Football preview: Rionegro Águilas favourites when Deportivo Pasto visit

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Competition: Colombia Liga BetPlay
Competition: Sat 26.November
Match begins: 23:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Alberto Grisales (14000 seats)

The home supporters plan for a victory in this fixture, and the home advantage could mean an extra goal against a stumbling visitor. Rionegro Águilas are in 13th spot while the guesting Deportivo Pasto stress at 16th.

Insights:
  • Rionegro Águilas have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Deportivo Pasto have the fewest dropped points from leading position (6) in Liga BetPlay

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

L W W W D

Rionegro Águilas form and stats

The story so far in the Liga BetPlay for Rionegro Águilas at their home stadium (Estadio Alberto Grisales) is 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat. It’s been three wins in a row for Rionegro here at Estadio Alberto Grisales, hoping to make this one the fourth consecutive victory.

Rionegro Águilas faced defeat in their previous match, away at Independiente Medellin (1-2). Up until that match this team had gone nine consecutive league rounds without being beaten. Midfield player Rivas got a match rating of 7.43 in that game, the max score being 10. Rivas hit one key pass and had 35 successful passes (of 43 total).

Before that game, the 1-0 home victory against Independiente Medellin.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Rionegro Águilas matches with similar probabilities have ended with 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats (from 4 games).

Trouble hitting the net? In this team's last 10 league games, 8 have contained two goals or less.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Rionegro as they are travelling to their away game against America de Cali in the Liga BetPlay. That match is three days after this one.

Rionegro Águilas are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 12 goals in 10 games. From these home matches, Rionegro Águilas have conceded only 7 goals. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Deportivo Pasto form and stats

Playing away, Deportivo Pasto have won 3 games, drawn 2 and suffered 5 defeats in the Liga BetPlay this season.

Arboleda scored in Pasto's previous match, the home game against America de Cali that ended 1-0. Yippee; their first three points in the league after seven games not winning. World class coaching! That was the thoughts of manager Díaz when Arboleda scored the winning goal after coming on as a substitute in the 74th minute. Defender Malagón was the best team player with a rating of 7.41. Malagón won 7 of 9 duels.

A 1-2 defeat away at America de Cali before that.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Deportivo Pasto playing away, we found 11 games. Results were 2 away wins, 3 draws and 6 home wins.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Independiente Medellin in just three days.

There's been a serious shortage of goals from Deportivo Pasto's away games in the league this season with only {4 goals} from 10 matches. It's not easy to score on Pasto as they have only conceded 8 goals from these away games. It's worth mentioning that 6 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

Rionegro Águilas have won or drawn the last 20 fixtures (13-7-0) versus Deportivo Pasto.

Deportivo Pasto - Rionegro Águilas 0-1 was the story when these two participants previously did battle, earlier this season.

Top Goalscorers

Rionegro ÁguilasJ. Salazar Valencia
J. Salazar Valencia
3 goals
Deportivo PastoJ. Medina Escobar
J. Medina Escobar
3 goals
RionegroJ. Rodríguez Cordoba
J. Rodríguez Cordoba
2 goals

Rionegro Águilas missing players

Deportivo Pasto missing players

Rionegro Águilas Deportivo Pasto
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
44 22 7 Played P 7 22 44
18 12 5 Won W 3 5 15
13 8 2 Drew D 1 6 13
13 2 0 Lost L 3 11 16
45 31 12 Scored S 6 13 42
43 14 4 Conceded C 8 27 46
93% 95% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 86% 86% 89%
61% 64% 71% Over 1.5 O 1.5 43% 50% 57%
34% 32% 29% Over 2.5 O 2.5 43% 27% 32%
11% 14% 29% Over 3.5 O 3.5 14% 14% 16%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 14% 5% 5%
36% 41% 29% BTTS BTTS 29% 32% 41%
48% 59% 71% Clean Sheets C S 43% 32% 34%
23% 5% 0% Failed to Score F T 43% 50% 36%
 
4.3 5.1 3.6 Corners for (avg) C F 3.1 4 4.5
3.7 3.4 3.6 Corners against (avg) C A 4.3 5 4.5
3 2.9 2.4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.4 3 2.7
8 4 1 Red cards R C 2 7 12
 
9.4 11.5 10.7 Shots (avg) S ( 8.1 6.5 7.6
4 5.2 5.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4 3 3.7
25% 27% 32% Goal Efficiency G E 21% 20% 26%
 
6.5 5 4.9 Shots against (avg) S A 10.3 10.5 8.9
2.9 1.8 1.7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.9 4.5 3.8
Key stats in Liga BetPlay this season:
  • Deportivo Pasto have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Deportivo Pasto have the fewest dropped points from leading position (6) in Liga BetPlay
  • Rionegro Águilas have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Rionegro Águilas have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Deportivo Pasto have scored away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Millonarios 20 13 3 4 23 11 10 8 1 1 11 4 10 5 2 3 12 7 12 42
2 Deportes Tolima 20 12 4 4 29 14 10 6 1 3 16 10 10 6 3 1 13 4 15 40
3 Atletico Nacional 20 10 6 4 26 15 10 6 3 1 14 5 10 4 3 3 12 10 11 36
4 Independiente Medellin 20 10 4 6 25 19 10 8 2 0 16 2 10 2 2 6 9 17 6 34
5 Junior 20 10 2 8 30 21 10 8 1 1 22 9 10 2 1 7 8 12 9 32
6 Envigado 20 8 7 5 22 21 10 6 3 1 12 6 10 2 4 4 10 15 1 31
7 La Equidad 20 7 9 4 21 16 10 4 4 2 9 6 10 3 5 2 12 10 5 30
8 Atletico Bucaramanga 20 8 5 7 27 25 10 5 2 3 14 11 10 3 3 4 13 14 2 29
9 Alianza Petrolera 20 7 8 5 22 20 10 5 4 1 15 10 10 2 4 4 7 10 2 29
10 Santa Fe 20 7 6 7 29 26 10 6 1 3 16 9 10 1 5 4 13 17 3 27
11 Jaguares de Cordoba 20 8 3 9 26 29 10 7 1 2 17 9 10 1 2 7 9 20 -3 27
12 Once Caldas 20 6 8 6 18 18 10 4 4 2 12 8 10 2 4 4 6 10 0 26
13 Rionegro Águilas 20 7 4 9 17 26 10 5 4 1 12 7 10 2 0 8 5 19 -9 25
14 Deportivo Pereira 20 6 5 9 21 26 10 4 2 4 10 12 10 2 3 5 11 14 -5 23
15 America de Cali 20 6 5 9 20 25 10 5 3 2 15 10 10 1 2 7 5 15 -5 23
16 Deportivo Pasto 20 5 7 8 16 20 10 2 5 3 12 12 10 3 2 5 4 8 -4 22
17 Patriotas Boyaca 20 5 6 9 19 23 10 3 3 4 11 10 10 2 3 5 8 13 -4 21
18 Cortulua 20 5 5 10 21 27 10 4 3 3 10 10 10 1 2 7 11 17 -6 20
19 Deportivo Cali 20 4 6 10 14 24 10 2 4 4 9 12 10 2 2 6 5 12 -10 18
20 Union Magdalena 20 2 5 13 8 28 10 2 3 5 5 14 10 0 2 8 3 14 -20 11