Football betting preview: Ñublense favourites when Huachipato pay a visit

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Competition: Chile Primera Division
Competition: Sat 22.October
Match begins: 20:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Bicentenario Municipal Nelson Oyarzún (12000 seats)

A good game and three points is the only event that will suffice for the Ñublense club members in this Estadio Bicentenario Municipal Nelson Oyarzún duel with Huachipato, seeing as they have a robust lead on them in the Primera Division standings.

Insights:
  • Ñublense have the most points from losing position (14) in Primera Division
  • Ñublense have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Huachipato have scored away.

Ñublense and Huachipato should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

D D W L D

Ñublense form and stats

Ñublense are steadily winning Primera Division games and points here at Estadio Bicentenario Municipal Nelson Oyarzún. 8 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats is the summary from 13 games. The last three games played by Ñublense, regardless of arena, have all ended draws.

The home team returns to Estadio Bicentenario Municipal Nelson Oyarzún after drawing with Universidad Catolica (placed 7th) on their last time out; the game ended 2-2. There was plenty of action in the dying minutes of the game against Universidad Catolica as Pulgar's goal in the 82nd minute completed a cancellation of 0-2 and secured a draw after 90 minutes. Pulgar was able to secure the draw 2-2 in the game against Universidad Catolica after coming on as a substitute and scoring the final goal. In the starting lineup today?

Preceding that game was the home draw versus O'Higgins that ended 2-2.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Ñublense's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played 7 games, won 3 matches, drawn 2 and lost 2.

Ñublense can score goals in their home matches. After 13 league matches they have found the net 27 times. Ñublense's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 15 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Huachipato form and stats

Huachipato have only collected 12 points from their away games in the Primera Division, after 3-3-7 (13 played). Huachipato seem to be suffering from homesickness with two consecutive losses away. Third time lucky?

It's another away game for the visitors, as they travelled to Magallanes in their previous outing. The Chilean Cup battle ended 1-1.

The fixture before was the Chilean Cup-duel against Magallanes, a home defeat (0-1). As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Huachipato playing away, we found 7 games. Results were 0 away wins, 1 draw and 6 home wins.

Few goals? 5 league games in a row with this side have had zero, one or two goals.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Huachipato as they have only managed to score 8 times from 13 away games in the league. As opposed to that, Huachipato have seen the ball go into their own net 16 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H game ended Huachipato - Ñublense 1-3, earlier this season. Ñublense-Huachipato H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Ñublense three wins, Huachipato six wins, one draw. seven of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

ÑublenseA. Aravena Guzmán
A. Aravena Guzmán
10 goals
ÑublenseP. Rubio Pulgar
P. Rubio Pulgar
8 goals
ÑublenseN. Guerra
N. Guerra
6 goals

Ñublense missing players

Huachipato missing players

Ñublense Huachipato
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
27 13 5 Played P 4 13 27
12 8 3 Won W 0 3 9
9 3 2 Drew D 1 3 5
6 2 0 Lost L 3 7 13
41 27 9 Scored S 1 8 28
30 15 5 Conceded C 8 16 39
93% 92% 80% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 92% 96%
74% 92% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 46% 56%
56% 77% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 23% 41%
33% 46% 40% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 15% 26%
7% 15% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 8% 15%
63% 77% 80% BTTS BTTS 25% 31% 48%
22% 23% 20% Clean Sheets C S 0% 23% 26%
22% 8% 20% Failed to Score F T 75% 54% 30%
 
3.8 4.5 5 Corners for (avg) C F 3.2 4.2 5.3
4.6 4.6 4 Corners against (avg) C A 5.5 5.2 4.5
2.6 2.5 3.4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 3.2 2.8
4 2 1 Red cards R C 0 3 5
 
13 14.8 15.2 Shots (avg) S ( 10 11.3 12.6
4.9 5.9 6.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.5 4.3 4.5
31% 35% 28% Goal Efficiency G E 7% 14% 23%
 
12 12 10.2 Shots against (avg) S A 15.8 14.2 12.6
4.6 4.2 3.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 7.8 5.8 5.3
Key stats in Primera Division this season:
  • Huachipato have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Ñublense have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Ñublense have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Huachipato have scored away.
  • Ñublense have the most points from losing position (14) in Primera Division
  • Ñublense have the most scored goals in the second half (26) in Primera Division

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Colo-Colo 27 16 8 3 49 16 14 10 4 0 28 4 13 6 4 3 21 12 33 56
2 Curico Unido 27 13 8 6 45 26 14 10 1 3 29 11 13 3 7 3 16 15 19 47
3 Ñublense 27 12 9 6 41 30 13 8 3 2 27 15 14 4 6 4 14 15 11 45
4 Audax Italiano 27 11 7 9 40 41 13 5 3 5 17 18 14 6 4 4 23 23 -1 40
5 Cobresal 27 11 6 10 39 35 14 8 3 3 21 12 13 3 3 7 18 23 4 39
6 Everton 27 8 14 5 36 24 14 4 8 2 17 11 13 4 6 3 19 13 12 38
7 Universidad Catolica 26 11 5 10 37 33 14 8 3 3 18 11 12 3 2 7 19 22 4 38
8 O'Higgins 27 9 11 7 28 29 13 6 6 1 19 12 14 3 5 6 9 17 -1 38
9 Union Espanola 26 10 7 9 34 35 13 4 6 3 15 14 13 6 1 6 19 21 -1 37
10 Palestino 26 9 10 7 32 34 13 7 3 3 22 20 13 2 7 4 10 14 -2 37
11 Union La Calera 27 7 12 8 29 37 13 4 7 2 15 14 14 3 5 6 14 23 -8 33
12 Huachipato 27 9 5 13 28 39 14 6 2 6 20 23 13 3 3 7 8 16 -11 32
13 Universidad Chile 27 8 5 14 31 41 13 5 3 5 15 16 14 3 2 9 16 25 -10 29
14 La Serena 27 6 6 15 26 47 14 3 3 8 15 23 13 3 3 7 11 24 -21 24
15 Antofagasta 26 5 8 13 21 29 12 3 6 3 11 11 14 2 2 10 10 18 -8 23
16 Coquimbo Unido 27 6 5 16 28 48 13 5 2 6 20 20 14 1 3 10 8 28 -20 23

Read more about Primera Division

The Chilean Primera División is the top level league of the football pyramid in Chile. It is also known as the Campeonato AFP PlanVital, a sponsorship name. The league has 16 teams playing a season from February to December, split into Apertura (“opening”) and Clausura (“closing”) tournaments.