Torneo Aguila prediction and preview: Real Cartagena modest favorites to beat Fortaleza CEIF

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Competition: Colombia Torneo Aguila
Date: Sat 09.November
Match begins: 20:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Olimpico Jaime Moron Leon (17000 seats)

Only a few games have been played in the Torneo Aguila so far, with Real Cartagena placed 2nd and Fortaleza CEIF sitting in the 3rd position.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

It's quite the trip for Fortaleza CEIF when visiting Real Cartagena as the cities are 1000 kilometers apart.

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Real Cartagena form and stats

Real Cartagena, who have the fewest points (0) at home in Torneo Aguila, have collected 0 points from their Torneo Aguila home games so far after 0-0-1.

Happy days for Real Cartagena in their previous game, a Torneo Aguila match away at Fortaleza CEIF (placed 3rd) that ended with a 3-1 victory. Ahead of that match, Real Cartagena lost 0-1 at home to Boyacá Chicó.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Real Cartagena have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found seven games) they have won 2 times, drawn 3 and lost 2.

Real Cartagena are traveling soon after this match as the Torneo Aguila match at Boyacá Chicó awaits in three days.

Real Cartagena has scored 0 goals so far and conceded 1 goal from 1 home game. These are numbers from the league only.

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Fortaleza CEIF form and stats

0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses. That’s the product of Fortaleza CEIF, who have the most scored goals (5) in Torneo Aguila, playing as the away team in the Torneo Aguila this season. Two points from the last two away games for Fortaleza CEIF, which the math geniuses among you will translate to two draws.

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a Torneo Aguila home defeat versus Real Cartagena with 1-3 on the scoreboard. Prior to that match, a home win 3-1 against Bogotá.

We have checked recent matches where Fortaleza CEIF have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those six games were W0-D3-L3.

The schedule is very tough for Fortaleza CEIF now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Torneo Aguila game at Bogotá is waiting in only three days.

1 goal so far away for Fortaleza CEIF, while their defence has allowed the opposition to score 1. All from 1 league match away.

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other before this season, with the result Fortaleza CEIF - Real Cartagena 1-3 entered in the official records. Head-2-head stats last nine meetings: 4 - 3 - 2 (Real Cartagena wins - draws - Fortaleza CEIF wins). As for goals, 3 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 6 had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Real CartagenaE. Aguilar
E. Aguilar
17 goals
Real CartagenaJ. Cano
J. Cano
9 goals
Fortaleza CEIFS. Acosta
S. Acosta
9 goals

Real Cartagena missing players

Fortaleza CEIF missing players

Real Cartagena Fortaleza CEIF
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
39 19 1 Played P 0 16 33
19 12 1 Won W 0 2 12
11 5 0 Drew D 0 5 9
9 2 0 Lost L 0 9 12
61 35 2 Scored S 0 12 44
45 19 1 Conceded C 0 25 42
97% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 94% 91%
77% 79% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 75% 79%
51% 58% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 25% 45%
23% 26% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 25% 30%
13% 16% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 12%
59% 63% 100% BTTS BTTS 0% 44% 52%
23% 26% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 19% 27%
21% 11% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 44% 30%
 
4.5 4.9 3 Corners For (avg) C F 0 4.6 5.1
4.4 3.5 7 Corners Against (avg) C A 0 4.2 4.4
2.8 3 3 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 0 2.4 2.5
5 1 0 Red Cards R C 0 2 4
Key stats this season:
  • Fortaleza CEIF have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Real Cartagena have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Real Cartagena have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Fortaleza CEIF have scored away.
  • Real Cartagena haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Boyacá Chicó 3 1 2 0 3 2 2 0 2 0 2 2 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 5
2 Real Cartagena 3 1 1 1 4 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 1 0 4 2 1 4
3 Fortaleza CEIF 3 1 1 1 5 5 2 1 0 1 4 4 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 4
4 Bogotá 3 0 2 1 3 5 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 2