Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional betting preview: Even match expected

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: Colombia Liga BetPlay
Competition: Sat 30.April
Match begins: 21:05 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Polideportivo Sur (11000 seats)

The Independiente Medellín & Atlético Nacional head coaches López and Ramírez are both fearing and feeling excited about this key game in the higher regions of the Liga BetPlay league table.

Insights:
  • Independiente Medellín have the most scored goals in the first half (13) in Liga BetPlay
  • Atlético Nacional have the most matches under the total-line (4) in Liga BetPlay

There's local pride at stake here, as these teams are practically neighbours. Expect lots of passion from both players and supporters.

Independiente Medellín have less rest than Atlético Nacional in this fixture, as the hosts were involved in a Copa Sudamericana game only four days ago. This match was also played here at Estadio Polideportivo Sur. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Atlético Nacional have had more rest.

L W W D W

Independiente Medellín form and stats

Home games in the Liga BetPlay have been a walk in the park for Independiente Medellín so far, with 22 points won from 8 matches; 7 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses.

The Independiente Medellín club members got no joy from their last fixture, a Copa Sudamericana duel also played here at Estadio Polideportivo Sur: A 0-1 defeat against Internacional.

A strong away win before that one, visiting Atletico Bucaramanga and winning 3-2.

This is expected to be a close game, with Independiente Medellín perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Independiente as a small favourite), we find nine games. Independiente Medellín has won two of these, drawn six and lost one.

The manager López will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to 9 de Octubre in only three days.

A decent goal production from Independiente Medellín in their home games so far, with 15 goals from 8 league matches. Independiente Medellín have showed great defending skills in these home games, allowing the opposition to score only 2 goals. It's worth mentioning that 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

D W L W W

Atlético Nacional form and stats

Playing away, Atlético Nacional have won 4 games, drawn 2 and suffered 2 defeats in the Liga BetPlay this season.

Atlético are looking to quickly end their 246 minutes long goal drought in the Liga BetPlay.

Atlético Nacional played 0-0 against Once Caldas in their previous match. Banguero, who plays in defense, got the "man of the match" on his team with the rating 7.64. Banguero won 6 of 9 duels.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found 16 similar matches played by Atlético Nacional in our archives, and the results are: five wins for Atlético Nacional, four draws and seven defeats.

The travelling fans enjoy Atlético's attacking play in away games, having scored 12 goals in 8 league matches away. As opposed to that, Atlético Nacional have seen the ball go into their own net 9 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

The latest H2H match ended Atlético Nacional - Independiente 2-0, earlier this season. Data for the last ten meetings between these two contenders are: zero wins for Independiente Medellín, five draws and five wins for Atlético Nacional. Over 2,5 goals: four times; under 2,5 goals: six games.

Top Goalscorers

Atlético NacionalJ. Duque Montoya
J. Duque Montoya
21 goals
Independiente MedellínA. Vuletich
A. Vuletich
10 goals
Atlético NacionalJ. Barrera Escalona
J. Barrera Escalona
10 goals

Independiente Medellín missing players

Atlético Nacional missing players

Independiente Medellín Atlético Nacional
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
17 8 4 Played P 2 8 17
9 7 4 Won W 2 4 10
3 1 0 Drew D 0 2 4
5 0 0 Lost L 0 2 3
24 15 6 Scored S 4 12 25
16 2 1 Conceded C 1 9 13
94% 88% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 88%
76% 62% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 75% 65%
35% 38% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 38% 35%
24% 25% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 25% 24%
6% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 6%
41% 25% 25% BTTS BTTS 50% 50% 41%
35% 75% 75% Clean Sheets C S 50% 38% 47%
29% 12% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 12% 24%
 
4.8 4.9 4 Corners for (avg) C F 2 4.6 5
4.4 3.8 4.8 Corners against (avg) C A 3.5 4.4 3.9
2.4 2.4 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 2.8 2.5
5 1 1 Red cards R C 0 2 2
 
7.8 8.1 5.5 Shots (avg) S ( 3 4.8 8.1
3.7 3.5 3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 3.4 4.1
38% 54% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 80% 44% 36%
 
5.6 5 4.8 Shots against (avg) S A 7 7.4 6.6
2.9 2.1 2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.5 4 3.2
Key stats in Liga BetPlay this season:
  • Atlético Nacional have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Atlético Nacional have the most matches under the total-line (4) in Liga BetPlay
  • Atlético Nacional haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Independiente Medellín have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Independiente Medellín have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Independiente Medellín have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Independiente Medellín have the fewest conceded goals (2) at home in Liga BetPlay
  • Independiente Medellín have the most clean sheets (6) at home in Liga BetPlay
  • Independiente Medellín have the most scored goals in the first half (13) in Liga BetPlay
  • Independiente Medellín have the the best goal difference (+13) at home in Liga BetPlay

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Deportes Tolima 17 11 2 4 25 11 8 5 0 3 12 7 9 6 2 1 13 4 14 35
2 Millonarios 17 11 2 4 20 10 8 7 0 1 10 4 9 4 2 3 10 6 10 35
3 Atlético Nacional 17 10 4 3 25 13 9 6 2 1 13 4 8 4 2 2 12 9 12 34
4 Independiente Medellín 17 9 3 5 24 16 8 7 1 0 15 2 9 2 2 5 9 14 8 30
5 Junior 17 9 2 6 24 16 8 7 1 0 16 5 9 2 1 6 8 11 8 29
6 Envigado 17 7 6 4 20 16 9 5 3 1 11 6 8 2 3 3 9 10 4 27
7 La Equidad 17 6 7 4 18 14 8 3 3 2 7 5 9 3 4 2 11 9 4 25
8 Once Caldas 17 6 7 4 16 13 8 4 3 1 10 5 9 2 4 3 6 8 3 25
9 Atletico Bucaramanga 17 7 3 7 22 23 9 5 1 3 13 10 8 2 2 4 9 13 -1 24
10 Alianza Petrolera 17 5 8 4 19 19 9 4 4 1 13 10 8 1 4 3 6 9 0 23
11 Santa Fe 17 6 4 7 22 23 9 5 1 3 12 9 8 1 3 4 10 14 -1 22
12 Jaguares de Cordoba 17 6 3 8 19 23 9 6 1 2 14 9 8 0 2 6 5 14 -4 21
13 Rionegro Aguilas 17 6 3 8 14 23 8 4 3 1 9 5 9 2 0 7 5 18 -9 21
14 America de Cali 17 5 5 7 18 21 8 4 3 1 14 9 9 1 2 6 4 12 -3 20
15 Deportivo Pereira 17 5 4 8 18 22 8 3 2 3 8 9 9 2 2 5 10 13 -4 19
16 Deportivo Pasto 17 4 7 6 13 17 9 1 5 3 9 11 8 3 2 3 4 6 -4 19
17 Patriotas Boyaca 17 4 5 8 14 20 8 2 3 3 7 8 9 2 2 5 7 12 -6 17
18 Cortulua 17 4 4 9 16 22 9 3 3 3 9 10 8 1 1 6 7 12 -6 16
19 Deportivo Cali 17 3 5 9 12 20 9 2 3 4 8 11 8 1 2 5 4 9 -8 14
20 Union Magdalena 17 2 4 11 7 24 9 2 2 5 4 13 8 0 2 6 3 11 -17 10