The home coach Morillo wants to whip up Millonarios win vs Once Caldas

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Competition: Colombia Liga BetPlay
Competition: Sat 19.March
Match begins: 01:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín (36343 seats)

Edgy top table potboiler in Liga BetPlay as Once Caldas have come the 124 miles required to meet Millonarios at their Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín.

Insights:
  • Millonarios have the fewest conceded goals (3) in Liga BetPlay
  • Once Caldas have won significantly less corners away then at home.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Millonarios form and stats

When playing at home in the Liga BetPlay, Millonarios have managed 3 wins, 0 draws and suffered 1 defeat from 4 games. The team is doing great wherever they are playing as Millonarios has won six games in a row. The Envigado match was the last time out without a victory.

Defensively the home team are doing well, with their goalkeeper Alvaro David Montero Perales not having conceded a league goal in 184 minutes.

A good away victory last time out for Millonarios, who won 3-0 against Santa Fe (placed 11th). Vásquez (midfield was the top team player in that game with a rating of 8.23/10. Vásquez scored one goal, hit three key passes and had 56 successful passes (of 60 total).

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Millonarios's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played five games, won two matches, drawn two and lost one.

From these home matches, Millonarios have conceded only 2 goals.

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Once Caldas form and stats

The visitors are W2-D2-L1 on the road this term. That's in the Liga BetPlay.

The Once Caldas goalkeeper Gerardo Amilcar Ortiz Zarza is collecting clean sheets like a laundry worker. It's been 203 league minutes without conceding a goal, and counting.

It's the second away game in a row for Caldas, but there's smiles all around after the 1-0 victory versus Deportivo Pereira (placed 15th) last time out. Midfielder Piedrahita was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 7.54. Piedrahita hit three key passes, dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times and had 24 successful passes (of 29 total).

A 0-0 draw was the result before that, hosting Deportivo Pereira.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Once Caldas playing away, we found five games. Results were one away win, three draws and one home win.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Deportes Tolima in just four days.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Once Caldas as they have only managed to score 4 times from 5 away games in the league. It's not easy to score on Caldas as they have only conceded 4 goals from these away games.

Head 2 Head

Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: four - three - three (Millonarios wins - draws - Once Caldas wins). As for goals, four matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), six had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Once CaldasM. García Torres
M. García Torres
6 goals
Once CaldasJ. Pérez Benítez
J. Pérez Benítez
6 goals
Once CaldasM. Carreazo Betin
M. Carreazo Betin
5 goals

Millonarios missing players

Once Caldas missing players

Millonarios Once Caldas
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
10 4 1 Played P 0 5 10
7 3 0 Won W 0 2 5
2 0 0 Drew D 0 2 4
1 1 1 Lost L 0 1 1
12 4 0 Scored S 0 4 11
3 2 2 Conceded C 0 4 6
80% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 80% 80%
50% 50% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 60% 60%
20% 0% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 20% 30%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
10% 0% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 40% 40%
80% 75% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 40% 50%
30% 25% 100% Failed to Score F T 0% 40% 30%
 
5.3 6.2 4 Corners for (avg) C F 0 4.4 5.6
3.1 2.8 1 Corners against (avg) C A 0 5 4.1
2.5 2.5 4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 4 3.3
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 2 2
 
6.7 9.2 7 Shots (avg) S ( 0 6.4 9
4.5 6.8 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 3 4.2
27% 15% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 27% 26%
 
3.5 3 3 Shots against (avg) S A 0 6 5.2
1.9 1.8 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 0 3.4 3
Key stats in Liga BetPlay this season:
  • Millonarios have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Millonarios have the fewest conceded goals (3) in Liga BetPlay
  • Millonarios have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (1) in Liga BetPlay
  • Millonarios have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (2) in Liga BetPlay
  • Millonarios have the most clean sheets (8) in Liga BetPlay
  • Millonarios have the the best goal difference (+9) in Liga BetPlay
  • Millonarios have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Millonarios haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Millonarios is in the best form (6-0-0) in Liga BetPlay
  • Once Caldas have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Millonarios 10 7 2 1 12 3 4 3 0 1 4 2 6 4 2 0 8 1 9 23
2 Deportes Tolima 10 7 1 2 14 6 4 3 0 1 7 4 6 4 1 1 7 2 8 22
3 Atletico Nacional 10 6 2 2 13 7 5 3 1 1 6 2 5 3 1 1 7 5 6 20
4 Once Caldas 10 5 4 1 11 6 5 3 2 0 7 2 5 2 2 1 4 4 5 19
5 Junior 10 6 0 4 14 11 5 5 0 0 10 3 5 1 0 4 4 8 3 18
6 Envigado 10 5 2 3 13 10 5 3 1 1 6 3 5 2 1 2 7 7 3 17
7 Independiente Medellin 10 5 0 5 13 10 5 5 0 0 12 1 5 0 0 5 1 9 3 15
8 America de Cali 10 4 3 3 11 9 5 3 2 0 9 3 5 1 1 3 2 6 2 15
9 Alianza Petrolera 10 2 7 1 11 9 5 2 3 0 8 5 5 0 4 1 3 4 2 13
10 La Equidad 10 3 4 3 10 9 5 1 2 2 4 4 5 2 2 1 6 5 1 13
11 Santa Fe 10 3 4 3 12 14 6 3 1 2 8 7 4 0 3 1 4 7 -2 13
12 Jaguares de Cordoba 10 4 1 5 12 15 6 4 0 2 9 7 4 0 1 3 3 8 -3 13
13 Atletico Bucaramanga 10 3 3 4 13 13 5 2 1 2 6 5 5 1 2 2 7 8 0 12
14 Cortulua 10 3 3 4 10 12 6 3 2 1 8 6 4 0 1 3 2 6 -2 12
15 Deportivo Pereira 10 3 2 5 12 14 4 1 1 2 5 6 6 2 1 3 7 8 -2 11
16 Rionegro Águilas 10 3 2 5 8 15 5 2 2 1 6 4 5 1 0 4 2 11 -7 11
17 Deportivo Pasto 10 2 3 5 5 9 5 1 2 2 4 4 5 1 1 3 1 5 -4 9
18 Deportivo Cali 10 2 1 7 5 12 5 1 1 3 2 5 5 1 0 4 3 7 -7 7
19 Patriotas Boyaca 10 1 3 6 8 14 5 1 2 2 5 5 5 0 1 4 3 9 -6 6
20 Union Magdalena 10 1 3 6 5 14 5 1 2 2 2 6 5 0 1 4 3 8 -9 6