Home advantage could prove decisive in Independiente Medellín - Once Caldas battle

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Competition: Colombia Liga BetPlay
Competition: Sun 24.July
Match begins: 21:50 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (40043 seats)

Independiente Medellín get everything set for another match following their 2-2 result vs Deportivo Cali, a game that gave some clarity. How will they do against Once Caldas?

Insights:
  • Independiente Medellín have the most scored goals in the first half (20) in Liga BetPlay
  • Independiente Medellín have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Once Caldas have scored away.

The hosts Independiente Medellín saw competitive action as recent as three days ago, playing in the Liga BetPlay. That game was an away game at Deportivo Cali, so at least Independiente are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

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Independiente Medellín form and stats

Independiente Medellín have been very solid at home in the Liga BetPlay so far, with 26 points collected from 10 matches (8-2-0). This has contributed greatly to their 4th position in the table.

An away draw last time out for Independiente Medellín, facing Deportivo Cali in a game that ended 2-2. The Independiente Medellín goalkeeper Mosquera was crucial in the match against Deportivo Cali last time out, making six saves. Midfielder Hernández was the best player on the team with a rating of 7.32 (out of ten) in that game. Hernández served one assist and hit one key pass.

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Patriotas Boyaca in a game that was won 1-0.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Independiente Medellín have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 7 games) they have won 4 times, drawn 3 and lost 0.

Independiente are traveling soon after this match as the Copa Colombia match at Deportes Tolima awaits in three days.

Independiente Medellín have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Estadio Atanasio Girardot with 16 goals in 10 league matches. Defensively Independiente have been outstanding, conceding less than half a goal on average per home game in the league (2 in 10 games). For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. It's worth mentioning that 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Once Caldas form and stats

Once Caldas have only collected 10 points from their away games in the Liga BetPlay, after 2-4-4 (10 played).

Once Caldas are travelling after their nice 2-0 home win in the game against Rionegro Aguilas. Hooray; their first victory in the league after six games not winning. Which player has bagged at least one goal three games in a row for the away side? The answer is Valle and that is quite the accomplishment! Chaux (goalkeeper) was the best performer with a rating of 8.15. Chaux topped it up with a clean sheet.

A draw for Once Caldas before that, at their own venue hosting La Equidad (1-1).

We have checked recent matches where Caldas have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 10 games were 1 victory, 4 draws and 5 defeats.

Lacking goals? 12 of this side's latest 16 league fixtures have seen two goals or less.

The visitors have scored 6 goals from 10 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game.

Head 2 Head

Independiente Medellín and Once Caldas have played each other before this season: Once Caldas - Independiente Medellín 2-1. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's four Independiente victories, four draws and two Once Caldas wins. Over/under statistics; four of these games ended with three goals or more, six matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Once CaldasM. García Torres
M. García Torres
6 goals
Independiente MedellínD. Cambindo Abonia
D. Cambindo Abonia
3 goals
Once CaldasA. García Castillo
A. García Castillo
3 goals

Independiente Medellín missing players

Once Caldas missing players

Independiente Medellín Once Caldas
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
29 14 2 Played P 3 11 23
14 11 2 Won W 0 2 7
8 2 0 Drew D 2 5 10
7 1 0 Lost L 1 4 6
38 21 6 Scored S 1 8 23
25 4 0 Conceded C 2 12 21
86% 86% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 82% 87%
66% 50% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 64% 61%
34% 29% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 27% 30%
21% 14% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 9% 13%
7% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
38% 21% 0% BTTS BTTS 33% 45% 43%
41% 71% 100% Clean Sheets C S 33% 27% 35%
34% 21% 0% Failed to Score F T 67% 45% 35%
 
4.8 4.4 2 Corners for (avg) C F 2.7 4.2 5.1
4 3.6 2.5 Corners against (avg) C A 6.3 5.2 3.9
2.1 2 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 3.4 2.7
6 2 0 Red cards R C 2 5 5
 
7.3 7.7 7 Shots (avg) S ( 1.7 6.1 8.7
4 4.2 3.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.3 2.9 4.3
34% 36% 86% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 25% 23%
 
5.6 4.1 6 Shots against (avg) S A 4 5.9 6
2.8 1.8 2.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2.3 3.3 3.1
Key stats in Liga BetPlay this season:
  • Independiente Medellín have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Independiente Medellín have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Once Caldas have scored away.
  • Independiente Medellín have the fewest conceded goals (2) at home in Liga BetPlay
  • Independiente Medellín have the most points (26) at home in Liga BetPlay
  • Independiente Medellín have the most scored goals in the first half (20) in Liga BetPlay
  • Independiente Medellín have the the best goal difference (+14) at home in Liga BetPlay
  • Once Caldas have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Millonarios 20 13 3 4 23 11 10 8 1 1 11 4 10 5 2 3 12 7 12 42
2 Deportes Tolima 20 12 4 4 29 14 10 6 1 3 16 10 10 6 3 1 13 4 15 40
3 Atletico Nacional 20 10 6 4 26 15 10 6 3 1 14 5 10 4 3 3 12 10 11 36
4 Independiente Medellín 20 10 4 6 25 19 10 8 2 0 16 2 10 2 2 6 9 17 6 34
5 Junior 20 10 2 8 30 21 10 8 1 1 22 9 10 2 1 7 8 12 9 32
6 Envigado 20 8 7 5 22 21 10 6 3 1 12 6 10 2 4 4 10 15 1 31
7 La Equidad 20 7 9 4 21 16 10 4 4 2 9 6 10 3 5 2 12 10 5 30
8 Atletico Bucaramanga 20 8 5 7 27 25 10 5 2 3 14 11 10 3 3 4 13 14 2 29
9 Alianza Petrolera 20 7 8 5 22 20 10 5 4 1 15 10 10 2 4 4 7 10 2 29
10 Santa Fe 20 7 6 7 29 26 10 6 1 3 16 9 10 1 5 4 13 17 3 27
11 Jaguares de Cordoba 20 8 3 9 26 29 10 7 1 2 17 9 10 1 2 7 9 20 -3 27
12 Once Caldas 20 6 8 6 18 18 10 4 4 2 12 8 10 2 4 4 6 10 0 26
13 Rionegro Aguilas 20 7 4 9 17 26 10 5 4 1 12 7 10 2 0 8 5 19 -9 25
14 Deportivo Pereira 20 6 5 9 21 26 10 4 2 4 10 12 10 2 3 5 11 14 -5 23
15 America de Cali 20 6 5 9 20 25 10 5 3 2 15 10 10 1 2 7 5 15 -5 23
16 Deportivo Pasto 20 5 7 8 16 20 10 2 5 3 12 12 10 3 2 5 4 8 -4 22
17 Patriotas Boyaca 20 5 6 9 19 23 10 3 3 4 11 10 10 2 3 5 8 13 -4 21
18 Cortulua 20 5 5 10 21 27 10 4 3 3 10 10 10 1 2 7 11 17 -6 20
19 Deportivo Cali 20 4 6 10 14 24 10 2 4 4 9 12 10 2 2 6 5 12 -10 18
20 Union Magdalena 20 2 5 13 8 28 10 2 3 5 5 14 10 0 2 8 3 14 -20 11