1. HNL match prediction: Little separates Varaždin and Lokomotiva Zagreb in quality

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Competition: Croatia 1. HNL
Competition: Fri 12.February
Match begins: 17:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion Anđelko Herjavec (10800 seats)

This match features two teams living in the basement of the 1. HNL, Varaždin holding 8th place and Lokomotiva Zagreb lying 9th. A good chance for both teams to improve their position.

Insights:
  • Varaždin has the most conceded goals (19) at home in 1. HNL
  • Lokomotiva Zagreb has the most conceded goals (34) in 1. HNL

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

D W L W W

Varaždin form and stats

Varaždin, who have the most conceded goals (19) at home in 1. HNL, have played 10 1. HNL games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 3-2-5 (wins-draws-losses). It’s been three wins in a row for Varaždin here at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, hoping to make this one the fourth consecutive victory.

An away draw last time out for Varaždin, facing Sibenik in a game that ended 0-0. Before that game, the 2-1 home victory against Gorica.

This is expected to be a close game, with Varaždin perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Varaždin as a small favourite), we find six games. Varaždin has won three of these, drawn one and lost two.

Varaždin are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 14 goals in 10 games. It's worth mentioning that 8 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Varaždin have conceded 19 from these games.

L L W L L

Lokomotiva Zagreb form and stats

Lokomotiva Zagreb, who have the most conceded goals (34) in 1. HNL, have only collected 6 points from their away games in the 1. HNL, after 1-3-5 (9 played).

The manager J. Leko was unhappy after their last game, a 1. HNL match played at their home ground Stadion Kranjčevićeva. Lokomotiva suffered a 2-3 loss to Rijeka (placed 4th). It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Dinamo Zagreb wasn't a success with a 0-2 loss.

A huge disappointment for Lokomotiva Zagreb in their last match (vs Rijeka). Leading 2-0 the victory seemed almost certain, but a fascinating collapse turned everything around and in the end all was lost in a 2-3 defeat. Late heartbreak for Lokomotiva in the Rijeka match, as the deciding 2-3 goal came deep into overtime.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found three similar matches played by Lokomotiva Zagreb in our archives, and the results are: zero wins for Lokomotiva, one draw and two defeats.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Lokomotiva as they have only managed to score 6 times from 9 away games in the league. In the opposite end, Lokomotiva have conceded 16 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Lokomotiva Zagreb - Varaždin 2-2 played earlier this season. Varaždin-Lokomotiva Zagreb H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Varaždin one win, Lokomotiva Zagreb six wins, three draws. three of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

VaraždinJ. Obregón Rojas
J. Obregón Rojas
5 goals
Lokomotiva ZagrebI. Tuci
I. Tuci
3 goals
VaraždinM. Senić
M. Senić
2 goals

Varaždin missing players

Lokomotiva Zagreb missing players

Varaždin Lokomotiva Zagreb
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
20 10 2 Played P 1 9 19
5 3 0 Won W 0 1 3
4 2 1 Drew D 1 3 6
11 5 1 Lost L 0 5 10
19 14 2 Scored S 0 6 16
33 19 3 Conceded C 0 16 34
95% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 89% 89%
70% 90% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 67% 74%
50% 70% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 33% 53%
25% 30% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 22% 26%
10% 20% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 22% 16%
55% 90% 100% BTTS BTTS 0% 44% 53%
15% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 100% 22% 21%
35% 10% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 44% 37%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2 2.1 2.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 1.9 1.9
2 1 1 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
7.8 9.2 13.5 Shots (avg) S ( 7 6.6 7.5
3.1 4 4.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 2.3 2.4
31% 35% 22% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 29% 36%
Key stats in 1. HNL this season:
  • Lokomotiva Zagreb has the most conceded goals (34) in 1. HNL
  • Lokomotiva Zagreb has the most conceded goals in the first half (19) in 1. HNL
  • Lokomotiva Zagreb have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Varaždin has the fewest clean sheets (0) at home in 1. HNL
  • Varaždin has the most conceded goals (19) at home in 1. HNL
  • Varaždin have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their home matches.
  • Varaždin have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Varaždin have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Lokomotiva Zagreb have scored away.
  • Varaždin haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Dinamo Zagreb 20 14 3 3 51 22 10 7 1 2 31 11 10 7 2 1 20 11 29 45
2 Osijek 20 14 3 3 33 15 11 9 1 1 18 4 9 5 2 2 15 11 18 45
3 Gorica 19 11 3 5 40 26 8 4 2 2 16 12 11 7 1 3 24 14 14 36
4 Rijeka 17 9 3 5 24 22 9 5 3 1 14 10 8 4 0 4 10 12 2 30
5 Hajduk Split 19 7 2 10 23 27 10 3 2 5 12 13 9 4 0 5 11 14 -4 23
6 Sibenik 19 6 3 10 21 25 9 2 1 6 6 14 10 4 2 4 15 11 -4 21
7 Slaven Koprivnica 19 5 5 9 22 27 9 2 2 5 9 12 10 3 3 4 13 15 -5 20
8 Varaždin 20 5 4 11 19 33 10 3 2 5 14 19 10 2 2 6 5 14 -14 19
9 Lokomotiva Zagreb 19 3 6 10 16 34 10 2 3 5 10 18 9 1 3 5 6 16 -18 15
10 Istra 1961 18 3 4 11 12 30 9 3 1 5 7 11 9 0 3 6 5 19 -18 13