Liga BetPlay prediction and preview: La Equidad modest favorites to beat Atlético Bucaramanga

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Competition: Colombia Liga BetPlay
Competition: Sun 18.October
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo

Getting closer to the top teams is at stake when these two mid-table clubs battle it out. Both will be aiming to improve their league table standing, La Equidad in 9th and Atlético Bucaramanga in 12th place.

It's no vacation for neither La Equidad nor Atlético Bucaramanga as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

It should be mentioned that Atlético Bucaramanga play their home matches on artifical turf, so they have to adjust for this one as it's played on grass. Does it matter? Recent statistics for Atlético Bucaramanga on grass are 13 victories, 12 draws and 22 defeats from 47 games. In these matches they have a goal statistics scored/conceded: 36-66. You can compare this with overall results below.

L W L W L

La Equidad form and stats

14 points is a decent return from 7 Liga BetPlay games here at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo for La Equidad. The data says 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. Nine out of nine points from the last three home games for La Equidad, and the home supporters are ready to scream their lungs out to keep the winning streak alive.

The fans are hoping that La Equidad will strike back in this match, putting things right after the 0-1 away loss in the Liga BetPlay game against Santa Fe (placed 2nd). Before that, Equidad had a home game versus Once Caldas which ended with a victory 2-0.

Heartbreak for Equidad in their last match as Santa Fe's D. Giraldo scored the winning goal deep into overtime.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how La Equidad have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 13 games) they have won four times, drawn eight and lost one.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the Copa Colombia game versus Cucuta Deportivo in only three days. This game is also played here at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.

Equidad are an "over 2,5 goals" team alone here at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo in their league games, having scored an impressive 18 goals in 7 matches. La Equidad have conceded 9 in these home matches.

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Atlético Bucaramanga form and stats

2-2-3 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Atlético Bucaramanga in their Liga BetPlay matches away.

The supporters enjoyed Atlético Bucaramanga's previous game versus Deportivo Pereira (placed 15th), a Liga BetPlay 1-0 win played at home. Prior to that result Atlético Bucaramanga won their away game at Alianza Petrolera. The scoreline was 2-1.

The end of the last match, against Deportivo Pereira, was very satisfying as D. Herazo scored the winning goal deep into overtime.

We have checked recent matches where Bucaramanga have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 13 games were four victories, three draws and six defeats.

A quick return to home after this game, as Bucaramanga are hosting Alianza Petrolera in the Copa Colombia only four days away.

The visitors have scored 5 goals from 7 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Bucaramanga's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 12 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

Head-to-head totals (for the last nine meetings): La Equidad won four games, three matches ended with a draw and Atlético Bucaramanga has two wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: five / four

Top Goalscorers

La EquidadH. Mier Codina
H. Mier Codina
6 goals
Atlético BucaramangaD. Herazo Moreno
D. Herazo Moreno
6 goals
EquidadP. Sabbag Daccarett
P. Sabbag Daccarett
5 goals

La Equidad missing players

Atlético Bucaramanga missing players

La Equidad Atlético Bucaramanga
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
14 7 2 Played P 3 7 14
5 4 2 Won W 1 2 4
3 2 0 Drew D 1 2 5
6 1 0 Lost L 1 3 5
22 18 3 Scored S 3 5 11
19 9 0 Conceded C 6 12 18
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 86% 86%
71% 86% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 71% 71%
43% 57% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 57% 36%
36% 57% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 29% 14%
21% 43% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
43% 57% 0% BTTS BTTS 67% 43% 43%
21% 43% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 29% 36%
36% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 43% 36%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
3.8 3.6 2.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.3 3 2.9
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
70 54 7 Total Shots T S 7 17 50
47 38 5 Shots on Target S O 5 13 35
47% 47% 60% Goal Efficiency G E 60% 38% 31%
Key stats in Liga BetPlay this season:
  • Atlético Bucaramanga has the fewest points from losing position (0) in Liga BetPlay
  • Atlético Bucaramanga have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Atlético Bucaramanga have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • La Equidad has the most scored goals (18) at home in Liga BetPlay
  • La Equidad have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • La Equidad have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Atlético Bucaramanga have scored away.
  • La Equidad have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • La Equidad haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Deportes Tolima 14 8 6 0 22 8 7 4 3 0 12 5 7 4 3 0 10 3 14 30
2 Santa Fe 14 7 6 1 22 11 7 4 3 0 14 6 7 3 3 1 8 5 11 27
3 Deportivo Pasto 14 7 5 2 19 11 7 4 1 2 12 7 7 3 4 0 7 4 8 26
4 Atlético Nacional 14 7 4 3 29 22 7 2 3 2 12 11 7 5 1 1 17 11 7 25
5 Deportivo Cali 14 5 9 0 20 12 7 4 3 0 11 5 7 1 6 0 9 7 8 24
6 América de Cali 14 6 5 3 21 14 7 6 1 0 15 4 7 0 4 3 6 10 7 23
7 Once Caldas 14 4 9 1 16 11 8 1 7 0 8 6 6 3 2 1 8 5 5 21
8 Junior 14 4 7 3 13 12 7 4 2 1 9 5 7 0 5 2 4 7 1 19
9 La Equidad 14 5 3 6 22 19 7 4 2 1 18 9 7 1 1 5 4 10 3 18
10 Envigado 14 4 5 5 16 16 7 3 2 2 10 6 7 1 3 3 6 10 0 17
11 Alianza Petrolera 14 5 2 7 15 20 7 3 1 3 5 5 7 2 1 4 10 15 -5 17
12 Atlético Bucaramanga 14 4 5 5 11 18 7 2 3 2 6 6 7 2 2 3 5 12 -7 17
13 Independiente Medellin 14 4 4 6 16 17 7 4 2 1 13 8 7 0 2 5 3 9 -1 16
14 Rionegro Aguilas 14 3 6 5 17 18 7 3 3 1 11 6 7 0 3 4 6 12 -1 15
15 Deportivo Pereira 14 3 6 5 15 18 6 2 2 2 6 6 8 1 4 3 9 12 -3 15
16 Millonarios 14 2 8 4 14 19 7 1 4 2 6 8 7 1 4 2 8 11 -5 14
17 Jaguares de Córdoba 14 3 4 7 15 21 7 2 3 2 10 10 7 1 1 5 5 11 -6 13
18 Cucuta Deportivo 14 2 5 7 15 25 7 0 3 4 6 13 7 2 2 3 9 12 -10 11
19 Boyaca Chico 14 3 2 9 9 22 7 3 1 3 5 8 7 0 1 6 4 14 -13 11
20 Patriotas Boyaca 14 0 7 7 5 18 7 0 5 2 3 6 7 0 2 5 2 12 -13 7