1. HNL match prediction: Little separates Lokomotiva Zagreb and Rijeka in quality

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Competition: Croatia 1. HNL
Competition: Sat 18.February
Match begins: 16:10 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion Kranjčevićeva (10850 seats)

Lokomotiva Zagreb are unlocking their away locker room to Rijeka for yet another key game following their 4-0 result against 9th-placed Sibenik.

Insights:
  • Lokomotiva Zagreb have the most matches over the total-line (15) in 1. HNL
  • Rijeka have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

W W L D D

Lokomotiva Zagreb form and stats

5 victories, 2 draws and 3 defeats. That’s what Lokomotiva Zagreb have to build on here at Stadion Kranjčevićeva in the 1. HNL. When Lokomotiva Zagreb hosts teams that live in the bottom of the table (like Gorica, Lokomotiva Zagreb and Sibenik), they have won 1 of 2 matches!

Nothing to worry about in defence for Lokomotiva Zagreb, as their goalkeeper Nikola Cavlina has completely shut out the opponents for 212 minutes in the 1. HNL.

Happy days for Lokomotiva Zagreb in their previous game, a fixture away at Sibenik (placed 9th) that ended with a 4-0 victory. As indicated by the result mentioned above, Lokomotiva played a great game against Sibenik and beat them comfortably. Expectations are high for this one. Čavlina loved the game against Sibenik. With a stunning six saves the goalkeeper played a huge part in the 4-0 victory. The goalie Čavlina was named most valuable player of the team in that game, scoring 7.81 out of ten. Čavlina topped it up with a clean sheet.

Ahead of that match, Lokomotiva Zagreb won a home game hosting Osijek (1-0).

Lokomotiva have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Stadion Kranjčevićeva with 15 goals in 10 league matches. Lokomotiva Zagreb have conceded 11 in these home matches.

W W W D W

Rijeka form and stats

As the visiting team in 1. HNL matches, Rijeka have produced an overall stat of 5-2-4 so far. When Rijeka is visiting a side on the bottom half, they have won 3 of 3 matches. Gorica, Sibenik and Rijeka is teams we like to compare Lokomotiva Zagreb with. Rijeka love their trips these days, as their two previous away games have resulted in victories.

Liber and Marin scored in Rijeka's previous match, the home game against Gorica that ended 2-0. Attacker Marin got a player rating of 8.43 in the game. "Man of the match" Marin scored one goal, served one assist and hit two key passes.

Ahead of that match was the victory versus Hajduk Split at their stadium, the result 2-1.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Rijeka playing away and similar expectations, we found 4 relevant matches. Results were 2 Rijeka wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat.

Rijeka find the net regularly in their away games. 15 goals from 11 away fixtures in the league. 14 goals have been conceded by Rijeka in these games.

Head 2 Head

The most up to date registered meeting between these participants is the Rijeka - Lokomotiva 3-0 played not long ago this season. Haas (Lokomotiva Zagreb) and Pavlovic (Rijeka) were sent off when these sides met previously this season. Will it be as violent this time? Statistics for the prior ten meetings between these two sides are: four wins for Lokomotiva, zero draws and six wins for Rijeka. Over 2,5 goals: seven times; under 2,5 goals: three games.

Top Goalscorers

Lokomotiva ZagrebS. Kulenovic
S. Kulenovic
7 goals
RijekaM. Frigan
M. Frigan
6 goals
Lokomotiva ZagrebS. Goričan
S. Goričan
4 goals

Lokomotiva Zagreb missing players

Rijeka missing players

Lokomotiva Zagreb Rijeka
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
21 10 2 Played P 3 11 21
7 5 1 Won W 3 5 7
4 2 1 Drew D 0 2 4
10 3 0 Lost L 0 4 10
29 15 3 Scored S 5 15 24
31 11 2 Conceded C 1 14 30
90% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 95%
81% 80% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 91% 76%
71% 60% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 55% 48%
29% 20% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 18% 14%
14% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 5%
67% 70% 100% BTTS BTTS 33% 64% 48%
24% 20% 0% Clean Sheets C S 67% 27% 29%
19% 10% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 9% 29%
 
4.3 4.8 5 Corners for (avg) C F 4.3 4.2 4.1
4.4 4.3 6.5 Corners against (avg) C A 5.7 4.3 4.2
2.4 2.5 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.3 2.5 2.9
4 1 1 Red cards R C 0 2 5
 
11 12.3 9 Shots (avg) S ( 9 10 10.5
4.5 4.7 4.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.3 3.7 3.7
31% 32% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 37% 31%
 
9.9 8.9 6.5 Shots against (avg) S A 6.3 12.1 11.5
4.9 3.6 1.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2 4.3 4.3
Key stats in 1. HNL this season:
  • Lokomotiva Zagreb have the fewest matches under the total-line (6) in 1. HNL
  • Lokomotiva Zagreb have the most matches over the total-line (15) in 1. HNL
  • Lokomotiva Zagreb haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Rijeka have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Rijeka haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Dinamo Zagreb 20 15 4 1 52 19 11 10 1 0 32 10 9 5 3 1 20 9 33 49
2 Hajduk Split 21 12 5 4 40 26 10 7 2 1 23 11 11 5 3 3 17 15 14 41
3 Osijek 21 10 5 6 32 23 11 6 5 0 17 7 10 4 0 6 15 16 9 35
4 Slaven Koprivnica 21 7 8 6 17 28 10 3 4 3 9 17 11 4 4 3 8 11 -11 29
5 Istra 1961 20 7 6 7 20 20 10 4 3 3 10 8 10 3 3 4 10 12 0 27
6 Varazdin 21 7 6 8 25 30 11 3 4 4 12 16 10 4 2 4 13 14 -5 27
7 Lokomotiva Zagreb 21 7 4 10 29 31 10 5 2 3 15 11 11 2 2 7 14 20 -2 25
8 Rijeka 21 7 4 10 24 30 10 2 2 6 9 16 11 5 2 4 15 14 -6 25
9 Sibenik 21 2 10 9 15 27 11 1 3 7 7 18 10 1 7 2 8 9 -12 16
10 Gorica 21 1 6 14 11 31 10 1 3 6 4 13 11 0 3 8 7 18 -20 9