Soccer match preview: Home crowd has high hopes when Atlético Nacional greet Independiente Medellín Liga BetPlay preview of Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín: Visitors believed to win

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Competition: Colombia Liga BetPlay
Competition: Sat 25.March
Match begins: 23:20 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (40043 seats)

Atlético Nacional are placed 3rd, while Independiente Medellín are lagging 5 points behind in the table. Will they cut the gap?

Insights:
  • Atlético Nacional have the most clean sheets (5) in Liga BetPlay
  • Independiente Medellín have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

These teams are located so close to each other that their supporters eat in the same restaurants, hang out at the same night clubs and give birth at the same hospitals. This means added importance to the game and a vibrant atmosphere.

Atlético Nacional and Independiente Medellín should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

W D W W D

Atlético Nacional form and stats

2-3-0 (win-draw-lost) are the Liga BetPlay numbers at home for Atlético Nacional so far this season.

Defensively the home team are doing well, with their goalkeeper Kevin Leonardo Mier Robles not having conceded a league goal in 280 minutes.

A strong away win for Atlético Nacional against Deportivo Pereira (after extra-time) the last match, as Barrera and Duque were on target. Román, defender, was given a rating of 7.65/10 in that game, top of the team. Román served one assist, hit two key passes and won 3 of 7 duels.

The spoils were shared after 90 minutes before that, a home game that ended 0-0 versus Millonarios (after extra-time).

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Atlético matches with similar probabilities have ended with 4 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats (from 7 games).

Defensively Atlético Nacional have been outstanding, conceding less than half a goal on average per home game in the league (2 in 5 games). For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Independiente Medellín form and stats

The visitors are W1-D1-L3 on the road this term. That's in the Liga BetPlay.

Independiente Medellín won their last game, 1-0 versus Jaguares de Cordoba (after extra-time) played at home. Mosquera (goalkeeper) was the best performer with a rating of 7.65. Mosquera topped it up with a clean sheet.

Before that match, the win at home against Magallanes (after extra-time) in the Copa Libertadores (2-0).

Something to take note of for sports gamblers wanting to bet on only one (or no) team scoring in this match: This club have played 5 consecutive league matches with just one or no side finding the net.

The visitors have scored 4 goals from 5 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. 7 goals have been conceded by Independiente Medellín in these games.

Head 2 Head

Head-to-head numbers (for the prior ten meetings): Atlético won four games, five matches ended in a draw and Independiente Medellín managed one win. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: four / six. The games between these clubs sometimes lean towards being hot-tempered, having seen 8 sending-offs from the last ten encounters.

Top Goalscorers

Atlético NacionalJ. Duque Montoya
J. Duque Montoya
21 goals
Atlético NacionalJ. Barrera Escalona
J. Barrera Escalona
10 goals
Atlético NacionalS. Gómez Londoño
S. Gómez Londoño
3 goals

Atlético Nacional missing players

Independiente Medellín missing players

Atlético Nacional Independiente Medellín
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
9 5 1 Played P 2 5 9
4 2 0 Won W 0 1 3
4 3 1 Drew D 0 1 2
1 0 0 Lost L 2 3 4
10 5 0 Scored S 1 4 9
5 2 0 Conceded C 4 7 9
78% 60% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
56% 40% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 80% 67%
22% 20% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 40% 33%
11% 20% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
44% 40% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 60% 44%
56% 60% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 33%
22% 40% 100% Failed to Score F T 50% 20% 22%
 
5.4 5.8 6 Corners for (avg) C F 2.5 3.6 5.1
5.9 5.2 6 Corners against (avg) C A 6 6.4 5.6
2.3 2.2 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 3.6 3.3
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
12.1 9.4 10 Shots (avg) S ( 12 11.4 12.7
4.2 4 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 4 4
26% 25% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 20% 25%
 
13.4 12.4 11 Shots against (avg) S A 12 12.8 11.4
4.6 5 2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5 4.8 3.4
Key stats in Liga BetPlay this season:
  • Atlético Nacional have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Atlético Nacional have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Atlético Nacional have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (1) in Liga BetPlay
  • Atlético Nacional have the most clean sheets (5) in Liga BetPlay
  • Independiente Medellín have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Independiente Medellín have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Independiente Medellín haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Boyaca Chico 7 5 1 1 12 5 5 4 1 0 9 2 2 1 0 1 3 3 7 16
2 America de Cali 8 5 1 2 13 7 4 3 1 0 7 1 4 2 0 2 6 6 6 16
3 Atlético Nacional 9 4 4 1 10 5 5 2 3 0 5 2 4 2 1 1 5 3 5 16
4 Rionegro Águilas 9 4 4 1 13 11 4 3 1 0 8 4 5 1 3 1 5 7 2 16
5 Envigado 9 3 4 2 9 8 5 2 2 1 6 5 4 1 2 1 3 3 1 13
6 Deportivo Pasto 8 4 1 3 10 10 4 2 0 2 5 6 4 2 1 1 5 4 0 13
7 Millonarios 6 3 2 1 9 6 3 2 1 0 6 3 3 1 1 1 3 3 3 11
8 Alianza Petrolera 8 3 2 3 8 7 4 3 0 1 7 3 4 0 2 2 1 4 1 11
9 Independiente Medellín 9 3 2 4 9 9 4 2 1 1 5 2 5 1 1 3 4 7 0 11
10 Deportivo Pereira 9 3 1 5 11 15 5 2 1 2 8 8 4 1 0 3 3 7 -4 10
11 Santa Fe 8 2 4 2 9 9 3 1 1 1 2 2 5 1 3 1 7 7 0 10
12 Atletico Bucaramanga 8 2 4 2 6 6 4 1 2 1 2 2 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 10
13 Jaguares de Cordoba 9 2 3 4 10 11 5 2 2 1 8 6 4 0 1 3 2 5 -1 9
14 Deportes Tolima 7 2 3 2 8 9 3 2 0 1 4 3 4 0 3 1 4 6 -1 9
15 Once Caldas 8 2 2 4 5 8 4 1 1 2 3 4 4 1 1 2 2 4 -3 8
16 Union Magdalena 8 1 5 2 5 9 3 1 2 0 4 3 5 0 3 2 1 6 -4 8
17 Atletico Huila 8 2 1 5 9 14 3 1 1 1 4 4 5 1 0 4 5 10 -5 7
18 Deportivo Cali 8 1 4 3 6 9 4 0 3 1 2 3 4 1 1 2 4 6 -3 7
19 La Equidad 8 1 4 3 5 7 4 1 2 1 3 3 4 0 2 2 2 4 -2 7
20 Junior 8 1 4 3 5 7 5 1 3 1 4 4 3 0 1 2 1 3 -2 7