Liga BetPlay match prediction: Little separates Rionegro Águilas and Atlético Nacional in quality

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Competition: Colombia Liga BetPlay
Competition: Sun 04.June
Match begins: 23:05 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Alberto Grisales (14000 seats)

Rionegro Águilas and Atlético Nacional are both doing (very) nicely in the Liga BetPlay with their 1st and 3rd places respectively. Expect a fun fixture!

Insights:
  • Rionegro Águilas have the most scored goals in the first half (21) in Liga BetPlay
  • Atlético Nacional have the fewest conceded goals (14) in Liga BetPlay

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Rionegro Águilas form and stats

Rionegro Águilas have been very solid at home in the Liga BetPlay so far, with 26 points collected from 10 matches (8-2-0). This has contributed greatly to their 1st position in the table.

Rionegro Águilas are anxiously hoping for a goal as it's been 191 minutes since the last one in league fixtures. (Scored by Pineda).

In their previous game, the manager Vélez led his Rionegro Águilas to a defeat away at Atlético Nacional. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Estadio Alberto Grisales. Defender Rodríguez got the top score of the team in the match with a rating of 7.31/10. Rodríguez won 7 of 9 duels.

The spoils were shared after 90 minutes before that, a home game that ended 0-0 versus Deportivo Pasto.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Rionegro have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 14 matches with the results: Won 6, drawn 3 and lost 5.

From these home matches, Rionegro Águilas have conceded only 7 goals.

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Atlético Nacional form and stats

As the visiting team in Liga BetPlay matches, Atlético Nacional have produced an overall stat of 4-4-2 so far. Two points from the last two away games for Atlético Nacional, which the math geniuses among you will translate to two draws.

Atlético Nacional go into this game after a win, the home game against Rionegro Águilas that ended 1-0. That win felt good as this team had gone four league fixtures without winning. Atlético goalie Mier was high and low in the Rionegro Águilas game, contributing eight saves towards the victory. Mier (goalkeeper) was the best performer with a rating of 8.6. Mier topped it up with a clean sheet.

A draw for Atlético Nacional before that, at their own venue hosting Alianza Petrolera (1-1).

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found 6 similar matches played by Atlético Nacional in our archives, and the results are: 2 wins for Atlético, 2 draws and 2 defeats.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Atlético Nacional manager de Mello as the team has another away game coming up in only four days, this time against Olimpia.

Atlético Nacional have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 10 league away games 13 goals have been scored. It's not easy to score on Atlético as they have only conceded 8 goals from these away games. It's worth mentioning that 5 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

The former H2H meeting ended Atlético Nacional - Rionegro Águilas 1-0, played this season. Rionegro Águilas-Atlético Nacional H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Rionegro Águilas one win, Atlético Nacional four wins, five draws. two of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

Atlético NacionalJ. Duque Montoya
J. Duque Montoya
21 goals
Atlético NacionalJ. Barrera Escalona
J. Barrera Escalona
10 goals
Atlético NacionalS. Gómez Londoño
S. Gómez Londoño
3 goals

Rionegro Águilas missing players

Atlético Nacional missing players

Rionegro Águilas Atlético Nacional
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
23 11 1 Played P 1 11 23
11 8 1 Won W 0 4 10
7 3 0 Drew D 0 5 10
5 0 0 Lost L 1 2 3
35 20 2 Scored S 1 14 29
27 7 0 Conceded C 2 9 16
87% 91% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 82% 83%
74% 73% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 73% 65%
57% 45% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 36% 30%
26% 18% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 18% 17%
9% 9% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
61% 55% 0% BTTS BTTS 100% 55% 52%
30% 45% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 45% 43%
22% 9% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 18% 22%
 
5.3 5.1 4 Corners for (avg) C F 6 5.6 5.3
4.1 3.5 3 Corners against (avg) C A 5 5.3 5.5
3.2 2.6 4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 2.3 2.3
6 1 0 Red cards R C 0 1 4
 
