Liga BetPlay prediction and guide: Deportes Tolima odds-on front runner to overcome Santa Fe

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Competition: Colombia Liga BetPlay
Competition: Mon 16.Oct
Match begins: 01:20 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro (28100 seats)

Which team will claim the win when Santa Fe go to play Deportes Tolima? In this preview you'll learn all the relevant facts and data needed to make a prediction.

Insights:
  • Deportes Tolima have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Santa Fe have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

The hosts Deportes saw competitive action as recent as four days ago, playing in the Liga BetPlay. That game was an away game at Deportivo Cali, so at least Deportes Tolima are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

L W W W W

Deportes Tolima form and stats

Deportes Tolima have played 10 Liga BetPlay games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 5-3-2 (wins-draws-losses). The opportunity of a proper winning streak is there for the hosts, with two straight wins here at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.

Deportes Tolima lost their last game at Deportivo Cali after a 0-2 scoreline. Until that match this club had gone six consecutive league rounds without losing.

In the game before, an away victory match versus Jaguares de Cordoba with a 1-0 scoreline.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Deportes Tolima have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 17 games) they have won 10 times, drawn 3 and lost 4.

It should be considered that a look at the 13 most recent league games shows that 10 of them qualified as a both teams to score: NO result (only one or none of the sides scored).

Deportes have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro with 15 goals in 10 league matches. On the other hand, Deportes Tolima have conceded 11 goals. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Santa Fe form and stats

There's been little loot from Santa Fe's travels as they have only collected 7 points from 10 away games in the Liga BetPlay. Santa Fe only have 1 win to counter their 5 defeats and 4 draws.

Santa might have something to prove in this game as they lost at home in their previous match. Rionegro Aguilas proved too strong as Santa Fe slumped to a 0-5 defeat in front of their own fans at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín. As you can see from the result above, the defeat against Rionegro Aguilas was particularly ugly (0-5). The humiliation is still top of mind. Midfield player Torres was the top player of the team with a match rating of 6.85/10. Torres hit two key passes and had 30 successful passes (of 37 total).

A loss, in the Copa Colombia away at Deportivo Pereira, earlier. Santa Fe are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 1 win, 2 draws and 8 defeats. From a total of 11 matches.

Santa Fe have scored 12 goals on their travels this season, from 10 away games in the league. Santa's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 19 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

Deportes Tolima and Santa Fe have duelled already this season: Santa Fe - Deportes Tolima 2-0. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's four Deportes Tolima victories, one draw and five Santa Fe wins. Over/under statistics; five of these games ended with three goals or more, five matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Santa FeH. Rodallega Martínez
H. Rodallega Martínez
10 goals
DeportesD. Herazo Moreno
D. Herazo Moreno
7 goals
Deportes TolimaY. Guzmán Gómez
Y. Guzmán Gómez
5 goals

Deportes Tolima missing players

Santa Fe missing players

Deportes Tolima Santa Fe
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
36 18 5 Played P 5 18 36
12 9 2 Won W 1 2 13
13 6 1 Drew D 3 8 10
11 3 2 Lost L 1 8 13
39 27 7 Scored S 5 22 46
40 17 6 Conceded C 6 34 47
92% 94% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 97%
72% 78% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 89% 75%
33% 44% 40% Over 2.5 O 2.5 20% 56% 42%
14% 22% 40% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 50% 31%
6% 6% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 11% 11%
56% 67% 60% BTTS BTTS 60% 72% 42%
25% 28% 20% Clean Sheets C S 20% 6% 36%
28% 11% 20% Failed to Score F T 20% 22% 25%
 
5.2 5.6 4.8 Corners for (avg) C F 4 5.3 5.6
5 4.4 5 Corners against (avg) C A 5.8 5.1 4.4
3.3 3.2 3.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.8 3.6 3.2
4 2 1 Red cards R C 1 5 7
 
14 16.1 16.2 Shots (avg) S ( 13.6 13.4 14.3
4.8 5.8 5.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 4.6 4.9
23% 26% 26% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 27% 26%
 
13.3 10.8 10.4 Shots against (avg) S A 13.2 14.4 12.1
4.9 4.1 4.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.2 5.2 4.1
Key stats in Liga BetPlay this season:
  • Deportes Tolima have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Santa Fe have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Santa Fe haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Rionegro Aguilas 20 11 6 3 32 21 10 8 2 0 20 7 10 3 4 3 12 14 11 39
2 Millonarios 20 10 8 2 30 18 10 7 3 0 19 9 10 3 5 2 11 9 12 38
3 Atletico Nacional 20 9 8 3 26 14 10 5 4 1 13 6 10 4 4 2 13 8 12 35
4 América de Cali 20 9 5 6 32 23 10 6 3 1 17 7 10 3 2 5 15 16 9 32
5 Boyaca Chico 20 7 9 4 24 18 10 6 4 0 16 5 10 1 5 4 8 13 6 30
6 Alianza Petrolera 20 9 3 8 27 22 10 8 0 2 19 9 10 1 3 6 8 13 5 30
7 Independiente Medellin 20 8 5 7 29 24 10 5 3 2 17 8 10 3 2 5 12 16 5 29
8 Deportivo Pasto 20 8 5 7 22 21 10 5 3 2 13 8 10 3 2 5 9 13 1 29
9 Junior 20 7 7 6 17 17 10 4 5 1 8 5 10 3 2 5 9 12 0 28
10 Santa Fe 20 7 5 8 29 25 10 6 1 3 17 6 10 1 4 5 12 19 4 26
11 La Equidad 20 5 11 4 20 17 10 5 4 1 14 7 10 0 7 3 6 10 3 26
12 Deportivo Pereira 20 6 7 7 24 25 10 4 4 2 16 13 10 2 3 5 8 12 -1 25
13 Deportes Tolima 20 5 9 6 23 26 10 5 3 2 15 11 10 0 6 4 8 15 -3 24
14 Deportivo Cali 20 5 8 7 20 26 10 3 6 1 10 7 10 2 2 6 10 19 -6 23
15 Atletico Bucaramanga 20 4 8 8 15 21 10 3 4 3 10 9 10 1 4 5 5 12 -6 20
16 Envigado 20 4 8 8 14 20 10 3 4 3 9 9 10 1 4 5 5 11 -6 20
17 Once Caldas 20 4 8 8 17 24 10 3 4 3 11 11 10 1 4 5 6 13 -7 20
18 Jaguares de Cordoba 20 4 7 9 16 26 10 4 4 2 13 9 10 0 3 7 3 17 -10 19
19 Union Magdalena 20 3 10 7 16 30 10 3 6 1 13 12 10 0 4 6 3 18 -14 19
20 Atletico Huila 20 5 3 12 20 35 10 3 3 4 11 14 10 2 0 8 9 21 -15 18