Liga BetPlay match prediction: Little separates Alianza Petrolera and Atlético Nacional in quality

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Competition: Colombia Liga BetPlay
Competition: Sun 14.May
Match begins: 23:20 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata (10400 seats)

The two sides are delivering a fine season so far and games like this could be influential. Read up on Alianza Petrolera - Atlético Nacional!

Insights:
  • Alianza Petrolera have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Atlético Nacional have the fewest conceded goals (10) in Liga BetPlay

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Alianza Petrolera form and stats

Alianza Petrolera have performed here at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata this season with 7 wins from 9 Liga BetPlay matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 0 games and lost 2.

Alianza Petrolera are hoping to put things right at home after a defeat in their previous match, the score 1-3 away versus Millonarios. Colpa (midfield) was the top team player in that game with a rating of 7.34/10. Colpa hit one key pass, dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times and had 34 successful passes (of 36 total).

A defeat was the result before that one, 1-2 away at Deportes Tolima.

This is expected to be a close game, with Alianza Petrolera perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Petrolera as a small favourite), we find 12 games. Alianza Petrolera has won 8 of these, drawn 3 and lost 1.

The manager Barrios will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to Deportivo Pereira in only two days.

Alianza Petrolera have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata with 17 goals in 9 league matches. Alianza Petrolera have only conceded 8 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. It's worth mentioning that 4 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Atlético Nacional form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Liga BetPlay travels is 4 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat. Atlético Nacional are enjoying a nice run from their away games now, having played seven in a row without losing.

Two away matches in a row for Atlético, whose coach de Mello could celebrate last time after the win against Santa Fe. Defender Román was the best team player with a rating of 7.62. Román scored one goal and won 2 of 4 duels.

A home win before that, celebrating 3-1 vs Boyaca Chico.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Atlético Nacional playing away and similar expectations, we found 6 relevant matches. Results were 1 Atlético Nacional win, 3 draws and 2 defeats.

A tale of few goals? 9 of this side's last 12 league matches have seen zero, one or two goals.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Atlético Nacional manager de Mello as the team has another away game coming up in only two days, this time against Deportes Tolima.

Atlético Nacional find the net regularly in their away games. 10 goals from 8 away fixtures in the league. It's worth mentioning that 5 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Atlético are defending well in their away games, having conceded only 4 times in 8 matches. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

Atlético Nacional have avoided defeat in the last 21 fixtures (17-4-0) versus Alianza Petrolera.

The matches between these sides sometimes lean towards being hostile, having seen 5 red cards from the last ten duels.

Top Goalscorers

Atlético NacionalJ. Duque Montoya
J. Duque Montoya
21 goals
Atlético NacionalJ. Barrera Escalona
J. Barrera Escalona
10 goals
Alianza PetroleraS. Acosta Pineda
S. Acosta Pineda
4 goals

Alianza Petrolera missing players

Atlético Nacional missing players

Alianza Petrolera Atlético Nacional
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
18 9 1 Played P 0 8 18
8 7 1 Won W 0 4 9
3 0 0 Drew D 0 3 7
7 2 0 Lost L 0 1 2
24 17 2 Scored S 0 10 23
19 8 1 Conceded C 0 4 10
94% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 75% 78%
78% 89% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 62% 61%
50% 67% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 25% 28%
17% 22% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 12% 17%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
44% 44% 100% BTTS BTTS 0% 38% 44%
28% 33% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 62% 50%
33% 22% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 25% 28%
 
4.8 4.9 6 Corners for (avg) C F 0 5 5.2
5.4 5.2 3 Corners against (avg) C A 0 5.1 4.9
2.3 2.8 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 2.1 2.3
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 4
 
13.1 15.4 11 Shots (avg) S ( 0 13.9 12.2
5.3 6.7 8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 4.5 4.4
25% 28% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 28% 29%
 
17.8 16.9 11 Shots against (avg) S A 0 13.6 11.9
5.8 5.4 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 0 3.5 3.7
Key stats in Liga BetPlay this season:
  • Alianza Petrolera have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Alianza Petrolera have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Alianza Petrolera haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Atlético Nacional have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Atlético Nacional have the fewest conceded goals (10) in Liga BetPlay
  • Atlético Nacional have the fewest conceded goals (4) away in Liga BetPlay
  • Atlético Nacional have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (4) in Liga BetPlay
  • Atlético Nacional have the most clean sheets (5) away in Liga BetPlay
  • Atlético Nacional have the most clean sheets (9) in Liga BetPlay
  • Atlético Nacional have the most points (15) away in Liga BetPlay
  • Atlético Nacional have the the best goal difference (+13) in Liga BetPlay
  • Atlético Nacional have the the best goal difference (+6) away in Liga BetPlay
  • Atlético Nacional is in the best form (5-1-0) in Liga BetPlay

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Millonarios 18 10 6 2 29 17 9 7 2 0 19 9 9 3 4 2 10 8 12 36
2 Rionegro Aguilas 19 10 6 3 29 21 9 7 2 0 17 7 10 3 4 3 12 14 8 36
3 Atlético Nacional 18 9 7 2 23 10 10 5 4 1 13 6 8 4 3 1 10 4 13 34
4 America de Cali 18 9 4 5 31 21 9 6 2 1 17 7 9 3 2 4 14 14 10 31
5 Boyaca Chico 18 7 7 4 23 17 9 6 3 0 15 4 9 1 4 4 8 13 6 28
6 Alianza Petrolera 18 8 3 7 24 19 9 7 0 2 17 8 9 1 3 5 7 11 5 27
7 Deportivo Pasto 18 7 5 6 20 19 9 4 3 2 11 7 9 3 2 4 9 12 1 26
8 La Equidad 19 5 10 4 20 17 10 5 4 1 14 7 9 0 6 3 6 10 3 25
9 Junior 18 6 6 6 15 17 9 4 4 1 8 5 9 2 2 5 7 12 -2 24
10 Santa Fe 18 6 5 7 23 22 9 5 1 3 12 6 9 1 4 4 11 16 1 23
11 Independiente Medellin 18 6 5 7 24 24 8 3 3 2 12 8 10 3 2 5 12 16 0 23
12 Deportes Tolima 18 5 7 6 20 23 9 5 2 2 13 9 9 0 5 4 7 14 -3 22
13 Deportivo Cali 19 5 7 7 20 26 9 3 5 1 10 7 10 2 2 6 10 19 -6 22
14 Deportivo Pereira 18 5 6 7 22 24 9 3 4 2 14 12 9 2 2 5 8 12 -2 21
15 Envigado 19 4 8 7 13 18 10 3 4 3 9 9 9 1 4 4 4 9 -5 20
16 Jaguares de Cordoba 19 4 7 8 16 23 10 4 4 2 13 9 9 0 3 6 3 14 -7 19
17 Atletico Huila 18 5 3 10 20 28 9 3 3 3 11 12 9 2 0 7 9 16 -8 18
18 Union Magdalena 18 3 9 6 15 25 9 3 5 1 12 11 9 0 4 5 3 14 -10 18
19 Atletico Bucaramanga 19 3 8 8 13 20 9 2 4 3 8 8 10 1 4 5 5 12 -7 17
20 Once Caldas 18 3 7 8 14 23 9 2 4 3 8 10 9 1 3 5 6 13 -9 16