Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellín betting preview: Even match expected

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Competition: Colombia Liga BetPlay
Competition: Sun 01.Oct
Match begins: 21:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Palogrande (36553 seats)

Once Caldas are leaning on their home fans to support them in this fixture hosting Independiente Medellín. Who triumphs at Estadio Palogrande?

Insights:
  • Once Caldas have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (14) in Liga BetPlay
  • Independiente Medellín have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

The visiting Independiente Medellín played their last game only three days ago, a Copa Colombia match. That game was also an away game, at Cucuta Deportivo. It will be interesting to see if they are fully ready and rested for this match, and/or if some changes in the lineup is necessary.

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Once Caldas form and stats

Once Caldas have collected 13 points from their Liga BetPlay home games so far after 3-4-3. Their last two home games have resulted in two points, meaning they were both draws.

No payout for Once Caldas in their previous match, an away game at Alianza Petrolera that ended in defeat 1-2. The first loss after collecting points through four league games. The gifted forward Moreno outdid all others in that game and received a match rating of 7.7 out of 10. Moreno scored one goal and hit one key pass.

In the match before that, Once Caldas hosted La Equidad and drew the game 1-1.

This is expected to be a close game, with Once Caldas perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Caldas as a small favourite), we find 15 games. Once Caldas has won 5 of these, drawn 7 and lost 3.

The Once Caldas fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 11 in 10 matches. Caldas's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 11 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Independiente Medellín form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Liga BetPlay travels is 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats. In general it has been a productive period now for Independiente Medellín as they haven't lost any of their last eleven games.

Two travels in a row for Independiente Medellín, whose boss Sánchez could celebrate last time after the Copa Colombia win against Cucuta Deportivo.

A home win before that, celebrating 2-0 vs Atletico Bucaramanga.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Independiente Medellín playing away and similar expectations, we found 13 relevant matches. Results were 3 Independiente wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats.

A tale of few goals? 10 of this team's latest 13 league matches have seen two or less goals.

After this away game Independiente Medellín return home for a Copa Colombia game against Cucuta Deportivo. That game is only four sleeps after this.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Independiente Medellín have scored 12 goals in 10 league games away. As for defending, Independiente rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 16 goals from these away matches.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have played before this season: Independiente Medellín - Once Caldas 2-2. Last ten meetings between these contenders: Once Caldas won two, Independiente Medellín triumphed in three and we saw five draws. four games with over 2,5 goals, six matches with under 2,5 goals.

Top Goalscorers

CaldasD. Moreno Galindo
D. Moreno Galindo
17 goals
Independiente MedellínE. Cetré Angulo
E. Cetré Angulo
13 goals

Once Caldas missing players

Independiente Medellín missing players

Once Caldas Independiente Medellín
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
33 16 7 Played P 5 19 40
8 6 3 Won W 2 4 14
12 7 3 Drew D 2 6 14
13 3 1 Lost L 1 9 12
33 20 9 Scored S 9 21 51
37 12 5 Conceded C 8 28 44
88% 94% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 98%
64% 69% 71% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 84% 72%
39% 25% 14% Over 2.5 O 2.5 80% 47% 42%
18% 12% 14% Over 3.5 O 3.5 40% 21% 22%
3% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 5% 2%
58% 56% 57% BTTS BTTS 100% 74% 57%
30% 38% 29% Clean Sheets C S 0% 5% 28%
24% 12% 14% Failed to Score F T 0% 21% 18%
 
5.1 6 5.1 Corners for (avg) C F 3.8 3.8 5.7
4 3.8 4.1 Corners against (avg) C A 4.6 5.3 4.7
2.7 2.8 2.9 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 3.4 2.9
4 1 0 Red cards R C 1 6 6
 
13.5 15.2 12.4 Shots (avg) S ( 12.8 10.9 13.7
4.9 5.1 4.6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5.2 3.9 4.6
20% 25% 28% Goal Efficiency G E 35% 28% 28%
 
11.2 9.8 11.4 Shots against (avg) S A 14.2 14.8 12.4
3.9 3.4 4.4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5 5.4 3.9
Key stats in Liga BetPlay this season:
  • Independiente Medellín have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Independiente Medellín have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Independiente Medellín haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Once Caldas have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (14) in Liga BetPlay

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Rionegro Águilas 20 11 6 3 32 21 10 8 2 0 20 7 10 3 4 3 12 14 11 39
2 Millonarios 20 10 8 2 30 18 10 7 3 0 19 9 10 3 5 2 11 9 12 38
3 Atlético Nacional 20 9 8 3 26 14 10 5 4 1 13 6 10 4 4 2 13 8 12 35
4 America de Cali 20 9 5 6 32 23 10 6 3 1 17 7 10 3 2 5 15 16 9 32
5 Boyaca Chico 20 7 9 4 24 18 10 6 4 0 16 5 10 1 5 4 8 13 6 30
6 Alianza Petrolera 20 9 3 8 27 22 10 8 0 2 19 9 10 1 3 6 8 13 5 30
7 Independiente Medellín 20 8 5 7 29 24 10 5 3 2 17 8 10 3 2 5 12 16 5 29
8 Deportivo Pasto 20 8 5 7 22 21 10 5 3 2 13 8 10 3 2 5 9 13 1 29
9 Junior 20 7 7 6 17 17 10 4 5 1 8 5 10 3 2 5 9 12 0 28
10 Santa Fe 20 7 5 8 29 25 10 6 1 3 17 6 10 1 4 5 12 19 4 26
11 La Equidad 20 5 11 4 20 17 10 5 4 1 14 7 10 0 7 3 6 10 3 26
12 Deportivo Pereira 20 6 7 7 24 25 10 4 4 2 16 13 10 2 3 5 8 12 -1 25
13 Deportes Tolima 20 5 9 6 23 26 10 5 3 2 15 11 10 0 6 4 8 15 -3 24
14 Deportivo Cali 20 5 8 7 20 26 10 3 6 1 10 7 10 2 2 6 10 19 -6 23
15 Atletico Bucaramanga 20 4 8 8 15 21 10 3 4 3 10 9 10 1 4 5 5 12 -6 20
16 Envigado 20 4 8 8 14 20 10 3 4 3 9 9 10 1 4 5 5 11 -6 20
17 Once Caldas 20 4 8 8 17 24 10 3 4 3 11 11 10 1 4 5 6 13 -7 20
18 Jaguares de Cordoba 20 4 7 9 16 26 10 4 4 2 13 9 10 0 3 7 3 17 -10 19
19 Union Magdalena 20 3 10 7 16 30 10 3 6 1 13 12 10 0 4 6 3 18 -14 19
20 Atletico Huila 20 5 3 12 20 35 10 3 3 4 11 14 10 2 0 8 9 21 -15 18