13.1 14.7 15 Shots (avg) S ( 14 13.5 12.7
4.8 4.7 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5 4.5 4.7
32% 38% 40% Goal Efficiency G E 20% 28% 27%
 
11.6 10.5 15 Shots against (avg) S A 8 14.3 13
4.4 3.8 1 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4 4.1 4.1
Key stats in Liga BetPlay this season:
  • Atlético Nacional have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Atlético Nacional have the fewest conceded goals (14) in Liga BetPlay
  • Atlético Nacional have the fewest conceded goals (8) away in Liga BetPlay
  • Atlético Nacional have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (8) in Liga BetPlay
  • Atlético Nacional have the most clean sheets (5) away in Liga BetPlay
  • Atlético Nacional have the most points (16) away in Liga BetPlay
  • Atlético Nacional have the the best goal difference (+5) away in Liga BetPlay
  • Rionegro Águilas have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Rionegro Águilas have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Rionegro Águilas have the most matches over the total-line (13) in Liga BetPlay
  • Rionegro Águilas have the most points (26) at home in Liga BetPlay
  • Rionegro Águilas have the most scored goals (20) at home in Liga BetPlay
  • Rionegro Águilas have the most scored goals in the first half (21) in Liga BetPlay
  • Rionegro Águilas have the the best goal difference (+13) at home in Liga BetPlay

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Rionegro Águilas 20 11 6 3 32 21 10 8 2 0 20 7 10 3 4 3 12 14 11 39
2 Millonarios 20 10 8 2 30 18 10 7 3 0 19 9 10 3 5 2 11 9 12 38
3 Atlético Nacional 20 9 8 3 26 14 10 5 4 1 13 6 10 4 4 2 13 8 12 35
4 América de Cali 20 9 5 6 32 23 10 6 3 1 17 7 10 3 2 5 15 16 9 32
5 Boyaca Chico 20 7 9 4 24 18 10 6 4 0 16 5 10 1 5 4 8 13 6 30
6 Alianza Petrolera 20 9 3 8 27 22 10 8 0 2 19 9 10 1 3 6 8 13 5 30
7 Independiente Medellin 20 8 5 7 29 24 10 5 3 2 17 8 10 3 2 5 12 16 5 29
8 Deportivo Pasto 20 8 5 7 22 21 10 5 3 2 13 8 10 3 2 5 9 13 1 29
9 Junior 20 7 7 6 17 17 10 4 5 1 8 5 10 3 2 5 9 12 0 28
10 Santa Fe 20 7 5 8 29 25 10 6 1 3 17 6 10 1 4 5 12 19 4 26
11 La Equidad 20 5 11 4 20 17 10 5 4 1 14 7 10 0 7 3 6 10 3 26
12 Deportivo Pereira 20 6 7 7 24 25 10 4 4 2 16 13 10 2 3 5 8 12 -1 25
13 Deportes Tolima 20 5 9 6 23 26 10 5 3 2 15 11 10 0 6 4 8 15 -3 24
14 Deportivo Cali 20 5 8 7 20 26 10 3 6 1 10 7 10 2 2 6 10 19 -6 23
15 Atletico Bucaramanga 20 4 8 8 15 21 10 3 4 3 10 9 10 1 4 5 5 12 -6 20
16 Envigado 20 4 8 8 14 20 10 3 4 3 9 9 10 1 4 5 5 11 -6 20
17 Once Caldas 20 4 8 8 17 24 10 3 4 3 11 11 10 1 4 5 6 13 -7 20
18 Jaguares de Cordoba 20 4 7 9 16 26 10 4 4 2 13 9 10 0 3 7 3 17 -10 19
19 Union Magdalena 20 3 10 7 16 30 10 3 6 1 13 12 10 0 4 6 3 18 -14 19
20 Atletico Huila 20 5 3 12 20 35 10 3 3 4 11 14 10 2 0 8 9 21 -15 18