Primera Division match prediction: Little separates Curicó Unido and Universidad Chile in quality

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Competition: Chile Primera Division
Competition: Wed 10.February
Match begins: 21:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Bicentenario La Granja (8278 seats)

Curicó Unido will hope to utilise their home advantage to help bridge the gap to today’s opponents. The home side are currently 6 points behind Universidad Chile.

Insights:
  • Curicó Unido is in the worst form (0-2-4)
  • Universidad Chile has the fewest conceded goals (32) in Primera Division

There has not been much time to rest for the guests, as they played a Primera Division game only four days ago.

Curicó Unido can neither be promoted or relegated from Primera Division. Universidad are still fighting for the big positions at the top of the table.

L L L D L

Curicó Unido form and stats

Curicó Unido have played 16 Primera Division games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 9-1-6 (wins-draws-losses). Curicó has three losses from their three previous games and the tension is increasing in the dressing room for both the manager M. Palermo and the players. Game days at Estadio Bicentenario La Granja have recently become somewhat of a nightmare for Curicó as they have lost three home games in a row. It hurts.

The Curicó crowd went home unhappy last time out, seeing their beloved players lose 1-3 to Santiago Wanderers here at Estadio Bicentenario La Granja in a Primera Division match. Preceding that match was the home game against Unión Española that was lost 2-4.

This is expected to be a close game, with Curicó Unido perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Curicó Unido as a small favourite), we find eight games. Curicó Unido has won two of these, drawn two and lost four.

There will be little rest for Curicó after this match as they are travelling to Union La Calera for a Primera Division game in only three days.

Curicó Unido has scored 23 league goals at home this season, in 16 matches. Curicó Unido have conceded 22 in these home matches.

W W D D D

Universidad Chile form and stats

5-4-7 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Universidad Chile, who have the fewest conceded goals (32) in Primera Division, in their Primera Division matches away.

The Universidad goalkeeper Fernando Carlos De Paul Lanciotti is collecting clean sheets like a laundry worker. It's been 203 league minutes without conceding a goal, and counting.

Á. Henríquez, W. Montillo and J. Larrivey scored in Universidad's previous match, the home game against Unión Española that ended 3-0. Before that one, a nice away victory 1-0 at Coquimbo Unido.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Universidad Chile playing away and similar expectations, we found twelve relevant matches. Results were four Universidad wins, four draws and four defeats.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Antofagasta in just three days.

Universidad find the net regularly in their away games. 16 goals from 16 away fixtures in the league. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. 20 goals have been conceded by Universidad in these games. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Universidad Chile - Curicó Unido 5-1, played this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last six matches): Curicó Unido zero wins, two draws and Universidad Chile four victories. As for goals, four matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), two games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Universidad ChileJ. Larrivey
J. Larrivey
18 goals
CuricóF. Castro
F. Castro
10 goals
Curicó UnidoP. Parra Rubilar
P. Parra Rubilar
6 goals

Curicó Unido missing players

Universidad Chile missing players

Curicó Unido Universidad Chile
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
32 16 5 Played P 5 16 32
12 9 3 Won W 2 5 12
6 1 0 Drew D 1 4 12
14 6 2 Lost L 2 7 8
37 23 8 Scored S 7 16 46
50 22 8 Conceded C 8 20 32
91% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 88% 88%
69% 62% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 62% 72%
50% 50% 40% Over 2.5 O 2.5 60% 44% 50%
38% 44% 40% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 25% 25%
16% 19% 40% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 6% 6%
50% 50% 40% BTTS BTTS 80% 44% 47%
31% 38% 40% Clean Sheets C S 0% 25% 34%
28% 12% 20% Failed to Score F T 20% 44% 31%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.2 2.1 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.4 2.2
5 2 0 Red cards R C 2 3 5
 
9.5 11.3 10.2 Shots (avg) S ( 9.8 9.1 10.4
3.6 4.1 4.6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.8 3.9 4.4
32% 35% 35% Goal Efficiency G E 29% 25% 32%
Key stats in Primera Division this season:
  • Curicó Unido has the most conceded goals in the second half (31) in Primera Division
  • Curicó Unido haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Curicó Unido is in the worst form (0-2-4)
  • Universidad Chile has the fewest conceded goals (32) in Primera Division

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Universidad Catolica 32 17 10 5 63 34 16 9 5 2 35 16 16 8 5 3 28 18 29 61
2 Union La Calera 32 17 5 10 57 38 16 9 4 3 28 14 16 8 1 7 29 24 19 56
3 Unión Española 32 14 9 9 53 48 16 7 5 4 26 22 16 7 4 5 27 26 5 51
4 Palestino 32 14 8 10 47 42 16 9 4 3 29 21 16 5 4 7 18 21 5 50
5 Universidad Chile 32 12 12 8 46 32 16 7 8 1 30 12 16 5 4 7 16 20 14 48
6 Antofagasta 32 11 12 9 41 39 16 7 7 2 25 17 16 4 5 7 16 22 2 45
7 O'Higgins 32 12 8 12 39 37 16 4 5 7 18 24 16 8 3 5 21 13 2 44
8 Huachipato 31 12 7 12 41 41 16 9 5 2 27 15 15 3 2 10 14 26 0 43
9 Santiago Wanderers 32 12 7 13 41 50 16 9 3 4 24 19 16 3 4 9 17 31 -9 43
10 Curicó Unido 32 12 6 14 37 50 16 9 1 6 23 22 16 3 5 8 14 28 -13 42
11 Cobresal 31 11 7 13 39 38 15 7 4 4 23 14 16 4 3 9 16 24 1 40
12 Everton 32 9 13 10 36 38 16 6 6 4 20 16 16 3 7 6 16 22 -2 40
13 Univ. Concepción 32 9 13 10 36 43 16 5 5 6 19 22 16 4 8 4 17 21 -7 40
14 La Serena 32 10 8 14 33 38 16 6 3 7 17 17 16 4 5 7 16 21 -5 38
15 Audax Italiano 32 9 10 13 44 49 16 7 5 4 26 19 16 2 5 9 18 30 -5 37
16 Colo-Colo 32 9 10 13 32 42 16 6 2 8 17 22 16 3 8 5 15 20 -10 37
17 Deportes Iquique 32 8 10 14 35 45 16 5 5 6 16 20 16 3 5 8 19 25 -10 34
18 Coquimbo Unido 32 8 7 17 28 44 16 4 4 8 12 21 16 4 3 9 16 23 -16 31

Read more about Primera Division

The Chilean Primera División is the top level league of the football pyramid in Chile. It is also known as the Campeonato AFP PlanVital, a sponsorship name. The league has 16 teams playing a season from February to December, split into Apertura (“opening”) and Clausura (“closing”) tournaments.