Liga BetPlay preview: Can Independiente Medellín edge out victory against Once Caldas?

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Competition: Colombia Liga BetPlay
Competition: Thu 11.May
Match begins: 23:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (40043 seats)

Independiente Medellín have claimed 11 of their 22 in total here at their familiar ground. What will happen versus Once Caldas?

Insights:
  • Independiente Medellín have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Once Caldas have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.

Not a lot of time to rest for the hosting team, as they had a Liga BetPlay match only four days ago. That game was an away game at Deportivo Pereira, so at least Independiente Medellín are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

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Independiente Medellín form and stats

3-2-2 (win-draw-lost) are the Liga BetPlay numbers at home for Independiente Medellín so far this season.

Independiente Medellín are hoping to put things right at home after a defeat in their previous match, the score 1-3 away versus Deportivo Pereira. Cetré (midfield) was the top team player in that game with a rating of 7.2/10. Cetré scored one goal and hit the woodwork once.

A win at home ahead of that match, as expected. The team were solid favourites against Metropolitanos and won 4-2. The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Independiente have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 11 games) they have won 5 times, drawn 6 and lost 0.

Goals are coming in this team's league rounds, with 5 in a row seeing at least three goals (over 2.5).

The match schedule is unforgiving for Independiente Medellín as they have a new game in only three days, a Liga BetPlay match thankfully also at home. Deportivo Pasto are visiting.

The Independiente Medellín fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 10 in 7 matches. Independiente are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estadio Atanasio Girardot in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 6 from 7 matches.

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Once Caldas form and stats

Once Caldas have only collected 5 points from their away games in the Liga BetPlay, after 1-2-5 (8 played). With two straight losses from their last two away games, Once Caldas are hoping that it's time for some travel points again.

Once Caldas had fun at their own home (Estadio Atanasio Girardot) last time out, beating Junior FC 2-0. Moreno and Torijano scored. Yippee; their first three points in the league after nine rounds not winning. Goalkeeper Chaux got the top player rating of the team with 7.91/10. Chaux saved a penalty and topped it up with a clean sheet.

It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Jaguares de Cordoba wasn't a success with a 0-1 loss.

Caldas are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 1 win, 5 draws and 6 defeats. From a total of 12 matches.

Low-scoring game? 9 of this club's last 12 league matches have contained two goals or less.

Once Caldas have another fixture away in just three days, a Liga BetPlay match against America de Cali. A gruelling timetable for the guests!

There's been a serious shortage of goals from Once Caldas's away games in the league this season with only {4 goals} from 8 matches. As opposed to that, Caldas have seen the ball go into their own net 11 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Independiente Medellín-Once Caldas H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Independiente Medellín four wins, Once Caldas two wins, four draws. four of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

Once CaldasA. García Castillo
A. García Castillo
3 goals
Once CaldasD. Quiñonez Quiñonez
D. Quiñonez Quiñonez
1 goals

Independiente Medellín missing players

Once Caldas missing players

Independiente Medellín Once Caldas
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
17 7 2 Played P 2 8 17
6 3 2 Won W 0 1 3
4 2 0 Drew D 0 2 6
7 2 0 Lost L 2 5 8
22 10 4 Scored S 2 4 13
22 6 0 Conceded C 7 11 20
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 75% 88%
82% 71% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 38% 59%
53% 43% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 38% 29%
18% 14% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 25% 12%
6% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 12% 6%
65% 43% 0% BTTS BTTS 100% 38% 53%
24% 43% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 38% 29%
12% 14% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 50% 29%
 
4.2 5.4 4 Corners for (avg) C F 4.5 3.1 4.4
5.4 4.4 4.5 Corners against (avg) C A 4.5 4.2 4.3
3.5 2.9 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.5 3 2.8
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 3 3
 
12.2 14.7 12.5 Shots (avg) S ( 11 11.6 12.5
4.1 4.4 2.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5 5.1 4.9
31% 32% 80% Goal Efficiency G E 20% 10% 16%
 
13.4 11 10.5 Shots against (avg) S A 15 12.9 10.6
4.5 3 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 7.5 4.6 3.9
Key stats in Liga BetPlay this season:
  • Independiente Medellín have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Once Caldas have scored away.
  • Independiente Medellín have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Independiente Medellín haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Once Caldas have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Once Caldas have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Once Caldas have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Millonarios 17 9 6 2 26 16 8 6 2 0 16 8 9 3 4 2 10 8 10 33
2 Rionegro Aguilas 18 9 6 3 27 20 9 7 2 0 17 7 9 2 4 3 10 13 7 33
3 Atlético Nacional 17 8 7 2 21 10 10 5 4 1 13 6 7 3 3 1 8 4 11 31
4 America de Cali 17 8 4 5 29 21 9 6 2 1 17 7 8 2 2 4 12 14 8 28
5 Boyacá Chicó 17 7 6 4 23 17 9 6 3 0 15 4 8 1 3 4 8 13 6 27
6 Alianza Petrolera 17 8 3 6 22 17 9 7 0 2 17 8 8 1 3 4 5 9 5 27
7 Deportivo Pasto 18 7 5 6 20 19 9 4 3 2 11 7 9 3 2 4 9 12 1 26
8 Junior FC 18 6 6 6 15 17 9 4 4 1 8 5 9 2 2 5 7 12 -2 24
9 Santa Fe 17 6 5 6 23 20 8 5 1 2 12 4 9 1 4 4 11 16 3 23
10 La Equidad 18 4 10 4 19 17 9 4 4 1 13 7 9 0 6 3 6 10 2 22
11 Independiente Medellín 17 6 4 7 22 22 7 3 2 2 10 6 10 3 2 5 12 16 0 22
12 Deportes Tolima 18 5 7 6 20 23 9 5 2 2 13 9 9 0 5 4 7 14 -3 22
13 Deportivo Pereira 18 5 6 7 22 24 9 3 4 2 14 12 9 2 2 5 8 12 -2 21
14 Envigado 17 4 8 5 12 14 9 3 4 2 8 7 8 1 4 3 4 7 -2 20
15 Atletico Huila 17 5 3 9 20 26 8 3 3 2 11 10 9 2 0 7 9 16 -6 18
16 Jaguares de Cordoba 18 4 6 8 15 22 9 4 3 2 12 8 9 0 3 6 3 14 -7 18
17 Deportivo Cali 17 4 6 7 17 25 8 2 5 1 8 7 9 2 1 6 9 18 -8 18
18 Atletico Bucaramanga 18 3 8 7 13 19 9 2 4 3 8 8 9 1 4 4 5 11 -6 17
19 Unión Magdalena 17 3 8 6 15 25 8 3 4 1 12 11 9 0 4 5 3 14 -10 17
20 Once Caldas 17 3 6 8 13 20 9 2 4 3 9 9 8 1 2 5 4 11 -7 15