Betting preview: Atlético Nacional vs Millonarios should be interesting

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Competition: Colombia Liga BetPlay
Competition: Sat 16.July
Match begins: 23:05 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (40043 seats)

A fast pace is likely at Estadio Atanasio Girardot when Atlético Nacional meet Millonarios in what looks to be a first-rate match. Read the preview!

Insights:
  • Atlético Nacional have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Millonarios have the fewest conceded goals (11) in Liga BetPlay

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Atlético Nacional form and stats

Atlético Nacional have performed here at Estadio Atanasio Girardot this season with 6 wins from 10 Liga BetPlay matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 3 games and lost 1.

Atlético Nacional faced defeat in their previous match, away at Junior (1-3). Midfield player Pabón got a match rating of 7.3 in that game, the max score being 10. Pabón served one assist, hit four key passes and dribled past the opponent 3 of 5 times.

The spoils were shared after 90 minutes before that, a home game that ended 1-1 versus Cortulua.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Atlético Nacional have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 4 matches with the results: Won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0.

Take note that 8 of the latest 10 league matches from these players have had at least one goal from each team.

Atlético has scored 14 league goals at home this season, in 10 matches. Atlético Nacional are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estadio Atanasio Girardot in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 5 from 10 matches. It's worth mentioning that 3 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Millonarios form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Liga BetPlay travels is 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Millonarios has lost their two previous away games and are eager to kill a negative trend in its infancy.

Millonarios's last game was the home draw against Atletico Bucaramanga (0-0). Midfield player Ruíz was the top player of the team with a match rating of 8.23/10. Ruíz hit six key passes, dribled past the opponent 1 of 2 times and had 41 successful passes (of 48 total).

Ahead of that game was the 1-1 draw at home against Deportivo Pasto.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Millonarios playing away and similar expectations, we found 10 relevant matches. Results were 4 Millonarios wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats.

Millonarios have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 10 league away games 12 goals have been scored. It's not easy to score on Millonarios as they have only conceded 7 goals from these away games. It's worth mentioning that 6 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

These two sides played each other before this season: Millonarios - Atlético Nacional 0-0. Previous ten meetings featuring these sides: Atlético won three, Millonarios triumphed in two and we saw five draws. five games with over 2,5 goals, five matches with under 2,5 goals.

Top Goalscorers

Atlético NacionalJ. Duque Montoya
J. Duque Montoya
21 goals
Atlético NacionalJ. Barrera Escalona
J. Barrera Escalona
10 goals
Atlético NacionalA. Andrade Torres
A. Andrade Torres
6 goals

Atlético Nacional missing players

Millonarios missing players

Atlético Nacional Millonarios
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
30 15 5 Played P 3 13 28
14 9 4 Won W 0 5 14
10 5 0 Drew D 1 3 8
6 1 1 Lost L 2 5 6
42 26 10 Scored S 1 16 29
27 11 4 Conceded C 3 13 18
87% 87% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 85% 79%
67% 73% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 62% 46%
40% 47% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 54% 32%
27% 33% 40% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 15% 7%
7% 7% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 8% 4%
53% 60% 60% BTTS BTTS 33% 46% 32%
37% 33% 20% Clean Sheets C S 33% 38% 57%
23% 20% 20% Failed to Score F T 67% 31% 32%
 
4.7 5.3 4.4 Corners for (avg) C F 5 4.6 5.8
4.1 3.5 4.6 Corners against (avg) C A 4.3 3.8 3
3 2.5 2.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 2.9 2.3
6 1 1 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
8.2 11.3 12.6 Shots (avg) S ( 6 6.9 7.3
3.9 4.7 4.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 3.7 4.1
36% 37% 42% Goal Efficiency G E 17% 33% 25%
 
7.2 6.9 9.2 Shots against (avg) S A 4.7 5.2 3.9
3.5 2.9 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.3 3.2 2.4
Key stats in Liga BetPlay this season:
  • Atlético Nacional have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Atlético Nacional have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Millonarios have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Millonarios have the fewest conceded goals (11) in Liga BetPlay
  • Millonarios have the most clean sheets (16) in Liga BetPlay
  • Millonarios have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Millonarios 20 13 3 4 23 11 10 8 1 1 11 4 10 5 2 3 12 7 12 42
2 Deportes Tolima 20 12 4 4 29 14 10 6 1 3 16 10 10 6 3 1 13 4 15 40
3 Atlético Nacional 20 10 6 4 26 15 10 6 3 1 14 5 10 4 3 3 12 10 11 36
4 Independiente Medellin 20 10 4 6 25 19 10 8 2 0 16 2 10 2 2 6 9 17 6 34
5 Junior 20 10 2 8 30 21 10 8 1 1 22 9 10 2 1 7 8 12 9 32
6 Envigado 20 8 7 5 22 21 10 6 3 1 12 6 10 2 4 4 10 15 1 31
7 La Equidad 20 7 9 4 21 16 10 4 4 2 9 6 10 3 5 2 12 10 5 30
8 Atletico Bucaramanga 20 8 5 7 27 25 10 5 2 3 14 11 10 3 3 4 13 14 2 29
9 Alianza Petrolera 20 7 8 5 22 20 10 5 4 1 15 10 10 2 4 4 7 10 2 29
10 Santa Fe 20 7 6 7 29 26 10 6 1 3 16 9 10 1 5 4 13 17 3 27
11 Jaguares de Cordoba 20 8 3 9 26 29 10 7 1 2 17 9 10 1 2 7 9 20 -3 27
12 Once Caldas 20 6 8 6 18 18 10 4 4 2 12 8 10 2 4 4 6 10 0 26
13 Rionegro Aguilas 20 7 4 9 17 26 10 5 4 1 12 7 10 2 0 8 5 19 -9 25
14 Deportivo Pereira 20 6 5 9 21 26 10 4 2 4 10 12 10 2 3 5 11 14 -5 23
15 America de Cali 20 6 5 9 20 25 10 5 3 2 15 10 10 1 2 7 5 15 -5 23
16 Deportivo Pasto 20 5 7 8 16 20 10 2 5 3 12 12 10 3 2 5 4 8 -4 22
17 Patriotas Boyaca 20 5 6 9 19 23 10 3 3 4 11 10 10 2 3 5 8 13 -4 21
18 Cortulua 20 5 5 10 21 27 10 4 3 3 10 10 10 1 2 7 11 17 -6 20
19 Deportivo Cali 20 4 6 10 14 24 10 2 4 4 9 12 10 2 2 6 5 12 -10 18
20 Union Magdalena 20 2 5 13 8 28 10 2 3 5 5 14 10 0 2 8 3 14 -20 11