Liga BetPlay prediction and preview: Millonarios modest favorites to beat Rionegro Águilas

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Competition: Colombia Liga BetPlay
Competition: Mon 12.October
Match begins: 01:10 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín (36343 seats)

Millonarios hope to sell some tickets for this game even though the season has been rough so far with 10 points and a 17th position in the Liga BetPlay table. Visiting Rionegro Águilas holds 13th place with 14 pts.

Rionegro Águilas could be less fresh than the hosts in this fixture, as they played a Liga BetPlay game only three sleeps ago.

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Millonarios form and stats

Millonarios's struggle is real here at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín with only 6 points collected from 6 Liga BetPlay games. The win-draw-lost numbers are ugly: 1-3-2. The last three games played by Millonarios, regardless of arena, have all ended draws.

An away draw last time out for Millonarios, facing Deportes Tolima in a game that ended 2-2. The spoils were shared after 90 minutes before that, a home game that ended 0-0 versus Atlético Bucaramanga.

Millonarios salvaged the draw from a difficult situation against Deportes Tolima, trailing 0-2 at one point. Not giving up resulted in A. Del Valle equalizing. The hometeam coach A. Gamero Morillo made a successful contribution in the game against Deportes Tolima, bringing on A. Del Valle who scored the equalizer in the 2-2 draw.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Millonarios matches with similar probabilities have ended with two wins, zero draws and one defeat (from three games).

The manager A. Gamero Morillo will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to Envigado in only three days.

Millonarios are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 6 goals in 6 games. On the other hand, Millonarios have conceded 8 goals.

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Rionegro Águilas form and stats

Rionegro Águilas have only collected 2 points from their away games in the Liga BetPlay, after 0-2-4 (6 played). The travelling fans think it's time that their travel expenses are covered with some points now, as Rionegro Águilas have lost on their last two travels.

Rionegro had fun at their own home (Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín) last time out, beating Patriotas Boyacá 3-0. Á. Angulo and C. Marrugo (2) scored. Prior to that match, the Rionegro manager F. Stifano Garzone faced defeat when travelling to América de Cali and losing 1-3.

Rionegro Águilas delivered their win in the match against Patriotas Boyacá already in the first half, and could slow the play down in the final 45 minutes to ensure the glorious victory. A solid performance!

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Rionegro playing away, we found four games. Results were zero away wins, three draws and one home win.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Atlético Nacional in just four days.

The visiting Rionegro have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 6 goals from 6 games. Rionegro have conceded 12 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Millonarios won one game, seven matches ended with a draw and Rionegro Águilas has two wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: two / eight

Top Goalscorers

Rionegro ÁguilasJ. Obrian Arias
J. Obrian Arias
5 goals
MillonariosJ. Pereira Díaz
J. Pereira Díaz
4 goals
MillonariosC. Arango Duque
C. Arango Duque
2 goals

Millonarios missing players

Rionegro Águilas missing players

Millonarios Rionegro Águilas
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
12 6 1 Played P 1 6 12
1 1 0 Won W 0 0 3
7 3 1 Drew D 0 2 5
4 2 0 Lost L 1 4 4
12 6 2 Scored S 0 6 15
18 8 2 Conceded C 2 12 15
83% 67% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
75% 67% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 92%
50% 67% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 67% 42%
33% 33% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 33% 17%
8% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
75% 67% 100% BTTS BTTS 0% 83% 67%
17% 33% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 25%
25% 33% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 17% 8%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.6 2.7 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 3.2 2.8
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
80 46 9 Total Shots T S 4 26 46
41 18 5 Shots on Target S O 4 16 33
29% 33% 40% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 38% 45%
Key stats in Liga BetPlay this season:
  • All of Rionegro Águilas's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Millonarios have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Rionegro Águilas has the fewest matches under the total-line (2) in Liga BetPlay
  • Rionegro Águilas have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Rionegro Águilas have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Rionegro Águilas have yet to win a game away.
  • Rionegro Águilas haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Deportes Tolima 12 6 6 0 16 7 6 3 3 0 9 4 6 3 3 0 7 3 9 24
2 Deportivo Pasto 12 7 3 2 17 9 6 4 0 2 11 6 6 3 3 0 6 3 8 24
3 Santa Fe 12 6 5 1 20 10 6 3 3 0 13 6 6 3 2 1 7 4 10 23
4 Atlético Nacional 12 6 3 3 24 18 6 2 2 2 10 9 6 4 1 1 14 9 6 21
5 Once Caldas 12 4 8 0 15 8 7 1 6 0 7 5 5 3 2 0 8 3 7 20
6 Deportivo Cali 12 4 8 0 16 10 6 3 3 0 8 4 6 1 5 0 8 6 6 20
7 América de Cali 12 5 4 3 17 13 6 5 1 0 12 4 6 0 3 3 5 9 4 19
8 Junior 12 4 5 3 10 9 6 4 1 1 8 4 6 0 4 2 2 5 1 17
9 Alianza Petrolera 12 5 2 5 13 15 6 3 1 2 4 3 6 2 1 3 9 12 -2 17
10 Envigado 12 4 4 4 14 13 6 3 2 1 9 4 6 1 2 3 5 9 1 16
11 La Equidad 12 4 3 5 20 18 6 3 2 1 16 9 6 1 1 4 4 9 2 15
12 Independiente Medellín 12 4 3 5 15 15 6 4 1 1 12 7 6 0 2 4 3 8 0 15
13 Rionegro Águilas 12 3 5 4 15 15 6 3 3 0 9 3 6 0 2 4 6 12 0 14
14 Deportivo Pereira 12 3 5 4 14 16 5 2 1 2 5 5 7 1 4 2 9 11 -2 14
15 Jaguares de Cordoba 12 3 2 7 13 19 6 2 2 2 9 9 6 1 0 5 4 10 -6 11
16 Atlético Bucaramanga 12 2 5 5 8 17 6 1 3 2 5 6 6 1 2 3 3 11 -9 11
17 Millonarios 12 1 7 4 12 18 6 1 3 2 6 8 6 0 4 2 6 10 -6 10
18 Cúcuta Deportivo 12 2 4 6 14 21 6 0 3 3 6 10 6 2 1 3 8 11 -7 10
19 Boyacá Chicó 12 2 2 8 7 19 6 2 1 3 4 8 6 0 1 5 3 11 -12 8
20 Patriotas Boyacá 12 0 6 6 4 14 6 0 4 2 2 5 6 0 2 4 2 9 -10 6