Primera Division prediction and preview: Ñublense modest favorites to beat Antofagasta

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: Chile Primera Division
Competition: Sat 24.July
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Bicentenario Municipal Nelson Oyarzún (12000 seats)

Ñublense perform at a high level so far being 5th in the table. Antofagasta can look both up and down from their 9th position.

Insights:
  • Ñublense have the most points from losing position (7) in Primera Division
  • Antofagasta have the most scored goals in the first half (9) in Primera Division

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

Antofagasta have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 1700 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

D D L D D

Ñublense form and stats

The story so far in the Primera Division for Ñublense at their home stadium (Estadio Bicentenario Municipal Nelson Oyarzún) is 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat. Ñublense has won so many consecutive home games (four in a row) that they struggle to remember the last time points were lost here at Estadio Bicentenario Municipal Nelson Oyarzún. We remember; it was Universidad Catolica.

Defensively the home team are doing well, with their goalkeeper Alison Nicola Perez Barone not having conceded a league goal in 197 minutes.

Ñublense drew their last game, 0-0 away at Everton (placed 11th). A painful moment in the game against Everton was the missed penalty kick from N. Guerra in the 83rd minute. A goal there would obviously have changed the match and probably the outcome.

Preceding that game was the home draw versus Everton that ended 1-1.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Ñublense handle that role? We have found eleven games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are eight wins, two draws and one defeat.

There will be little rest for Ñublense after this match as they are travelling to Universidad Chile for a Primera Division game in only three days.

Goals decide football matches and Ñublense are scoring many of them at home; 11 on target from 5 league matches. From these home matches, Ñublense have conceded only 3 goals.

W L D D W

Antofagasta form and stats

1-3-1 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Antofagasta, who have the most scored goals (8) away in Primera Division, in their Primera Division matches away. Two points from the last two away games for Antofagasta, which the math geniuses among you will translate to two draws.

Antofagasta go into this game after a win, the home game against Santiago Wanderers that ended 1-0.

Prior to that match, the Antofagasta manager J. Ribera faced defeat when travelling to Coquimbo Unido and losing 0-1.

We have checked recent matches where Antofagasta have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those ten games were one victory, five draws and four defeats.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Universidad Catolica in just three days.

The travelling fans enjoy Antofagasta's attacking play in away games, having scored 8 goals in 5 league matches away. 7 goals have been conceded by Antofagasta in these games.

Head 2 Head

Numbers for the last five meetings between these two teams are: three wins for Ñublense, zero draws and two wins for Antofagasta. Over 2,5 goals: two times; under 2,5 goals: three games.

Top Goalscorers

ÑublenseN. Guerra
N. Guerra
4 goals
ÑublenseM. Pinto Mell
M. Pinto Mell
3 goals
ÑublenseM. Quinteros
M. Quinteros
3 goals

Ñublense missing players

Antofagasta missing players

Ñublense Antofagasta
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
11 5 1 Played P 1 5 10
5 4 1 Won W 0 1 4
2 0 0 Drew D 0 3 3
4 1 0 Lost L 1 1 3
17 11 5 Scored S 1 8 14
12 3 1 Conceded C 2 7 12
91% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
55% 60% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 80%
36% 40% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 40% 50%
27% 40% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 20% 10%
18% 20% 100% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 20% 10%
45% 40% 100% BTTS BTTS 100% 100% 80%
27% 40% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 20%
36% 20% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 0%
 
4.5 4.4 4 Corners for (avg) C F 4 3.6 4.4
5.9 4.6 1 Corners against (avg) C A 5 6.8 5.3
2.5 2.4 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 1.2 1.9
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
13.3 14.6 18 Shots (avg) S ( 11 11 12.2
5.3 7 10 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4 4.8 5.2
29% 31% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 33% 27%
Key stats in Primera Division this season:
  • All of Antofagasta's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Antofagasta have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Antofagasta have scored in all their matches so far.
  • Antofagasta have the most dropped points from leading position (7) in Primera Division
  • Antofagasta have the most scored goals (8) away in Primera Division
  • Antofagasta have the most scored goals in the first half (9) in Primera Division
  • Antofagasta have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Antofagasta haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Ñublense have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Ñublense have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Ñublense have the most points from losing position (7) in Primera Division
  • Ñublense haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Audax Italiano 11 5 5 1 13 8 6 4 2 0 9 5 5 1 3 1 4 3 5 20
2 Union La Calera 10 6 2 2 9 7 5 4 1 0 6 2 5 2 1 2 3 5 2 20
3 Universidad Catolica 10 6 1 3 13 9 5 4 1 0 9 3 5 2 0 3 4 6 4 19
4 La Serena 11 5 3 3 17 10 6 4 2 0 12 4 5 1 1 3 5 6 7 18
5 Ñublense 11 5 2 4 17 12 5 4 0 1 11 3 6 1 2 3 6 9 5 17
6 Colo-Colo 10 5 2 3 12 10 5 2 1 2 5 4 5 3 1 1 7 6 2 17
7 O'Higgins 11 4 5 2 9 10 6 2 3 1 4 5 5 2 2 1 5 5 -1 17
8 Unión Española 10 4 3 3 15 12 5 2 2 1 8 7 5 2 1 2 7 5 3 15
9 Antofagasta 10 4 3 3 14 12 5 3 0 2 6 5 5 1 3 1 8 7 2 15
10 Melipilla 10 4 2 4 13 12 5 2 2 1 7 4 5 2 0 3 6 8 1 14
11 Everton 10 3 5 2 7 10 5 1 2 2 2 7 5 2 3 0 5 3 -3 14
12 Universidad Chile 9 3 3 3 7 7 4 2 1 1 4 3 5 1 2 2 3 4 0 12
13 Cobresal 11 3 3 5 11 12 5 3 0 2 7 4 6 0 3 3 4 8 -1 12
14 Palestino 10 3 2 5 12 15 5 1 2 2 5 7 5 2 0 3 7 8 -3 11
15 Huachipato 10 1 5 4 11 15 5 1 2 2 5 6 5 0 3 2 6 9 -4 8
16 Curico Unido 10 1 3 6 8 15 5 1 3 1 7 6 5 0 0 5 1 9 -7 6
17 Santiago Wanderers 10 0 1 9 4 16 5 0 1 4 2 8 5 0 0 5 2 8 -12 1

Read more about Primera Division

The Chilean Primera División is the top level league of the football pyramid in Chile. It is also known as the Campeonato AFP PlanVital, a sponsorship name. The league has 16 teams playing a season from February to December, split into Apertura (“opening”) and Clausura (“closing”) tournaments.