1. HNL match prediction: Little separates Lokomotiva Zagreb and Slaven Koprivnica in quality

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Competition: Croatia 1. HNL
Competition: Sun 13.December
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion Kranjčevićeva (10850 seats)

Lokomotiva Zagreb hope to sell some tickets for this game even though the season has been rough so far with 9 points and a 8th position in the 1. HNL table. Visiting Slaven Koprivnica holds 6th place with 17 pts.

Insights:
  • Lokomotiva Zagreb has the most conceded goals in the first half (13) in 1. HNL
  • Slaven Koprivnica have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

This should be an interesting game with lots of spark and energy as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Game on!

L D L D L

Lokomotiva Zagreb form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories in the 1. HNL this season. Lokomotiva Zagreb have only managed 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their games here at Stadion Kranjčevićeva. The home team are struggling everywhere these days as they haven't won a league-game, regardless of being the home or the away team, in eleven attempts.

Lokomotiva lost their last game at Gorica (placed 3rd) after a 1-3 scoreline. 1-1 away at Gorica before that.

Some supporters pointed their nail-bitten fingers at F. Karačić for missing a penalty kick versus Gorica in the 90th minute. It's possible that a goal in that situation would have changed the outcome.

This is expected to be a close game, with Lokomotiva Zagreb perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Lokomotiva as a small favourite), we find five games. Lokomotiva Zagreb has won two of these, drawn zero and lost three.

Lokomotiva are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 6 goals in 6 games. On the other hand, Lokomotiva Zagreb have conceded 7 goals.

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Slaven Koprivnica form and stats

3-3-1 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Slaven Koprivnica in their 1. HNL matches away. Having won their last three away games Slaven Koprivnica has no reason to fear anyone.

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a 1. HNL home defeat versus Dinamo Zagreb with 1-5 on the scoreboard. Prior to that result Koprivnica won their away game at Gorica. The scoreline was 1-0.

Koprivnica lost the plot completely in their previous game, as mentioned above. They need to recover quickly from that 1-5 beating and focus on this one.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Slaven Koprivnica playing away and similar expectations, we found five relevant matches. Results were two Koprivnica wins, two draws and one defeat.

The schedule is very tough for Slaven Koprivnica now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Croatia Cup game at GOSK Dubrovnik is waiting in only three days.

The travelling fans enjoy Koprivnica's attacking play in away games, having scored 11 goals in 7 league matches away. Slaven Koprivnica have conceded 8 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Slaven Koprivnica - Lokomotiva 0-0. Last ten meetings between the teams: Lokomotiva Zagreb won five, Slaven Koprivnica won one and four draws. five games with over 2,5 goals, five matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Slaven KoprivnicaI. Krstanović
I. Krstanović
4 goals
Slaven KoprivnicaT. Knöll
T. Knöll
3 goals
LokomotivaI. Tuci
I. Tuci
2 goals

Lokomotiva Zagreb missing players

Slaven Koprivnica missing players

Lokomotiva Zagreb Slaven Koprivnica
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
13 6 2 Played P 2 7 14
1 1 1 Won W 2 3 4
6 3 0 Drew D 0 3 5
6 2 1 Lost L 0 1 5
11 6 2 Scored S 5 11 18
21 7 2 Conceded C 1 8 19
85% 83% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 86% 79%
69% 67% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 71% 64%
46% 50% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 57% 50%
23% 17% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 29% 29%
15% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 14% 21%
62% 67% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 43% 43%
23% 33% 50% Clean Sheets C S 50% 43% 36%
31% 17% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 29% 43%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.8 2.5 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 1.9 1.6
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
7.2 7 5.5 Shots (avg) S ( 10.5 9.7 10.6
2.2 1.8 1 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.5 3.3 4
38% 55% 100% Goal Efficiency G E 56% 48% 32%
Key stats in 1. HNL this season:
  • Lokomotiva Zagreb has the fewest dropped points from leading position (0) in 1. HNL
  • Lokomotiva Zagreb has the most conceded goals in the first half (13) in 1. HNL
  • Lokomotiva Zagreb have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Slaven Koprivnica have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Osijek 14 9 3 2 22 11 7 5 1 1 11 4 7 4 2 1 11 7 11 30
2 Dinamo Zagreb 12 9 2 1 34 12 5 4 1 0 21 6 7 5 1 1 13 6 22 29
3 Gorica 12 7 2 3 24 16 6 3 2 1 9 7 6 4 0 2 15 9 8 23
4 Rijeka 10 6 1 3 12 11 6 5 1 0 10 4 4 1 0 3 2 7 1 19
5 Hajduk Split 12 5 2 5 16 13 7 2 2 3 9 8 5 3 0 2 7 5 3 17
6 Slaven Koprivnica 14 4 5 5 18 19 7 1 2 4 7 11 7 3 3 1 11 8 -1 17
7 Sibenik 13 4 1 8 13 20 7 2 0 5 6 13 6 2 1 3 7 7 -7 13
8 Lokomotiva Zagreb 13 1 6 6 11 21 6 1 3 2 6 7 7 0 3 4 5 14 -10 9
9 Varazdin 14 2 3 9 11 23 7 0 2 5 6 15 7 2 1 4 5 8 -12 9
10 Istra 1961 12 2 3 7 8 23 5 2 0 3 3 6 7 0 3 4 5 17 -15 9