1. HNL preview: Can Gorica edge out victory against Istra 1961?

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Competition: Croatia 1. HNL
Competition: Sat 16.October
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: ŠRC Velika Gorica (8000 seats)

Gorica have harvested 7 of their 16 in total here in their home stadium. How will they do versus Istra 1961?

Insights:
  • Gorica have the fewest points from losing position (0) in 1. HNL
  • Istra 1961 have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Gorica form and stats

The overall 1. HNL stats playing at home this season for Gorica are 2-1-2 (wins-draws-losses).

A good away victory last time out for Gorica, who won 2-1 against Sibenik (placed 7th). Midfield player Toni Fruk got a match rating of 8.4 in that game, the max score being 10. Fruk scored two goals and hit two key passes.

Preceding that match was a defeat to Rijeka (3-4).

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Gorica matches with similar probabilities have ended with two wins, two draws and one defeat (from five games).

The Gorica fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 9 goals in 5 league matches. Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 9 goals have been conceded.

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Istra 1961 form and stats

Playing away, Istra 1961 have won 1 game, drawn 1 and suffered 3 defeats in the 1. HNL this season.

The manager G. García García was unhappy after their last game, a 1. HNL match played at their home ground Stadion Aldo Drosina. Istra suffered a 3-6 loss to Rijeka (placed 1st). As you can tell from the result, the match against Rijeka was as crazy as a clown in a village circus. Great fun for the neutral supporter with 9 goals, will the fun continue today? Attacker Dion Drena Beljo got a player rating of 7.31 in the game. "Man of the match" Beljo served one assist and hit five key passes.

Before that one, a nice away victory 1-0 at Hrvatski Dragovoljac.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Istra playing away, we found two games. Results were zero away wins, one draw and one home win.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Istra as they have only managed to score 3 times from 5 away games in the league. The Istra manager G. García García has some worries about the defense as 10 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

Istra 1961 - Gorica 1-2 was the output when these two teams formerly met, some time ago this season. Head to head data (for the former ten meetings): Gorica won four games, six matches ended in a draw and Istra 1961 have zero wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: seven / three

Top Goalscorers

GoricaK. Lovrić
K. Lovrić
4 goals
Istra 1961B. Bandé
B. Bandé
4 goals
GoricaT. Fruk
T. Fruk
3 goals

Gorica missing players

Istra 1961 missing players

Gorica Istra 1961
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
11 5 3 Played P 1 5 10
5 2 2 Won W 0 1 3
1 1 1 Drew D 0 1 1
5 2 0 Lost L 1 3 6
16 9 5 Scored S 0 3 13
17 9 2 Conceded C 4 10 22
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
73% 80% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 80% 90%
55% 60% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 40% 60%
36% 60% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 40% 50%
18% 20% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 10%
64% 80% 67% BTTS BTTS 0% 40% 60%
18% 20% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 20%
18% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 40% 20%
 
5.3 8.4 9.7 Corners for (avg) C F 1 4.2 3.4
5 4 3.7 Corners against (avg) C A 4 5.2 4.8
3.5 3.6 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 3.2 2.6
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
11.1 14.8 16 Shots (avg) S ( 7 6.2 7.6
4.7 6.2 6.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 2.4 3.3
31% 29% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 25% 39%
Key stats in 1. HNL this season:
  • Gorica have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Gorica have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Istra 1961 have scored away.
  • Gorica have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Gorica have the fewest points from losing position (0) in 1. HNL
  • Gorica have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Gorica have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Gorica haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Istra 1961 have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Istra 1961 have won significantly more corners away than at home.
  • Istra 1961 haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Rijeka 10 7 2 1 25 15 4 4 0 0 8 2 6 3 2 1 17 13 10 23
2 Dinamo Zagreb 9 7 1 1 25 6 6 4 1 1 15 5 3 3 0 0 10 1 19 22
3 Osijek 11 6 3 2 15 10 6 3 2 1 8 5 5 3 1 1 7 5 5 21
4 Hajduk Split 10 6 2 2 16 9 5 3 0 2 6 4 5 3 2 0 10 5 7 20
5 Gorica 11 5 1 5 16 17 5 2 1 2 9 9 6 3 0 3 7 8 -1 16
6 Lokomotiva Zagreb 10 4 2 4 16 11 6 3 2 1 13 6 4 1 0 3 3 5 5 14
7 Sibenik 11 3 1 7 15 20 5 3 0 2 12 8 6 0 1 5 3 12 -5 10
8 Istra 1961 10 3 1 6 13 22 5 2 0 3 10 12 5 1 1 3 3 10 -9 10
9 Slaven Koprivnica 11 1 3 7 7 17 5 0 2 3 4 9 6 1 1 4 3 8 -10 6
10 Hrvatski Dragovoljac 11 1 2 8 10 31 5 0 1 4 3 10 6 1 1 4 7 21 -21 5