník Ostrava edge out victory against Zbrojovka Brno?

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Competition: Czech Republic Fortuna Liga
Competition: Sat 01.May
Match begins: 17:30 (UTC)
Venue: Městský stadion - Vítkovice Aréna (15123 seats)

With their 24 point advantage in the league table, Baník Ostrava fans are hoping to see their team collect maximum points from this game against Zbrojovka Brno.

Insights:
  • Baník Ostrava have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Zbrojovka Brno haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Baník Ostrava form and stats

7-4-3 (win-draw-lost) are the Fortuna Liga numbers at home for Baník Ostrava so far this season. Ostrava are on a three game winning streak in their home games.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Ostrava's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played five games, won three matches, drawn two and lost zero.

The Ostrava fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 22 goals in 14 league matches. From these home matches, Ostrava have conceded only 11 goals. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Zbrojovka Brno form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Zbrojovka Brno so far with only 13 points returning home. The records show 3-4-7 (win-draw-lose).

Zbrojovka lost away at Slovacko (2-4) in their previous game and are perhaps starting to feel homesick. A 1-2 loss hosting Pardubice before that.

As you can tell from the result, the match against Slovacko was as crazy as a clown in a village circus. Great fun for the neutral supporter with 6 goals, will the fun continue today?

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Zbrojovka Brno playing away, we found two games. Results were zero away wins, zero draws and two home wins.

The visiting Zbrojovka have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 15 goals from 14 games. Zbrojovka Brno's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 21 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Zbrojovka Brno - Ostrava 0-1 played earlier this season. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: five - two - three (Ostrava wins - draws - Zbrojovka Brno wins). As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Baník OstravaD. De Azevedo
D. De Azevedo
10 goals
OstravaT. Zajíc
T. Zajíc
6 goals
Zbrojovka BrnoA. Růsek
A. Růsek
4 goals

Baník Ostrava missing players

Zbrojovka Brno missing players

Baník Ostrava Zbrojovka Brno
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
29 14 4 Played P 5 14 28
12 7 3 Won W 1 3 4
8 4 1 Drew D 1 4 8
9 3 0 Lost L 3 7 16
41 22 11 Scored S 5 15 24
27 11 2 Conceded C 6 21 45
90% 93% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 89%
72% 71% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 79% 71%
48% 50% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 36% 43%
17% 14% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 21% 21%
7% 7% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 14% 14%
48% 43% 50% BTTS BTTS 60% 64% 57%
38% 43% 50% Clean Sheets C S 20% 21% 21%
24% 21% 0% Failed to Score F T 20% 14% 32%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.7 1.6 0.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.3 2
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
9.7 10.9 13.5 Shots (avg) S ( 8.8 7.6 7.6
4 4.6 5.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.4 3.5 3.5
36% 34% 48% Goal Efficiency G E 23% 31% 24%
Key stats in Fortuna Liga this season:
  • Baník Ostrava have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Zbrojovka Brno haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Slavia Praha 28 23 5 0 75 16 14 13 1 0 37 6 14 10 4 0 38 10 59 74
2 Jablonec 29 18 5 6 50 29 14 11 1 2 26 13 15 7 4 4 24 16 21 59
3 Sparta Praha 27 17 4 6 57 31 13 9 1 3 30 16 14 8 3 3 27 15 26 55
4 Slovacko 29 16 5 8 52 31 14 8 3 3 27 12 15 8 2 5 25 19 21 53
5 Viktoria Plzen 28 15 6 7 48 30 15 11 1 3 32 12 13 4 5 4 16 18 18 51
6 Slovan Liberec 29 14 7 8 40 24 14 7 5 2 23 10 15 7 2 6 17 14 16 49
7 Baník Ostrava 29 12 8 9 41 27 14 7 4 3 22 11 15 5 4 6 19 16 14 44
8 Pardubice 28 12 6 10 31 37 14 7 5 2 21 15 14 5 1 8 10 22 -6 42
9 Sigma Olomouc 29 9 12 8 35 31 15 5 5 5 20 16 14 4 7 3 15 15 4 39
10 Bohemians 1905 28 9 10 9 33 30 14 6 6 2 19 12 14 3 4 7 14 18 3 37
11 Karvina 28 8 9 11 31 42 14 3 6 5 16 20 14 5 3 6 15 22 -11 33
12 České Budějovice 29 7 11 11 29 42 15 4 4 7 12 23 14 3 7 4 17 19 -13 32
13 Zlin 28 8 5 15 27 39 14 4 2 8 16 23 14 4 3 7 11 16 -12 29
14 Mlada Boleslav 29 6 9 14 35 46 15 4 5 6 20 22 14 2 4 8 15 24 -11 27
15 Teplice 28 6 6 16 29 58 14 3 4 7 13 22 14 3 2 9 16 36 -29 24
16 Zbrojovka Brno 28 4 8 16 24 45 14 1 4 9 9 24 14 3 4 7 15 21 -21 20
17 Příbram 28 3 8 17 19 58 14 2 4 8 12 29 14 1 4 9 7 29 -39 17
18 Opava 28 3 6 19 16 56 14 2 4 8 8 23 14 1 2 11 8 33 -40 15