Liga BetPlay prediction and preview: Deportivo Pasto modest favorites to beat Once Caldas

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Competition: Colombia Liga BetPlay
Competition: Thu 12.November
Match begins: 23:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Departamental Libertad (6000 seats)

Deportivo Pasto have performed better than Once Caldas so far this season, but every game starts at 0-0. Here's all you need to know about the upcoming game:

It's no vacation for neither Deportivo Pasto nor Once Caldas as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Deportivo Pasto form and stats

Overall Liga BetPlay stats at home this season for Deportivo Pasto are 5-2-2 (wins-draw-losses).

No payout for Pasto in their previous match, an away game at Atlético Nacional that ended in defeat 0-1. In the match before that, Pasto hosted Santa Fe and drew the game 1-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Pasto have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 13 games) they have won five times, drawn four and lost four.

There will be little rest for Pasto after this match as they are travelling to Deportivo Pereira for a Liga BetPlay game in only two days.

The Pasto fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 15 goals in 9 league matches. Deportivo Pasto have conceded 9 in these home matches.

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Once Caldas form and stats

As the visiting team in Liga BetPlay matches, Once Caldas have produced an overall stat of 3-4-1 so far. Two points from the last two away games for Caldas, which the math geniuses among you will translate to two draws.

Once Caldas's last game was the home draw against Deportivo Cali (1-1). Before that, Once Caldas travelled to Independiente Medellin and returned home with a draw after the game finished 1-1.

We have checked recent matches where Caldas have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those eleven games were two victories, four draws and five defeats.

Caldas has another fixture away, a Liga BetPlay game, against Deportes Tolima in just two days. A tough schedule for the visitors!

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Once Caldas have scored 10 goals in 8 league games away. Caldas are defending well in their away games, having conceded only 7 times in 8 matches. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above. It's worth mentioning that 4 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Pasto won five games, one match ended with a draw and Once Caldas has four wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: seven / three

Top Goalscorers

Once CaldasR. Ovelar Maldonado
R. Ovelar Maldonado
6 goals
PastoJ. Pajoy Ortíz
J. Pajoy Ortíz
5 goals
Deportivo PastoJ. Medina Escobar
J. Medina Escobar
4 goals

Deportivo Pasto missing players

Once Caldas missing players

Deportivo Pasto Once Caldas
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
18 9 3 Played P 1 8 18
8 5 2 Won W 0 3 5
6 2 0 Drew D 1 4 12
4 2 1 Lost L 0 1 1
24 15 6 Scored S 0 10 21
17 9 2 Conceded C 0 7 15
94% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 88% 83%
72% 89% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 75% 78%
39% 56% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 25% 22%
17% 22% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 25% 17%
6% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
61% 67% 33% BTTS BTTS 0% 62% 67%
33% 33% 67% Clean Sheets C S 100% 25% 28%
11% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 25% 22%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.8 2.6 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 2.9 2.8
3 1 0 Red cards R C 0 2 3
 
69 38 11 Total Shots T S 8 37 107
41 23 7 Shots on Target S O 1 23 64
59% 65% 86% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 43% 33%
Key stats in Liga BetPlay this season:
  • Deportivo Pasto have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Deportivo Pasto have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Deportivo Pasto haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Once Caldas has the fewest conceded goals in the second half (5) in Liga BetPlay
  • Once Caldas has the most matches under the total-line (10) in Liga BetPlay
  • Once Caldas have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Deportes Tolima 18 10 7 1 28 12 9 5 3 1 15 7 9 5 4 0 13 5 16 37
2 Santa Fe 18 9 7 2 31 16 9 6 3 0 20 7 9 3 4 2 11 9 15 34
3 Deportivo Cali 18 7 10 1 28 19 9 5 3 1 15 9 9 2 7 0 13 10 9 31
4 America de Cali 18 8 6 4 27 20 9 7 1 1 18 8 9 1 5 3 9 12 7 30
5 Deportivo Pasto 18 8 6 4 24 17 9 5 2 2 15 9 9 3 4 2 9 8 7 30
6 Junior 18 7 8 3 22 15 9 5 3 1 12 7 9 2 5 2 10 8 7 29
7 Atlético Nacional 18 8 5 5 33 29 9 3 4 2 15 13 9 5 1 3 18 16 4 29
8 Once Caldas 18 5 12 1 21 15 10 2 8 0 11 8 8 3 4 1 10 7 6 27
9 La Equidad 18 7 5 6 27 22 9 5 3 1 20 10 9 2 2 5 7 12 5 26
10 Rionegro Aguilas 18 6 7 5 21 19 9 5 3 1 14 7 9 1 4 4 7 12 2 25
11 Millonarios 18 5 9 4 21 20 9 3 4 2 10 8 9 2 5 2 11 12 1 24
12 Atletico Bucaramanga 18 5 6 7 15 23 9 3 4 2 9 8 9 2 2 5 6 15 -8 21
13 Envigado 18 4 8 6 20 21 9 3 4 2 14 10 9 1 4 4 6 11 -1 20
14 Alianza Petrolera 18 5 4 9 19 26 9 3 2 4 5 6 9 2 2 5 14 20 -7 19
15 Independiente Medellin 18 4 5 9 20 26 9 4 3 2 16 12 9 0 2 7 4 14 -6 17
16 Jaguares de Córdoba 18 3 7 8 19 26 9 2 5 2 11 11 9 1 2 6 8 15 -7 16
17 Deportivo Pereira 18 3 6 9 15 23 8 2 2 4 6 9 10 1 4 5 9 14 -8 15
18 Boyaca Chico 18 4 3 11 12 28 9 4 2 3 7 9 9 0 1 8 5 19 -16 15
19 Patriotas Boyaca 18 2 8 8 8 20 9 2 5 2 6 7 9 0 3 6 2 13 -12 14
20 Cucuta Deportivo 18 3 5 10 18 32 9 1 3 5 8 17 9 2 2 5 10 15 -14 14